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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 21:00
Moreirense
#7 · 42 pts
0 – 1
Final score
SC Braga
#4 · 58 pts
✓Model correct — prediction SC Braga
24' F. Navarro

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Braga a 66% win probability (draw 16%, Moreirense 16%). The final result was Moreirense 0–1 SC Braga. In 1 previous meetings, Moreirense have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SC Braga.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
7
0.38
Actual xG
1.31
6
Saves
2
40%
Possession
60%
4
Corners
9
23
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
24'
F. Navarro⚽
33'
Gustaf Lagerbielke
↕ Rodri / M. Stjepanovic
67'
↕ G. Batista / Kevyn Monteiro
68'
↕ Kiko Bondoso / C. Teguia
68'
↕ Landerson / Fabiano
72'
76'
Fran Navarro
76'
D. Rodrigues / F. Navarro ↕
76'
M. Dorgeles / G. Martinez ↕
85'
Pau Víctor
86'
A. El Ouazzani / P. Victor ↕
90'+3
Gabriel Moscardo / R. Horta ↕
Pre-match prediction
16.9%
Moreirense
16.36%
X
66.74%
SC ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (SC Braga) 66.74% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Moreirense
0.70
0.38
-0.32
SC
2.36
1.31
-1.05
SC Braga dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.38). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
Moreirense Moreirense 5-4-1
13
André Ferreira G 8.90
78 Landerson Landerson 72' D 6.30
27 Kiko Kiko D 7.20
26 Maracás Maracás D 6.50
66 Gilberto Batista Gilberto Batista 68' D 6.30
2 Diogo Travassos Diogo Travassos D 7.30
11 Alan Alan M 6.90
21
Rodri 67' M 6.70
23 Nile John Nile John M 6.30
10 Kiko Bondoso Kiko Bondoso 68' M 6.70
9 Luís Semedo Luís Semedo F 6.30
Bench
25 Afonso Assis Afonso Assis M
22 Caio Secco Caio Secco G
7 Cedric Teguia Cedric Teguia 22' F 6.60
70 Fabiano Souza Fabiano Souza 18' D 6.90
8 Mateja Stjepanović Mateja Stjepanović 23' M 6.70
SC Braga SC Braga 3-4-3
1 Lukáš Horníček Lukáš Horníček G 6.90
26
B. Arrey-Mbi D 7.00
4
S. Niakate D 7.70
14 Gustaf Lagerbielke Gustaf Lagerbielke D 6.90
77 Gabri Martínez Gabri Martínez 76' M 5.90
8 João Moutinho João Moutinho M 7.50
29 Jean-Baptiste Gorby Jean-Baptiste Gorby M 6.60
2 Víctor Gómez Víctor Gómez M 7.30
21 Ricardo Horta Ricardo Horta 89' F 7.30
39 Fran Navarro Fran Navarro 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.30
18 Pau Victor Pau Victor 86' F 6.70
Bench
9 Amine El Ouazzani Amine El Ouazzani 8' F 6.50
34 Demir Ege Tıknaz Demir Ege Tıknaz M
50
D. Rodrigues 14' M 6.70
27
F. Grillitsch M
17 Gabriel Moscardo Gabriel Moscardo 1' M
5 Leonardo Lelo Leonardo Lelo D
20 Mario Dorgeles Mario Dorgeles 14' M 6.30
15 Paulo Oliveira Paulo Oliveira D
Best on the pitch
André Ferreira
G · Moreirense
8.90
· 30 pass
S. Niakate
D · SC
7.70
1 shots · 64 pass
João Moutinho
João Moutinho
M · SC
7.50
1 shots · 104 pass
Fran Navarro
Fran Navarro
F · SC
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
Ricardo Horta
Ricardo Horta
F · SC
7.30
2 shots · 62 pass
Diogo Travassos
Diogo Travassos
D · Moreirense
7.30
· 43 pass
Moreirense Moreirense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
André Ferreira G 90 8.90 — — — 30 19% — — —
Landerson D 72 6.30 — — — 14 13% — — —
Kiko D 90 7.20 — — 2 50 43% 1 — —
Maracás D 90 6.50 — — — 50 41% 2 — —
Gilberto Batista D 68 6.30 — — — 41 34% 6 — —
Diogo Travassos D 90 7.30 — — — 43 30% 7 — —
Alan M 90 6.90 — — 1 35 31% 2 — —
Rodri M 67 6.70 — — — 33 28% — — —
Nile John M 90 6.30 — — 2 23 21% 1 — —
Kiko Bondoso M 68 6.70 — — — 15 11% 1 — —
Luís Semedo F 90 6.30 — — 1 18 17% 1 — —
Cedric Teguia F 22 6.60 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Fabiano Souza D 18 6.90 — — — 13 12% — — —
Mateja Stjepanović M 23 6.70 — — — 24 19% 1 — —
SC Braga SC Braga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lukáš Horníček G 90 6.90 — — — 34 20% — — —
B. Arrey-Mbi D 90 7.00 — — — 74 65% 1 — —
S. Niakate D 90 7.70 — — 1 64 59% 1 — —
Gustaf Lagerbielke D 90 6.90 — — — 71 64% 1 1 —
Gabri Martínez M 76 5.90 — — 1 44 34% 1 — —
João Moutinho M 90 7.50 — — 1 104 98% 2 — —
Jean-Baptiste Gorby M 90 6.60 — — — 65 62% — — —
Víctor Gómez M 90 7.30 — — — 37 31% 1 — —
Ricardo Horta F 89 7.30 — — 2 62 51% 3 — —
Fran Navarro F 76 7.30 1 — 2 18 16% — 1 —
Pau Victor F 86 6.70 — — — 42 38% 2 1 —
Amine El Ouazzani F 8 6.50 — — — — — — — —
D. Rodrigues M 14 6.70 — — 1 13 11% — — —
Gabriel Moscardo M 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Mario Dorgeles M 14 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Moreirense vs SC Braga?
The final score was Moreirense 0–1 SC Braga.
What did the model predict before Moreirense vs SC Braga?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Moreirense win, 16% to a draw, and 66% to an SC Braga win.