← HNL
HNL · Regular Season - 30 April 17, 2026 19:45
#7 · 41 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#2 · 64 pts
Model wrong — prediction HNK Hajduk Split, result Pareggio
M. Dabro (ast. D. Kovacic) 4'
I. Cubelic (ast. F. Kruselj) 51'
38' (ast. A. Pajaziti) A. Rebic
(og) 63' T. Bozic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 58% win probability (draw 20%, NK Slaven Belupo 20%). The final result was NK Slaven Belupo 2–2 HNK Hajduk Split. In 3 previous meetings, NK Slaven Belupo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for HNK Hajduk Split.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
4
2.05
Actual xG
1.57
3
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
6
Corners
1
17
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Dabro · ast. D. Kovacic
4'
28'
H. Guillamon / F. Krovinovic
K. Isasegi / G. Sivalec
36'
38'
ast. A. Pajaziti · A. Rebic
46'
M. Livaja
47'
I. Cubelic · ast. F. Kruselj
51'
63'
(og) T. Bozic
71'
M. Skelin / S. Hrgovic
J. Mitrovic
72'
G. Sivalec / V. Medjimorec
77'
80'
A. Pajaziti
83'
A. Kalik / R. Pukstas
83'
I. Almena / A. Rebic
M. Dabro / I. Bozic
89'
Pre-match prediction
20.7%
NK
20.62%
X ←
58.69%
HNK
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.62% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NK
0.91
2.05
+1.14
HNK
2.38
1.57
-0.81
NK Slaven Belupo dominated by xG (2.05 vs 1.57). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 34 82
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 34 64
3 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 34 49
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 34 48
5 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 34 42
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 34 42
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 34 41
8 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 34 38
9 NK Osijek NK Osijek 34 32
10 Vukovar Vukovar 34 28
Lineups
31
G 7.20
22
F. Jovic D 5.90
4 Dominik Kovačić Dominik Kovačić 1 👟 D 7.50
6
Tomislav Božić 1 ⚽ D 6.00
18 Filip Krušelj Filip Krušelj 1 👟 D 6.20
17
F. Mazar M 7.30
21 L. Crepulja L. Crepulja M 8.00
15 Ivan Ćubelić Ivan Ćubelić 1 ⚽ M 7.90
11 J. Mitrović J. Mitrović M 6.60
7
M. Dabro 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90
33 Karlo Išasegi Karlo Išasegi 36' M 6.70
Bench
26 Gabrijel Šivalec Gabrijel Šivalec 41' F 6.20
23 Igor Lepinjica Igor Lepinjica M
24 Leon Bošnjak Leon Bošnjak M
20 Marko Petrovic Marko Petrovic D
33
G 6.60
17
D. Melnjak D 6.90
15
D 6.70
31 Z. Šarlija Z. Šarlija D 6.60
32
S. Hrgovic 71' D 6.20
23
F. Krovinovic 28' M 6.50
4
A. Pajaziti 1 👟 M 7.50
9 A. Rebić A. Rebić 1 ⚽ 83' M 7.20
21 R. Pukštas R. Pukštas 83' M 6.20
28
R. Brajkovic M 6.50
10 M. Livaja M. Livaja F 6.20
Bench
24
A. Sanyang F
30
I. Almena 13' F 6.50
37
N. Skoko M
14
R. Raci D
Best on the pitch
L. Crepulja
L. Crepulja
M · NK
8.00
· 76 pass
Ivan Ćubelić
Ivan Ćubelić
M · NK
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 26 pass
M. Dabro
F · NK
7.90
1 ⚽
7 shots · 18 pass
Dominik Kovačić
Dominik Kovačić
D · NK
7.50
1 👟
· 46 pass
A. Pajaziti
M · HNK
7.50
1 👟
· 66 pass
F. Mazar
M · NK
7.30
1 shots · 37 pass
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 23 13%
F. Jovic D 90 5.90 29 19%
Dominik Kovačić D 90 7.50 1 46 40% 2
Tomislav Božić D 90 6.00 1 1 31 21% 4
Filip Krušelj D 90 6.20 1 27 19% 2
F. Mazar M 90 7.30 1 37 32% 1
L. Crepulja M 90 8.00 76 68% 1
Ivan Ćubelić M 90 7.90 1 3 26 17% 1
J. Mitrović M 90 6.60 1 23 17% 1 1
M. Dabro F 89 7.90 1 7 18 13% 3
Karlo Išasegi M 36 6.70 6 5% 2
Gabrijel Šivalec F 41 6.20 5 4%
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 24 14%
D. Melnjak D 90 6.90 1 39 28% 2
D 90 6.70 64 56% 1
Z. Šarlija D 90 6.60 45 43% 3
S. Hrgovic D 71 6.20 16 11% 1
F. Krovinovic M 28 6.50 1 13 9%
A. Pajaziti M 90 7.50 1 66 60% 1 1
A. Rebić M 83 7.20 1 2 23 15% 4
R. Pukštas M 83 6.20 19 18% 2
R. Brajkovic M 90 6.50 2 30 26%
M. Livaja F 90 6.20 19 11% 1
I. Almena F 13 6.50 1 11 11%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The final score was NK Slaven Belupo 2–2 HNK Hajduk Split.
What did the model predict before NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model assigned 20% probability to a NK Slaven Belupo win, 20% to a draw, and 58% to an HNK Hajduk Split win.