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League One · Regular Season - 43 April 15, 2026 20:45
Luton
#7 · 74 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Northampton
#24 · 35 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Luton
L. Walsh (ast. E. Lawrence) 43'
K. Naismith 85'
31' (ast. T. Eaves) S. Hoskins

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Luton a 80% win probability (draw 12%, Northampton 7%). The final result was Luton 2–1 Northampton. In 1 previous meetings, Luton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Northampton.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
11
Corners
5
19
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
31'
ast. T. Eaves · S. Hoskins⚽
⚽L. Walsh · ast. E. Lawrence
43'
↕ J. Richards / S. Morris
46'
62'
C. McGeehan
↕ N. Wells / A. Al Hamadi
66'
71'
C. McCarthy / J. Burroughs ↕
72'
K. Swyer / T. Fornah ↕
72'
E. List / M. Jacobs ↕
76'
C. McCarthy
77'
J. Guthrie
↕ J. Clark / D. van den Berg
82'
↕ E. Lawrence / G. Kodua
82'
82'
T. Taylor / S. Hoskins ↕
82'
J. Evans / T. Eaves ↕
⚽K. Naismith
85'
N. Lonwijk
90'+1
J. Keeley
90'+4
↕ L. Walsh / G. Saville
90'
Pre-match prediction
80.49%
Luton ←
12.34%
X
7.17%
Northampton
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Luton) 80.49% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Luton
2.67
—
—
Northampton
0.53
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lincoln Lincoln 46 103
2 Cardiff Cardiff 46 91
3 Stockport County Stockport County 46 77
4 Bradford Bradford 46 77
5 Bolton Bolton 46 75
6 Stevenage Stevenage 46 75
7 Luton Luton 46 74
8 Plymouth Plymouth 46 73
9 Huddersfield Huddersfield 46 67
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 46 65
11 Wycombe Wycombe 46 63
12 Reading Reading 46 63
13 Blackpool Blackpool 46 60
14 Doncaster Doncaster 46 60
15 Barnsley Barnsley 46 59
16 Wigan Wigan 46 56
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion 46 54
18 Peterborough Peterborough 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 46 52
21 Exeter City Exeter City 46 49
22 Port Vale Port Vale 46 42
23 Rotherham Rotherham 46 41
24 Northampton Northampton 46 35
Lineups
Luton Luton 4-1-4-1
24
J. Keeley G 6.20
38
D 7.90
3
Kal Naismith 1 ⚽ D 8.30
5
M. Andersen D 7.30
17
N. Lonwijk D 6.60
8 L. Walsh L. Walsh 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.50
32
E. Lawrence 1 👟 82' M 7.30
54
Kasey Palmer M 7.20
18 J. Clark J. Clark 82' M 6.70
27
J. Richards 45' M 6.60
21
N. Wells 66' F 6.70
Bench
12
A. Al Hamadi 24' F 6.70
6
D. van den Berg 8' M 6.30
14
S. Morris 45' F 7.70
Northampton Northampton 4-4-2
1
G 7.60
12
N. Guinness-Walker D 6.50
5
J. Guthrie D 6.50
35
D 6.60
2
J. Burroughs 71' D 6.70
17
M. Jacobs 72' M 7.00
4
D. Campbell M 6.50
8
C. McGeehan M 6.50
14
T. Fornah 72' M 7.30
7
S. Hoskins 1 ⚽ 82' F 6.90
9
T. Eaves 1 👟 82' F 6.50
Bench
3
C. McCarthy 19' D 6.30
10
E. List 18' M 6.50
15
J. Evans 8' F 6.30
27
J. Vale F
11
K. Swyer 18' F 6.20
23
T. Taylor 8' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
L. Walsh
L. Walsh
M · Luton
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 62 pass
Kal Naismith
D · Luton
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 69 pass
D · Luton
7.90
· 36 pass
S. Morris
F · Luton
7.70
3 shots · 14 pass
G · Northampton
7.60
· 30 pass
M. Andersen
D · Luton
7.30
1 shots · 57 pass
Luton Luton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Keeley G 90 6.20 — — — 35 27% — 1 —
D 90 7.90 — — — 36 30% 5 — —
Kal Naismith D 90 8.30 1 — 1 69 62% 2 — —
M. Andersen D 90 7.30 — — 1 57 52% — — —
N. Lonwijk D 90 6.60 — — 1 53 43% — 1 —
L. Walsh M 89 8.50 1 — 1 62 55% 3 — —
E. Lawrence M 82 7.30 — 1 — 21 19% 1 — —
Kasey Palmer M 90 7.20 — — 2 30 22% 2 — —
J. Clark M 82 6.70 — — 3 35 27% 3 — —
J. Richards M 45 6.60 — — — 10 10% — — —
N. Wells F 66 6.70 — — — 7 6% — — —
A. Al Hamadi F 24 6.70 — — 1 1 1% — — —
D. van den Berg M 8 6.30 — — — 3 1% 1 — —
S. Morris F 45 7.70 — — 3 14 12% 2 — —
Northampton Northampton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 — — — 30 12% — — —
N. Guinness-Walker D 90 6.50 — — — 32 25% 2 — —
J. Guthrie D 90 6.50 — — — 32 23% — 1 —
D 90 6.60 — — — 40 28% 1 — —
J. Burroughs D 71 6.70 — — — 22 15% 5 — —
M. Jacobs M 72 7.00 — — — 26 23% 2 — —
D. Campbell M 90 6.50 — — — 53 44% 3 — —
C. McGeehan M 90 6.50 — — — 24 20% 2 1 —
T. Fornah M 72 7.30 — — 1 13 11% — — —
S. Hoskins F 82 6.90 1 — 2 18 12% — — —
T. Eaves F 82 6.50 — 1 1 9 8% 1 — —
C. McCarthy D 19 6.30 — — 1 6 4% — 1 —
E. List M 18 6.50 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
J. Evans F 8 6.30 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
K. Swyer F 18 6.20 — — — 3 3% — — —
T. Taylor M 8 6.50 — — — 8 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Luton vs Northampton?
The final score was Luton 2–1 Northampton.
What did the model predict before Luton vs Northampton?
The model assigned 80% probability to a Luton win, 12% to a draw, and 7% to an Northampton win.