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Super League · Regular Season - 33 April 11, 2026 20:00
FC Zurich
#4 · 38 pts
0 – 1
Final score
FC Lugano
#3 · 64 pts
61' (ast. G. Koutsias) R. Steffen

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Lugano a 45% win probability (draw 28%, FC Zurich 25%). The final result was FC Zurich 0–1 FC Lugano. In 2 previous meetings, FC Zurich have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for FC Lugano.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
5
1
Shots on target
3
0.79
Actual xG
1.60
2
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
5
10
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
21'
D. Dos Santos
44'
D. Kelvin / L. Mai ↕
59'
D. Kelvin
61'
ast. G. Koutsias · R. Steffen⚽
↕ I. Cavaleiro / D. Reverson
66'
S. Walker
68'
80'
K. Behrens / G. Koutsias ↕
80'
H. Mahou / R. Steffen ↕
↕ L. Comenencia / M. Bangoura
80'
↕ N. Palacio / J. Perea
80'
↕ A. Hack / D. Vujevic
84'
↕ S. Walker / U. Emmanuel
84'
90'
E. Alioski / Y. Cimignani ↕
90'
M. Bottani / D. Dos Santos ↕
Pre-match prediction
25.31%
FC
28.71%
X
45.98%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano) 45.98% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
1.01
0.79
-0.22
FC
1.47
1.60
+0.13
FC Lugano dominated by xG (1.60 vs 0.79). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Thun FC Thun 37 74
1 FC Luzern FC Luzern 37 50
2 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 37 69
2 Servette FC Servette FC 37 50
3 Lausanne Lausanne 37 42
3 FC Lugano FC Lugano 37 64
4 FC Zurich FC Zurich 37 38
4 FC Sion FC Sion 37 62
5 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 37 30
5 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 37 56
6 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 37 54
6 FC Winterthur FC Winterthur 37 23
Lineups
FC Zurich FC Zurich 3-4-1-2
1 Silas Huber Silas Huber G 6.70
27 Ilan Sauter Ilan Sauter D 6.70
42 Alexander Hack Alexander Hack 84' D 6.60
2
D 7.00
44 Sebastian Walker Sebastian Walker 84' M 6.00
15 Nelson Palacio Nelson Palacio 80' M 6.30
23 Valon Berisha Valon Berisha M 6.60
3
L. Comenencia 80' M 7.20
6 C. Tsawa C. Tsawa F 7.30
8 Ivan Cavaleiro Ivan Cavaleiro 66' F 6.50
19 P. Keny P. Keny F 6.90
Bench
7 Bledian Krasniqi Bledian Krasniqi M
29
D. Reverson 24' F 6.50
9 Juan José Perea Juan José Perea 10' F 6.30
38 Miguel Reichmuth Miguel Reichmuth M
14 Nevio Di Giusto Nevio Di Giusto M
FC Lugano FC Lugano 4-4-2
1
G 7.90
26
D 6.30
3 Hannes Delcroix Hannes Delcroix D 6.60
17 Lars Lukas Mai Lars Lukas Mai 44' D 6.90
46 Mattia Zanotti Mattia Zanotti D 7.20
27 Daniel Dos Santos Daniel Dos Santos M 6.60
25 Uran Bislimi Uran Bislimi M 6.50
8
M 7.50
21 Yanis Cimignani Yanis Cimignani 89' M 6.90
9 Georgios Koutsias Georgios Koutsias 1 👟 80' F 6.30
11 Renato Steffen Renato Steffen 1 ⚽ 80' F 8.30
Bench
4 Damian Kelvin Damian Kelvin 46' D 6.60
7 Ezgjan Alioski Ezgjan Alioski 1' D
91 Kevin Behrens Kevin Behrens 10' F 6.90
29 Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud 10' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
Renato Steffen
Renato Steffen
F · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 35 pass
G · FC
7.90
· 33 pass
M · FC
7.50
1 shots · 57 pass
C. Tsawa
C. Tsawa
F · FC
7.30
· 31 pass
L. Comenencia
M · FC
7.20
· 31 pass
Mattia Zanotti
Mattia Zanotti
D · FC
7.20
· 38 pass
FC Zurich FC Zurich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Silas Huber G 90 6.70 — — — 37 24% — — —
Ilan Sauter D 90 6.70 — — — 39 33% — — —
Alexander Hack D 84 6.60 — — — 38 31% — — —
D 90 7.00 — — 1 50 40% 1 — —
Sebastian Walker M 84 6.00 — — 1 19 14% 2 1 —
Nelson Palacio M 80 6.30 — — — 35 29% 1 — —
Valon Berisha M 90 6.60 — — — 59 49% 1 — —
L. Comenencia M 80 7.20 — — — 31 26% 3 — —
C. Tsawa F 90 7.30 — — — 31 28% 1 — —
Ivan Cavaleiro F 66 6.50 — — 1 16 13% — — —
P. Keny F 90 6.90 — — 1 11 8% 1 — —
D. Reverson F 24 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Juan José Perea F 10 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
FC Lugano FC Lugano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 33 28% — — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 24 16% — — —
Hannes Delcroix D 90 6.60 — — 1 44 35% — — —
Lars Lukas Mai D 44 6.90 — — 1 41 38% — — —
Mattia Zanotti D 90 7.20 — — — 38 35% 1 — —
Daniel Dos Santos M 90 6.60 — — — 25 23% 2 1 —
Uran Bislimi M 90 6.50 — — — 64 53% 1 — —
M 90 7.50 — — 1 57 47% 3 — —
Yanis Cimignani M 89 6.90 — — 1 39 32% 1 — —
Georgios Koutsias F 80 6.30 — 1 — 9 6% 1 — —
Renato Steffen F 80 8.30 1 — 1 35 31% 2 — —
Damian Kelvin D 46 6.60 — — — 15 10% 1 1 —
Ezgjan Alioski D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Kevin Behrens F 10 6.90 — — — 2 1% — — —
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud M 10 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Zurich vs FC Lugano?
The final score was FC Zurich 0–1 FC Lugano.
What did the model predict before FC Zurich vs FC Lugano?
The model assigned 25% probability to a FC Zurich win, 28% to a draw, and 45% to an FC Lugano win.