HNL
· Regular Season - 30
April 17, 2026 19:45
✗Model wrong — prediction HNK Hajduk Split, result Pareggio
M. Dabro
(ast. D. Kovacic)
4'
I. Cubelic
(ast. F. Kruselj)
51'
38'
(ast. A. Pajaziti)
A. Rebic
(og)
63'
T. Bozic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 58% win probability (draw 20%, NK Slaven Belupo 20%). The final result was NK Slaven Belupo 2–2 HNK Hajduk Split. In 3 previous meetings, NK Slaven Belupo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for HNK Hajduk Split.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
4
2.05
Actual xG
1.57
3
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
6
Corners
1
17
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. Dabro
· ast. D. Kovacic
4'
28'
H. Guillamon
/
F. Krovinovic
K. Isasegi
/ G. Sivalec
36'
38'
ast. A. Pajaziti ·
A. Rebic⚽
46'
M. Livaja
47'
⚽I. Cubelic
· ast. F. Kruselj
51'
63'
(og)
T. Bozic⚽
71'
M. Skelin
/
S. Hrgovic
J. Mitrovic
72'
G. Sivalec
/ V. Medjimorec
77'
80'
A. Pajaziti
83'
A. Kalik
/
R. Pukstas
83'
I. Almena
/
A. Rebic
M. Dabro
/ I. Bozic
89'
Pre-match prediction
20.7%
NK
20.62%
X ←
58.69%
HNK
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.62%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
2.05
+1.14
2.38
1.57
-0.81
NK Slaven Belupo dominated by xG (2.05 vs 1.57).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
22
F. Jovic
D
4
Dominik Kovačić
1 👟
D
Dominik Kovačić
1 👟
D
6
Tomislav Božić
1 ⚽
D
18
Filip Krušelj
1 👟
D
Filip Krušelj
1 👟
D
17
F. Mazar
M
21
L. Crepulja
M
L. Crepulja
M
15
Ivan Ćubelić
1 ⚽
M
Ivan Ćubelić
1 ⚽
M
11
J. Mitrović
M
J. Mitrović
M
7
M. Dabro
1 ⚽
89'
F
33
Karlo Išasegi
36'
M
Karlo Išasegi
36'
M
Bench
26
Gabrijel Šivalec
41'
F
Gabrijel Šivalec
41'
F
23
Igor Lepinjica
M
Igor Lepinjica
M
24
Leon Bošnjak
M
Leon Bošnjak
M
20
Marko Petrovic
D
Marko Petrovic
D
33
G
17
D. Melnjak
D
15
D
31
Z. Šarlija
D
Z. Šarlija
D
32
S. Hrgovic
71'
D
23
F. Krovinovic
28'
M
4
A. Pajaziti
1 👟
M
9
A. Rebić
1 ⚽
83'
M
A. Rebić
1 ⚽
83'
M
21
R. Pukštas
83'
M
R. Pukštas
83'
M
28
R. Brajkovic
M
10
M. Livaja
F
M. Livaja
F
Bench
24
A. Sanyang
F
30
I. Almena
13'
F
37
N. Skoko
M
14
R. Raci
D
Best on the pitch
L. Crepulja
M · NK
8.00
· 76 pass
Ivan Ćubelić
M · NK
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 26 pass
M. Dabro
F · NK
7.90
1 ⚽
7 shots
· 18 pass
Dominik Kovačić
D · NK
7.50
1 👟
· 46 pass
A. Pajaziti
M · HNK
7.50
1 👟
· 66 pass
F. Mazar
M · NK
7.30
1 shots
· 37 pass
NK Slaven Belupo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| F. Jovic | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Dominik Kovačić | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 46 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomislav Božić | D | 90 | 6.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| Filip Krušelj | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Mazar | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Crepulja | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 76 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Ivan Ćubelić | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 26 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mitrović | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Dabro | F | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 7 | 18 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Karlo Išasegi | M | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabrijel Šivalec | F | 41 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| D. Melnjak | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | 1 | — | — | |
| Z. Šarlija | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Hrgovic | D | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Krovinovic | M | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Pajaziti | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 66 | 60% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Rebić | M | 83 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Pukštas | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Brajkovic | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Livaja | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Almena | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The final score was NK Slaven Belupo 2–2 HNK Hajduk Split.
What did the model predict before NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model assigned 20% probability to a NK Slaven Belupo win, 20% to a draw, and 58% to an HNK Hajduk Split win.