HNL · Regular Season - 30 April 17, 2026 17:45 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata

NK Slaven Belupo

#8 · 6 pts

2 – 2

Final score

HNK Hajduk Split

#2 · 13 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction HNK Hajduk Split, result Draw

M. Dabro (ast. D. Kovacic) 4'

I. Cubelic (ast. F. Kruselj) 51'

38' (ast. A. Pajaziti) A. Rebic

(og) 63' T. Bozic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 58% win probability (draw 20%, NK Slaven Belupo 20%). The final result was NK Slaven Belupo 2–2 HNK Hajduk Split. In 3 previous meetings, NK Slaven Belupo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for HNK Hajduk Split.

Match statistics

13

Total shots

7

5

Shots on target

4

2.05

Actual xG

1.57

3

Saves

3

44%

Possession

56%

6

Corners

1

17

Tackles

14

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

⚽M. Dabro · ast. D. Kovacic

4'

28'

H. Guillamon / F. Krovinovic ↕

↕ K. Isasegi / G. Sivalec

36'

38'

ast. A. Pajaziti · A. Rebic⚽

46'

M. Livaja

47'

⚽I. Cubelic · ast. F. Kruselj

51'

63'

(og) T. Bozic⚽

71'

M. Skelin / S. Hrgovic ↕

J. Mitrovic

72'

↕ G. Sivalec / V. Medjimorec

77'

80'

A. Pajaziti

83'

A. Kalik / R. Pukstas ↕

83'

I. Almena / A. Rebic ↕

↕ M. Dabro / I. Bozic

89'

Pre-match prediction

20.7%

NK

20.62%

X ←

58.69%

HNK

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.62% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

NK

0.91

2.05

+1.14

HNK

2.38

1.57

-0.81

NK Slaven Belupo dominated by xG (2.05 vs 1.57). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	NK Osijek	7	15
2	HNK Hajduk Split	6	13
3	Dinamo Zagreb	6	13
4	NK Varazdin	6	13
5	HNK Rijeka	6	11
6	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	7	7
7	Istra 1961	6	6
8	NK Slaven Belupo	6	6
9	Rudes	6	3
10	HNK Gorica	6	1

Lineups

NK Slaven Belupo 4-3-3

31

G 7.20

22

F. Jovic D 5.90

4 D. Kovačić 1 👟 D 7.50

6 T. Božić 1 ⚽ D 6.00

18 Filip Krušelj 1 👟 D 6.20

17 F. Mažar M 7.30

21 L. Crepulja M 8.00

15 I. Ćubelić 1 ⚽ M 7.90

11 J. Mitrović M 6.60

7 M. Dabro 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90

33 K. Išasegi 36' M 6.70

Bench

26 Gabrijel Šivalec 41' F 6.20

23 Igor Lepinjica M

24 L. Bošnjak M

20 Marko Petrović D

HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1

33

G 6.60

17 D. Melnjak D 6.90

15

D 6.70

31 Z. Šarlija D 6.60

32 Š. Hrgović 71' D 6.20

23 F. Krovinović 28' M 6.50

4 A. Pajaziti 1 👟 M 7.50

9 A. Rebić 1 ⚽ 83' M 7.20

21 R. Pukštas 83' M 6.20

28

Roko Brajković M 6.50

10 M. Livaja F 6.20

Bench

24 A. Sanyang F

30 Iker Almena 13' F 6.50

37 N. Skoko M

14 R. Raci D

Best on the pitch

L. Crepulja

M · NK

8.00

· 76 pass

I. Ćubelić

M · NK

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 26 pass

M. Dabro

F · NK

7.90

1 ⚽

7 shots · 18 pass

D. Kovačić

D · NK

7.50

1 👟

· 46 pass

A. Pajaziti

M · HNK

7.50

1 👟

· 66 pass

F. Mažar

M · NK

7.30

1 shots · 37 pass

NK Slaven Belupo — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	23	13%	—	—	—
F. Jovic	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	29	19%	—	—	—
D. Kovačić	D	90	7.50	—	1	—	46	40%	2	—	—
T. Božić	D	90	6.00	1	—	1	31	21%	4	—	—
Filip Krušelj	D	90	6.20	—	1	—	27	19%	2	—	—
F. Mažar	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	37	32%	1	—	—
L. Crepulja	M	90	8.00	—	—	—	76	68%	1	—	—
I. Ćubelić	M	90	7.90	1	—	3	26	17%	1	—	—
J. Mitrović	M	90	6.60	—	—	1	23	17%	1	1	—
M. Dabro	F	89	7.90	1	—	7	18	13%	3	—	—
K. Išasegi	M	36	6.70	—	—	—	6	5%	2	—	—
Gabrijel Šivalec	F	41	6.20	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—

HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	24	14%	—	—	—
D. Melnjak	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	39	28%	2	—	—
	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	64	56%	1	—	—
Z. Šarlija	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	45	43%	3	—	—
Š. Hrgović	D	71	6.20	—	—	—	16	11%	1	—	—
F. Krovinović	M	28	6.50	—	—	1	13	9%	—	—	—
A. Pajaziti	M	90	7.50	—	1	—	66	60%	1	1	—
A. Rebić	M	83	7.20	1	—	2	23	15%	4	—	—
R. Pukštas	M	83	6.20	—	—	—	19	18%	2	—	—
Roko Brajković	M	90	6.50	—	—	2	30	26%	—	—	—
M. Livaja	F	90	6.20	—	—	—	19	11%	—	1	—
Iker Almena	F	13	6.50	—	—	1	11	11%	—	—	—