Serie B · Regular Season - 33 April 06, 2026 15:00

Mantova

#9 · 46 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Virtus Entella

#14 · 42 pts

T. Marras 84'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mantova a 51% win probability (draw 29%, Virtus Entella 19%). The final result was Mantova 1–0 Virtus Entella. In 1 previous meetings, Mantova have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Virtus Entella.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

6

6

Shots on target

1

1.58

Actual xG

0.83

1

Saves

4

55%

Possession

45%

4

Corners

2

7

Tackles

13

4

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

↕ L. Mancuso / D. Mensah

20'

F. Modesto

31'

45'+4

I. Marconi

↕ N. Buso / F. Ruocco

54'

57'

B. Guiu / L. Cuppone ↕

57'

M. Alborghetti / I. Marconi ↕

A. Dembele

58'

61'

A. Tiritiello

69'

A. Debenedetti / M. Tirelli ↕

70'

F. Mezzoni / D. Bariti ↕

↕ D. Wieser / F. Paoletti

76'

↕ D. Bragantini / T. Marras

76'

77'

M. Dalla Vecchia / N. Karic ↕

N. Radaelli

81'

83'

N. Squizzato

⚽T. Marras

84'

T. Marras

85'

F. Paoletti

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

51.21%

Mantova ←

29.44%

X

19.34%

Virtus

we assigned to the actual result (Mantova) 51.21% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Mantova

1.49

1.58

+0.09

Virtus

0.78

0.83

+0.04

Mantova dominated by xG (1.58 vs 0.83). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Venezia	38	82
2	Frosinone	38	81
3	Monza	38	76
4	Palermo	38	72
5	Catanzaro	38	59
6	Modena	38	55
7	Juve Stabia	38	51
8	Avellino	38	49
9	Mantova	38	46
10	Padova	38	46
11	Cesena	38	46
12	Carrarese	38	44
13	Sampdoria	38	44
14	Virtus Entella	38	42
15	Empoli	38	41
16	Sudtirol	38	41
17	Bari	38	40
18	Reggiana	38	37
19	Spezia	38	35
20	Pescara	38	35

Lineups

Mantova 3-4-2-1

24

G 7.00

96

T. Maggioni D 7.30

29

S. Cella D 7.50

3

A. Dembele D 7.20

50

F. Benaissa-Yahia M 6.90

10

D. Wieser 76' M 6.60

21 S. Trimboli M 7.50

17 N. Radaelli M 6.30

77

N. Buso 54' F 6.30

30

D. Bragantini 76' F 6.90

9

L. Mancuso 20' F 6.30

Bench

7

D. Mensah 70' F 6.70

36

F. Paoletti 14' M 6.30

19

F. Ruocco 36' M 6.20

23

T. Marras 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.70

Virtus Entella 3-5-2

22

G 7.30

15 I. Marconi 57' D 6.30

6

A. Tiritiello D 6.50

23

L. Parodi D 7.50

26 Z. Menyhárt M 7.30

8

N. Karic 77' M 7.20

5

N. Squizzato M 6.70

24

M 6.30

7

D. Bariti 70' M 6.60

17

69' F 6.20

10

L. Cuppone 57' F 6.20

Bench

11

B. Guiu 33' F 7.30

94

F. Mezzoni 20' D 6.50

Best on the pitch

T. Marras

F · Mantova

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 5 pass

S. Cella

D · Mantova

7.50

· 44 pass

S. Trimboli

M · Mantova

7.50

1 shots · 40 pass

L. Parodi

D · Virtus

7.50

· 28 pass

B. Guiu

F · Virtus

7.30

· 7 pass

T. Maggioni

D · Mantova

7.30

· 51 pass

Mantova — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	18	14%	—	—	—
T. Maggioni	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	51	41%	2	—	—
S. Cella	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	44	40%	—	—	—
A. Dembele	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	39	32%	1	1	—
F. Benaissa-Yahia	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	35	26%	1	—	—
D. Wieser	M	76	6.60	—	—	1	14	13%	—	—	—
S. Trimboli	M	90	7.50	—	—	1	40	35%	—	—	—
N. Radaelli	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	35	26%	1	1	—
N. Buso	F	54	6.30	—	—	2	10	7%	1	—	—
D. Bragantini	F	76	6.90	—	—	2	25	19%	—	—	—
L. Mancuso	F	20	6.30	—	—	1	1	1%	—	—	—
D. Mensah	F	70	6.70	—	—	—	9	6%	—	—	—
F. Paoletti	M	14	6.30	—	—	—	4	3%	—	1	—
F. Ruocco	M	36	6.20	—	—	—	14	12%	—	—	—
T. Marras	F	14	7.70	1	—	2	5	2%	1	1	—

Virtus Entella — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	24	8%	—	—	—
I. Marconi	D	57	6.30	—	—	—	21	14%	2	1	—
A. Tiritiello	D	90	6.50	—	—	2	41	25%	1	1	—
L. Parodi	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	28	23%	1	—	—
Z. Menyhárt	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	21	12%	3	—	—
N. Karic	M	77	7.20	—	—	—	24	18%	—	—	—
N. Squizzato	M	90	6.70	—	—	1	39	30%	2	1	—
	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	18	9%	2	—	—
D. Bariti	M	70	6.60	—	—	—	24	18%	1	—	—
	F	69	6.20	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—
L. Cuppone	F	57	6.20	—	—	1	9	6%	—	—	—
B. Guiu	F	33	7.30	—	—	—	7	6%	1	—	—
F. Mezzoni	D	20	6.50	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—