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Independiente Medellin - Flamengo

Copa Libertadores May 08, 2026 02:30
Independiente Medellin
#3 · 4 pts
vs
Flamengo
#1 · 7 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.04%
Win
Independiente Medellin
25.37%
Draw
43.59%
Win
Flamengo
1.31
Expected xG
1.59

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Flamengo a 43% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Independiente Medellin. Expected goals are 1.3 for Independiente Medellin and 1.6 for Flamengo (total 2.9), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.5% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Flamengo.

Score Matrix
↕ Independiente Medellin Flamengo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5% 8.8% 7.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.2% 11.5% 9.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.7% 7.5% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
W Cusco 1–0
L Flamengo 4–1
D Estudiantes L.P. 1–1
W Juventud 2–1
D Juventud 1–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 33%
Flamengo Flamengo
D Estudiantes L.P. 1–1
W Independiente Medellin 4–1
W Cusco 0–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%
Playing profile
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
Attack
35
Defence
69
Form
57
Flamengo Flamengo
Attack
56
Defence
66
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Independiente Medellin
0
Draw
1
Flamengo
L 17 Apr 2026 Copa Libertadores 1–4
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo?
The model gives Independiente Medellin a 31% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 43% for an Flamengo win.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo?
Expected goals: Independiente Medellin 1.3, Flamengo 1.6 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.5%.