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Serie B · Regular Season - 38 May 08, 2026 20:30 Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Cesena
#11 · 5 pts
3 – 4
Final score
Padova
#6 · 7 pts
C. Shpendi (ast. A. Cerri) 5'
A. Cerri (ast. C. Shpendi) 7'
C. Shpendi (ast. M. Olivieri) 45'+2
2' L. Di Maggio
13' (ast. P. Ghiglione) L. Di Maggio
17' (ast. P. Fusi) G. Caprari
84' A. Seghetti
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cesena a 54% win probability (draw 25%, Padova 19%). The final result was Cesena 3–4 Padova. In 1 previous meetings, Cesena have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Padova.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
10
Shots on target
7
2.25
Actual xG
1.80
2
Saves
7
59%
Possession
41%
11
Corners
3
15
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
2'
L. Di Maggio⚽
⚽C. Shpendi · ast. A. Cerri
5'
⚽A. Cerri · ast. C. Shpendi
7'
13'
ast. P. Ghiglione · L. Di Maggio⚽
17'
ast. P. Fusi · G. Caprari⚽
⚽C. Shpendi · ast. M. Olivieri
45'+2
46'
G. Favale / P. Fusi ↕
50'
M. Perrotta
M. Mangraviti
51'
↕ A. Cerri / G. Vrioni
62'
62'
C. Buonaiuto / L. Di Maggio ↕
63'
A. Capelli / P. Ghiglione ↕
↕ S. Bastoni / M. Castagnetti
66'
70'
G. Giunti
74'
A. Boi / M. Perrotta ↕
↕ T. Corazza / R. Ciervo
79'
81'
K. Varas / G. Caprari ↕
84'
A. Seghetti⚽
87'
C. Pastina
M. Olivieri
90'+2
90'+5
J. Silva
Pre-match prediction
54.9%
Cesena
25.76%
X
19.34%
Padova ←
we assigned to the actual result (Padova) 19.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cesena
1.34
2.25
+0.91
Padova
0.66
1.80
+1.14
Cesena dominated by xG (2.25 vs 1.80). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 3 9
2 Sudtirol Sudtirol 4 8
3 Mantova Mantova 3 7
4 Modena Modena 4 7
5 Ascoli Ascoli 4 7
6 Padova Padova 4 7
7 Arezzo Arezzo 4 6
8 Pisa Pisa 4 6
9 Avellino Avellino 3 6
10 Empoli Empoli 4 6
11 Cesena Cesena 3 5
12 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 4 5
13 Benevento Benevento 4 4
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4 4
15 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4 4
16 Cremonese Cremonese 3 3
17 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4 3
18 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 4 2
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 3 1
20 Carrarese Carrarese 4 1
Lineups
Cesena Cesena 4-2-3-1
1
G 5.70
27 T. Corazza T. Corazza 79' D 6.30
24 M. Mangraviti M. Mangraviti D 5.90
19
D 7.00
15 A. Ciofi A. Ciofi D 7.70
10 S. Bastoni S. Bastoni 66' M 6.30
25 D. Bisoli D. Bisoli M 8.00
32 M. Olivieri M. Olivieri 1 👟 M 6.90
14 T. Berti T. Berti M 6.60
9 C. Shpendi C. Shpendi 2 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.00
7 A. Cerri A. Cerri 1 ⚽ 1 👟 62' F 8.20
Bench
99 G. Frabotta G. Frabotta D
4
M. Castagnetti M
11 R. Ciervo R. Ciervo 17' F 6.30
Padova Padova 3-5-2
14
G 8.00
58 C. Pastina C. Pastina D 7.20
5 Marco Perrotta Marco Perrotta 74' D 7.20
72 C. Faedo C. Faedo D 6.20
41 Jonathan Silva Jonathan Silva M 6.70
23 L. Di Maggio L. Di Maggio 2 ⚽ 62' M 9.00
86 G. Giunti G. Giunti M 6.50
8 P. Fusi P. Fusi 1 👟 45' M 6.90
18
P. Ghiglione 1 👟 63' M 7.20
11 A. Seghetti A. Seghetti 1 ⚽ F 7.30
24 G. Caprari G. Caprari 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.00
Bench
17 A. Capelli A. Capelli 33' M 7.30
4
F. Belli D
77 F. Di Mariano F. Di Mariano F
30
G. Favale 51' D 6.70
7 K. Varas K. Varas 15' M 6.60
6
Lorenzo Crisetig M
20 M. Bortolussi M. Bortolussi F
Best on the pitch
L. Di Maggio
L. Di Maggio
M · Padova
9.00
2 ⚽
3 shots · 21 pass
C. Shpendi
C. Shpendi
M · Cesena
9.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots · 34 pass
A. Cerri
A. Cerri
F · Cesena
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 20 pass
D. Bisoli
D. Bisoli
M · Cesena
8.00
1 shots · 86 pass
G · Padova
8.00
· 26 pass
A. Ciofi
A. Ciofi
D · Cesena
7.70
· 66 pass
Cesena Cesena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 5.70 — — — 16 12% — — —
T. Corazza D 79 6.30 — — 1 34 30% — — —
M. Mangraviti D 96 5.90 — — 2 47 41% 3 1 —
D 96 7.00 — — 1 43 37% 2 — —
A. Ciofi D 96 7.70 — — — 66 61% 2 — —
S. Bastoni M 66 6.30 — — 1 39 30% 2 — —
D. Bisoli M 96 8.00 — — 1 86 80% 3 — —
M. Olivieri M 96 6.90 — 1 3 32 29% — 1 —
T. Berti M 96 6.60 — — — 66 52% 2 — —
C. Shpendi M 96 9.00 2 1 6 34 27% 1 — —
A. Cerri F 62 8.20 1 1 2 20 13% — — —
R. Ciervo F 17 6.30 — — — 6 4% — — —
Padova Padova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 8.00 — — — 26 14% — — —
C. Pastina D 96 7.20 — — — 39 32% 3 1 —
Marco Perrotta D 74 7.20 — — — 20 14% 3 1 —
C. Faedo D 96 6.20 — — 1 42 37% 1 — —
Jonathan Silva M 96 6.70 — — — 31 27% 1 1 —
L. Di Maggio M 62 9.00 2 — 3 21 19% — — —
G. Giunti M 96 6.50 — — 1 49 43% — 1 —
P. Fusi M 45 6.90 — 1 — 28 26% 1 — —
P. Ghiglione M 63 7.20 — 1 — 38 30% — — —
A. Seghetti F 96 7.30 1 — 1 8 8% 1 — —
G. Caprari F 81 7.00 1 — 2 32 26% — — —
A. Capelli M 33 7.30 — — — 10 10% — — —
G. Favale D 51 6.70 — — 2 8 3% — — —
K. Varas M 15 6.60 — — — 4 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cesena vs Padova?
The final score was Cesena 3–4 Padova.
What did the model predict before Cesena vs Padova?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Cesena win, 25% to a draw, and 19% to an Padova win.