FC Zurich 0–1 FC Lugano — pre-match prediction — Super League — April 11, 2026

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Super League · Regular Season - 33 April 11, 2026 18:00

FC Zurich

#7 · 11 pts

0 – 1

Final score

FC Lugano

#1 · 25 pts

61' (ast. G. Koutsias) R. Steffen

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Lugano a 45% win probability (draw 28%, FC Zurich 25%). The final result was FC Zurich 0–1 FC Lugano. In 3 previous meetings, FC Zurich have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for FC Lugano.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.79

Actual xG

1.60

Saves

46%

Possession

54%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

21'

D. Dos Santos

44'

D. Kelvin / L. Mai ↕

59'

D. Kelvin

61'

ast. G. Koutsias · R. Steffen⚽

↕ I. Cavaleiro / D. Reverson

66'

S. Walker

68'

80'

K. Behrens / G. Koutsias ↕

80'

H. Mahou / R. Steffen ↕

↕ L. Comenencia / M. Bangoura

80'

↕ N. Palacio / J. Perea

80'

↕ A. Hack / D. Vujevic

84'

↕ S. Walker / U. Emmanuel

84'

90'

E. Alioski / Y. Cimignani ↕

90'

M. Bottani / D. Dos Santos ↕

Pre-match prediction

25.31%

28.71%

45.98%

FC ←

we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano) 45.98% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

1.01

0.79

-0.22

1.47

1.60

+0.13

FC Lugano dominated by xG (1.60 vs 0.79). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Lugano	9	25
2	BSC Young Boys	9	19
3	FC Sion	9	19
4	FC Basel 1893	9	13
5	FC ST. Gallen	9	13
6	FC Luzern	9	12
7	FC Zurich	9	11
8	Servette FC	9	10
9	FC Thun	9	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	8
11	FC Vaduz	9	6
12	Lausanne	9	6

Lineups

FC Zurich 3-4-1-2

Silas Huber G 6.70

Ilan Sauter D 6.70

A. Hack 84' D 6.60

D 7.00

S. Walker 84' M 6.00

Nelson Palacio 80' M 6.30

V. Berisha M 6.60

L. Comenencia 80' M 7.20

C. Tsawa F 7.30

Ivan Cavaleiro 66' F 6.50

P. Keny F 6.90

Bench

B. Krasniqi M

D. Reverson 24' F 6.50

J. Perea 10' F 6.30

M. Reichmuth M

N. Di Giusto M

FC Lugano 4-4-2

G 7.90

D 6.30

H. Delcroix D 6.60

L. Mai 44' D 6.90

M. Zanotti D 7.20

Daniel Dos Santos M 6.60

U. Bislimi M 6.50

M 7.50

Y. Cimignani 89' M 6.90

G. Koutsias 1 👟 80' F 6.30

R. Steffen 1 ⚽ 80' F 8.30

Bench

D. Kelvin 46' D 6.60

E. Alioski 1' D

H. Mahmoud 10' M 6.50

K. Behrens 10' F 6.90

Best on the pitch

R. Steffen

F · FC

8.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 35 pass

G · FC

7.90

· 33 pass

M · FC

7.50

1 shots · 57 pass

C. Tsawa

F · FC

7.30

· 31 pass

M. Zanotti

D · FC

7.20

· 38 pass

L. Comenencia

M · FC

7.20

· 31 pass

FC Zurich — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Silas Huber	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	37	24%	—	—	—
Ilan Sauter	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	39	33%	—	—	—
A. Hack	D	84	6.60	—	—	—	38	31%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	50	40%	1	—	—
S. Walker	M	84	6.00	—	—	1	19	14%	2	1	—
Nelson Palacio	M	80	6.30	—	—	—	35	29%	1	—	—
V. Berisha	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	59	49%	1	—	—
L. Comenencia	M	80	7.20	—	—	—	31	26%	3	—	—
C. Tsawa	F	90	7.30	—	—	—	31	28%	1	—	—
Ivan Cavaleiro	F	66	6.50	—	—	1	16	13%	—	—	—
P. Keny	F	90	6.90	—	—	1	11	8%	1	—	—
D. Reverson	F	24	6.50	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
J. Perea	F	10	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—

FC Lugano — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.90	—	—	—	33	28%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	24	16%	—	—	—
H. Delcroix	D	90	6.60	—	—	1	44	35%	—	—	—
L. Mai	D	44	6.90	—	—	1	41	38%	—	—	—
M. Zanotti	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	38	35%	1	—	—
Daniel Dos Santos	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	25	23%	2	1	—
U. Bislimi	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	64	53%	1	—	—
	M	90	7.50	—	—	1	57	47%	3	—	—
Y. Cimignani	M	89	6.90	—	—	1	39	32%	1	—	—
G. Koutsias	F	80	6.30	—	1	—	9	6%	1	—	—
R. Steffen	F	80	8.30	1	—	1	35	31%	2	—	—
D. Kelvin	D	46	6.60	—	—	—	15	10%	1	1	—
E. Alioski	D	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
H. Mahmoud	M	10	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
K. Behrens	F	10	6.90	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of FC Zurich vs FC Lugano?

The final score was FC Zurich 0–1 FC Lugano.

What did the model predict before FC Zurich vs FC Lugano?

The model assigned 25% probability to a FC Zurich win, 28% to a draw, and 45% to an FC Lugano win.