Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 28
April 04, 2026 19:00
✓Model correct — prediction SC Braga
24'
F. Navarro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Braga a 66% win probability (draw 16%, Moreirense 16%). The final result was Moreirense 0–1 SC Braga. In 2 previous meetings, Moreirense have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for SC Braga.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
7
0.38
Actual xG
1.31
6
Saves
2
40%
Possession
60%
4
Corners
9
23
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
24'
F. Navarro⚽
33'
Gustaf Lagerbielke
Rodri
/ M. Stjepanovic
67'
G. Batista
/ Kevyn Monteiro
68'
Kiko Bondoso
/ C. Teguia
68'
Landerson
/ Fabiano
72'
76'
Fran Navarro
76'
D. Rodrigues
/
F. Navarro
76'
M. Dorgeles
/
G. Martinez
85'
Pau Víctor
86'
A. El Ouazzani
/
P. Victor
90'+3
Gabriel Moscardo
/
R. Horta
Pre-match prediction
16.9%
Moreirense
16.36%
X
66.74%
SC ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (SC Braga)
66.74%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.70
0.38
-0.32
2.36
1.31
-1.05
SC Braga dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
André Ferreira
G
André Ferreira
G
78
Landerson
72'
D
Landerson
72'
D
27
Kiko
D
Kiko
D
26
Maracás
D
Maracás
D
66
Gilberto Batista
68'
D
Gilberto Batista
68'
D
2
Diogo Travassos
D
Diogo Travassos
D
11
Alan
M
Alan
M
21
Rodri Alonso
67'
M
Rodri Alonso
67'
M
23
N. John
M
N. John
M
10
Kiko Bondoso
68'
M
Kiko Bondoso
68'
M
9
Luís Semedo
F
Luís Semedo
F
Bench
25
Afonso Assis
M
Afonso Assis
M
22
Caio Secco
G
7
Cedric Teguia
22'
F
Cedric Teguia
22'
F
70
Fabiano
18'
D
Fabiano
18'
D
8
M. Stjepanović
23'
M
M. Stjepanović
23'
M
1
L. Horníček
G
L. Horníček
G
26
B. Arrey-Mbi
D
B. Arrey-Mbi
D
4
S. Niakate
D
14
G. Lagerbielke
D
G. Lagerbielke
D
77
Gabri Martínez
76'
M
Gabri Martínez
76'
M
8
João Moutinho
M
João Moutinho
M
29
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
M
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
M
2
Víctor Gómez
M
Víctor Gómez
M
21
Ricardo Horta
89'
F
Ricardo Horta
89'
F
39
Fran Navarro
1 ⚽
76'
F
Fran Navarro
1 ⚽
76'
F
18
Pau Victor
86'
F
Pau Victor
86'
F
Bench
9
A. El Ouazzani
8'
F
A. El Ouazzani
8'
F
50
Diego Rodrigues
14'
M
Diego Rodrigues
14'
M
34
E. Tıknaz
M
E. Tıknaz
M
27
F. Grillitsch
M
F. Grillitsch
M
17
Gabriel Moscardo
1'
M
Gabriel Moscardo
1'
M
5
Leonardo Lelo
D
Leonardo Lelo
D
20
M. Dorgeles
14'
M
M. Dorgeles
14'
M
15
Paulo Oliveira
D
Paulo Oliveira
D
Best on the pitch
André Ferreira
G · Moreirense
8.90
· 30 pass
S. Niakate
D · SC
7.70
1 shots
· 64 pass
João Moutinho
M · SC
7.50
1 shots
· 104 pass
Fran Navarro
F · SC
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Ricardo Horta
F · SC
7.30
2 shots
· 62 pass
Diogo Travassos
D · Moreirense
7.30
· 43 pass
Moreirense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Ferreira | G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Landerson | D | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Kiko | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Maracás | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Gilberto Batista | D | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 6 | — | — |
| Diogo Travassos | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 30% | 7 | — | — |
| Alan | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodri Alonso | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| N. John | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Kiko Bondoso | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Luís Semedo | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Cedric Teguia | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabiano | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Stjepanović | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
SC Braga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Horníček | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 20% | — | — | — |
| B. Arrey-Mbi | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 74 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Niakate | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Lagerbielke | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 64% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabri Martínez | M | 76 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| João Moutinho | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 104 | 98% | 2 | — | — |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 65 | 62% | — | — | — |
| Víctor Gómez | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Ricardo Horta | F | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| Fran Navarro | F | 76 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Pau Victor | F | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. El Ouazzani | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Rodrigues | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Moscardo | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Dorgeles | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Moreirense vs SC Braga?
The final score was Moreirense 0–1 SC Braga.
What did the model predict before Moreirense vs SC Braga?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Moreirense win, 16% to a draw, and 66% to an SC Braga win.