Championship · Regular Season - 42 April 11, 2026 16:00

Oxford United

#22 · 47 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Watford

#16 · 57 pts

M. Peart-Harris 19'

M. Harris 90'+2

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Watford 26%). The final result was Oxford United 2–0 Watford. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Watford.

Match statistics

12

Total shots

7

6

Shots on target

3

1.88

Actual xG

0.96

3

Saves

4

34%

Possession

66%

10

Corners

5

16

Tackles

14

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

⚽M. Peart-Harris

19'

57'

N. Irankunda

M. Peart-Harris

59'

60'

K. Baah / N. Mendy ↕

61'

K. Keben / J. Petris ↕

61'

M. Doumbia / L. Kjerrumgaard ↕

68'

O. Maamma / G. Chakvetadze ↕

71'

I. Louza

↕ M. Peart-Harris / H. ter Avest

78'

↕ J. Donley / M. Harris

87'

89'

T. Ince / S. Goglichidze ↕

⚽M. Harris

90'+2

↕ Y. E. Konak / W. Vaulks

90'+3

↕ W. Lankshear / O. ter Haar Romeny

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

44.46%

Oxford ←

28.71%

X

26.83%

Watford

we assigned to the actual result (Oxford United) 44.46% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Oxford

1.34

1.88

+0.54

Watford

1.03

0.96

-0.07

Oxford United dominated by xG (1.88 vs 0.96). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Coventry	46	95
2	Ipswich	46	84
3	Millwall	46	83
4	Southampton	46	80
5	Middlesbrough	46	80
6	Hull City	46	73
7	Wrexham	46	71
8	Derby	46	69
9	Norwich	46	65
10	Birmingham	46	64
11	Swansea	46	64
12	Bristol City	46	62
13	Sheffield Utd	46	60
14	Preston	46	60
15	QPR	46	58
16	Watford	46	57
17	Stoke City	46	55
18	Portsmouth	46	55
19	Charlton	46	53
20	Blackburn	46	52
21	West Brom	46	51
22	Oxford United	46	47
23	Leicester	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday	46	0

Lineups

Oxford United 4-2-3-1

1

G 7.50

15

B. Spencer D 7.30

3

C. Brown D 7.30

6

M. Helik D 6.60

2

S. Long D 7.30

8

C. Brannagan M 7.20

5

Y. E. Konak M 7.00

44

M. Peart-Harris 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.30

33

J. Donley 87' M 7.20

17

S. Mills M 6.60

27 W. Lankshear F 6.90

Bench

24

H. ter Avest 19' D 6.60

38

J. McDonnell M

9

M. Harris 1 ⚽ 10' F 7.30

4

W. Vaulks 4' M

Watford 4-4-2

1

E. Selvik G 6.30

25

J. Abankwah D 6.50

3

Saba Goglichidze 89' D 7.30

6

M. Pollock D 6.50

29

J. Petris 61' D 7.00

8

G. Chakvetadze 68' M 6.50

10 I. Louza M 6.90

23

N. Mendy 60' M 6.20

66 N. Irankunda M 6.60

39 E. Kayembe F 6.20

9

L. Kjerrumgaard 61' F 6.70

Bench

20

M. Doumbia 36' F 6.70

42

O. Maamma 29' F 6.60

17

P. Ekwah M

Best on the pitch

G · Oxford

7.50

· 29 pass

M. Harris

F · Oxford

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots

Saba Goglichidze

D · Watford

7.30

· 39 pass

M. Peart-Harris

M · Oxford

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 16 pass

S. Long

D · Oxford

7.30

1 shots · 13 pass

B. Spencer

D · Oxford

7.30

1 shots · 11 pass

Oxford United — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	97	7.50	—	—	—	29	14%	—	—	—
B. Spencer	D	97	7.30	—	—	1	11	6%	4	—	—
C. Brown	D	97	7.30	—	—	—	15	8%	1	—	—
M. Helik	D	97	6.60	—	—	1	16	12%	2	—	—
S. Long	D	97	7.30	—	—	1	13	8%	—	—	—
C. Brannagan	M	97	7.20	—	—	—	15	10%	2	—	—
Y. E. Konak	M	93	7.00	—	—	1	26	16%	2	—	—
M. Peart-Harris	M	78	7.30	1	—	1	16	8%	—	1	—
J. Donley	M	87	7.20	—	—	2	27	19%	3	—	—
S. Mills	M	97	6.60	—	—	2	21	14%	2	—	—
W. Lankshear	F	94	6.90	—	—	2	18	13%	—	—	—
H. ter Avest	D	19	6.60	—	—	—	4	—	—	—	—
M. Harris	F	10	7.30	1	—	1	—	—	—	—	—
W. Vaulks	M	4	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—

Watford — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Selvik	G	97	6.30	—	—	—	17	11%	—	—	—
J. Abankwah	D	97	6.50	—	—	—	44	39%	—	—	—
Saba Goglichidze	D	89	7.30	—	—	—	39	32%	3	—	—
M. Pollock	D	97	6.50	—	—	—	63	46%	2	—	—
J. Petris	D	61	7.00	—	—	—	22	18%	5	—	—
G. Chakvetadze	M	68	6.50	—	—	—	26	21%	—	—	—
I. Louza	M	97	6.90	—	—	2	69	57%	1	1	—
N. Mendy	M	60	6.20	—	—	—	41	32%	—	—	—
N. Irankunda	M	97	6.60	—	—	2	20	12%	1	1	—
E. Kayembe	F	97	6.20	—	—	—	49	40%	2	—	—
L. Kjerrumgaard	F	61	6.70	—	—	1	12	10%	—	—	—
M. Doumbia	F	36	6.70	—	—	2	6	5%	—	—	—
O. Maamma	F	29	6.60	—	—	—	12	9%	—	—	—