Serie B · Regular Season - 33 April 06, 2026 15:00 Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova

Mantova

#4 · 17 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Virtus Entella

#12 · 10 pts

T. Marras 84'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mantova a 51% win probability (draw 29%, Virtus Entella 19%). The final result was Mantova 1–0 Virtus Entella. In 2 previous meetings, Mantova have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Virtus Entella.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

6

6

Shots on target

1

1.58

Actual xG

0.83

1

Saves

4

55%

Possession

45%

4

Corners

2

7

Tackles

13

4

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

↕ L. Mancuso / D. Mensah

20'

F. Modesto

31'

45'+4

I. Marconi

↕ N. Buso / F. Ruocco

54'

57'

B. Guiu / L. Cuppone ↕

57'

M. Alborghetti / I. Marconi ↕

A. Dembele

58'

61'

A. Tiritiello

69'

A. Debenedetti / M. Tirelli ↕

70'

F. Mezzoni / D. Bariti ↕

↕ D. Wieser / F. Paoletti

76'

↕ D. Bragantini / T. Marras

76'

77'

M. Dalla Vecchia / N. Karic ↕

N. Radaelli

81'

83'

N. Squizzato

⚽T. Marras

84'

T. Marras

85'

F. Paoletti

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

51.21%

Mantova ←

29.44%

X

19.34%

Virtus

we assigned to the actual result (Mantova) 51.21% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Mantova

1.49

1.58

+0.09

Virtus

0.78

0.83

+0.04

Mantova dominated by xG (1.58 vs 0.83). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	9	23
2	Modena	9	19
3	Ascoli	9	18
4	Mantova	9	17
5	Benevento	9	15
6	Pisa	9	15
7	Padova	9	13
8	Sudtirol	9	13
9	Hellas Verona	9	12
10	Avellino	9	12
11	Cesena	9	11
12	Virtus Entella	9	10
13	Carrarese	9	10
14	Arezzo	9	10
15	Cremonese	9	9
16	Vicenza Virtus	9	9
17	Juve Stabia	9	8
18	Empoli	9	7
19	Sampdoria	9	5
20	Catanzaro	9	5

Lineups

Mantova 3-4-2-1

24

G 7.00

96 T. Maggioni D 7.30

29 S. Cella D 7.50

3 A. Dembélé D 7.20

50 F. Benaissa-Yahia M 6.90

10 D. Wieser 76' M 6.60

21 S. Trimboli M 7.50

17 N. Radaelli M 6.30

77 N. Buso 54' F 6.30

30 D. Bragantini 76' F 6.90

9 L. Mancuso 20' F 6.30

Bench

7

D. Mensah 70' F 6.70

36 F. Paoletti 14' M 6.30

19 F. Ruocco 36' M 6.20

23 T. Marras 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.70

Virtus Entella 3-5-2

22

G 7.30

15 I. Marconi 57' D 6.30

6 A. Tiritiello D 6.50

23 L. Parodi D 7.50

26 Stefano Di Mario M 7.30

8 N. Karić 77' M 7.20

5 N. Squizzato M 6.70

24

M 6.30

7

D. Bariti 70' M 6.60

17

69' F 6.20

10 L. Cuppone 57' F 6.20

Bench

11 Bernat Guiu 33' F 7.30

94 F. Mezzoni 20' D 6.50

Best on the pitch

T. Marras

F · Mantova

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 5 pass

S. Cella

D · Mantova

7.50

· 44 pass

S. Trimboli

M · Mantova

7.50

1 shots · 40 pass

L. Parodi

D · Virtus

7.50

· 28 pass

Bernat Guiu

F · Virtus

7.30

· 7 pass

T. Maggioni

D · Mantova

7.30

· 51 pass

Mantova — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	18	14%	—	—	—
T. Maggioni	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	51	41%	2	—	—
S. Cella	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	44	40%	—	—	—
A. Dembélé	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	39	32%	1	1	—
F. Benaissa-Yahia	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	35	26%	1	—	—
D. Wieser	M	76	6.60	—	—	1	14	13%	—	—	—
S. Trimboli	M	90	7.50	—	—	1	40	35%	—	—	—
N. Radaelli	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	35	26%	1	1	—
N. Buso	F	54	6.30	—	—	2	10	7%	1	—	—
D. Bragantini	F	76	6.90	—	—	2	25	19%	—	—	—
L. Mancuso	F	20	6.30	—	—	1	1	1%	—	—	—
D. Mensah	F	70	6.70	—	—	—	9	6%	—	—	—
F. Paoletti	M	14	6.30	—	—	—	4	3%	—	1	—
F. Ruocco	M	36	6.20	—	—	—	14	12%	—	—	—
T. Marras	F	14	7.70	1	—	2	5	2%	1	1	—

Virtus Entella — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	24	8%	—	—	—
I. Marconi	D	57	6.30	—	—	—	21	14%	2	1	—
A. Tiritiello	D	90	6.50	—	—	2	41	25%	1	1	—
L. Parodi	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	28	23%	1	—	—
Stefano Di Mario	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	21	12%	3	—	—
N. Karić	M	77	7.20	—	—	—	24	18%	—	—	—
N. Squizzato	M	90	6.70	—	—	1	39	30%	2	1	—
	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	18	9%	2	—	—
D. Bariti	M	70	6.60	—	—	—	24	18%	1	—	—
	F	69	6.20	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—
L. Cuppone	F	57	6.20	—	—	1	9	6%	—	—	—
Bernat Guiu	F	33	7.30	—	—	—	7	6%	1	—	—
F. Mezzoni	D	20	6.50	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—