Championship · Regular Season - 42 April 11, 2026 16:00

Oxford United

2 – 0

Final score

Watford

#20 · 14 pts

M. Peart-Harris 19'

M. Harris 90'+2

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Watford 26%). The final result was Oxford United 2–0 Watford. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Watford.

Match statistics

12

Total shots

7

6

Shots on target

3

1.88

Actual xG

0.96

3

Saves

4

34%

Possession

66%

10

Corners

5

16

Tackles

14

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

⚽M. Peart-Harris

19'

57'

N. Irankunda

M. Peart-Harris

59'

60'

K. Baah / N. Mendy ↕

61'

K. Keben / J. Petris ↕

61'

M. Doumbia / L. Kjerrumgaard ↕

68'

O. Maamma / G. Chakvetadze ↕

71'

I. Louza

↕ M. Peart-Harris / H. ter Avest

78'

↕ J. Donley / M. Harris

87'

89'

T. Ince / S. Goglichidze ↕

⚽M. Harris

90'+2

↕ Y. E. Konak / W. Vaulks

90'+3

↕ W. Lankshear / O. ter Haar Romeny

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

44.46%

Oxford ←

28.71%

X

26.83%

Watford

we assigned to the actual result (Oxford United) 44.46% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Oxford

1.34

1.88

+0.54

Watford

1.03

0.96

-0.07

Oxford United dominated by xG (1.88 vs 0.96). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	14	28
2	Wolves	14	27
3	Birmingham	14	26
4	Stoke City	14	26
5	Swansea	14	26
6	West Brom	14	25
7	Southampton	14	24
8	West Ham	14	23
9	Sheffield Utd	14	22
10	Portsmouth	14	22
11	QPR	14	21
12	Norwich	14	18
13	Millwall	14	18
14	Blackburn	14	18
15	Bristol City	14	18
16	Wrexham	14	17
17	Bolton	15	17
18	Cardiff	14	15
19	Lincoln	14	15
20	Watford	14	14
21	Charlton	14	14
22	Burnley	14	10
23	Derby	15	10
24	Preston	14	5

Lineups

Oxford United 4-2-3-1

1

G 7.50

15 B. Spencer D 7.30

3 C. Brown D 7.30

6 M. Helik D 6.60

2 S. Long D 7.30

8 C. Brannagan M 7.20

5 Y. Konak M 7.00

44 M. Peart-Harris 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.30

33 J. Donley 87' M 7.20

17 S. Mills M 6.60

27 W. Lankshear F 6.90

Bench

24 H. ter Avest 19' D 6.60

38 Jamie Carson McDonnell M

9 M. Harris 1 ⚽ 10' F 7.30

4 W. Vaulks 4' M

Watford 4-4-2

1 E. Selvik G 6.30

25 J. Abankwah D 6.50

3 S. Goglichidze 89' D 7.30

6 M. Pollock D 6.50

29 J. Pétris 61' D 7.00

8 G. Chakvetadze 68' M 6.50

10 Imrân Louza M 6.90

23 N. Mendy 60' M 6.20

66 N. Irankunda M 6.60

39 E. Kayembe F 6.20

9 L. Kjerrumgaard 61' F 6.70

Bench

20 M. Doumbia 36' F 6.70

42 O. Maamma 29' F 6.60

17 P. Ekwah M

Best on the pitch

G · Oxford

7.50

· 29 pass

M. Harris

F · Oxford

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots

S. Goglichidze

D · Watford

7.30

· 39 pass

M. Peart-Harris

M · Oxford

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 16 pass

S. Long

D · Oxford

7.30

1 shots · 13 pass

B. Spencer

D · Oxford

7.30

1 shots · 11 pass

Oxford United — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	97	7.50	—	—	—	29	14%	—	—	—
B. Spencer	D	97	7.30	—	—	1	11	6%	4	—	—
C. Brown	D	97	7.30	—	—	—	15	8%	1	—	—
M. Helik	D	97	6.60	—	—	1	16	12%	2	—	—
S. Long	D	97	7.30	—	—	1	13	8%	—	—	—
C. Brannagan	M	97	7.20	—	—	—	15	10%	2	—	—
Y. Konak	M	93	7.00	—	—	1	26	16%	2	—	—
M. Peart-Harris	M	78	7.30	1	—	1	16	8%	—	1	—
J. Donley	M	87	7.20	—	—	2	27	19%	3	—	—
S. Mills	M	97	6.60	—	—	2	21	14%	2	—	—
W. Lankshear	F	94	6.90	—	—	2	18	13%	—	—	—
H. ter Avest	D	19	6.60	—	—	—	4	—	—	—	—
M. Harris	F	10	7.30	1	—	1	—	—	—	—	—
W. Vaulks	M	4	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—

Watford — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Selvik	G	97	6.30	—	—	—	17	11%	—	—	—
J. Abankwah	D	97	6.50	—	—	—	44	39%	—	—	—
S. Goglichidze	D	89	7.30	—	—	—	39	32%	3	—	—
M. Pollock	D	97	6.50	—	—	—	63	46%	2	—	—
J. Pétris	D	61	7.00	—	—	—	22	18%	5	—	—
G. Chakvetadze	M	68	6.50	—	—	—	26	21%	—	—	—
Imrân Louza	M	97	6.90	—	—	2	69	57%	1	1	—
N. Mendy	M	60	6.20	—	—	—	41	32%	—	—	—
N. Irankunda	M	97	6.60	—	—	2	20	12%	1	1	—
E. Kayembe	F	97	6.20	—	—	—	49	40%	2	—	—
L. Kjerrumgaard	F	61	6.70	—	—	1	12	10%	—	—	—
M. Doumbia	F	36	6.70	—	—	2	6	5%	—	—	—
O. Maamma	F	29	6.60	—	—	—	12	9%	—	—	—