Championship · Regular Season - 42 April 11, 2026 16:00

Oxford United

2 – 0

Final score

Watford

#13 · 8 pts

M. Peart-Harris 19'

M. Harris 90'+2

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Watford 26%). The final result was Oxford United 2–0 Watford. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Watford.

Match statistics

12

Total shots

7

6

Shots on target

3

1.88

Actual xG

0.96

3

Saves

4

34%

Possession

66%

10

Corners

5

16

Tackles

14

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

⚽M. Peart-Harris

19'

57'

N. Irankunda

M. Peart-Harris

59'

60'

K. Baah / N. Mendy ↕

61'

K. Keben / J. Petris ↕

61'

M. Doumbia / L. Kjerrumgaard ↕

68'

O. Maamma / G. Chakvetadze ↕

71'

I. Louza

↕ M. Peart-Harris / H. ter Avest

78'

↕ J. Donley / M. Harris

87'

89'

T. Ince / S. Goglichidze ↕

⚽M. Harris

90'+2

↕ Y. E. Konak / W. Vaulks

90'+3

↕ W. Lankshear / O. ter Haar Romeny

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

44.46%

Oxford ←

28.71%

X

26.83%

Watford

we assigned to the actual result (Oxford United) 44.46% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Oxford

1.34

1.88

+0.54

Watford

1.03

0.96

-0.07

Oxford United dominated by xG (1.88 vs 0.96). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	West Ham	7	14
2	West Brom	7	14
3	QPR	7	12
4	Swansea	6	11
5	Charlton	6	11
6	Middlesbrough	5	10
7	Bristol City	5	10
8	Birmingham	7	10
9	Millwall	5	9
10	Norwich	6	9
11	Sheffield Utd	6	9
12	Wolves	5	8
13	Watford	6	8
14	Southampton	6	7
15	Stoke City	6	7
16	Wrexham	7	7
17	Bolton	7	7
18	Portsmouth	5	6
19	Blackburn	6	5
20	Lincoln	5	5
21	Cardiff	7	4
22	Derby	7	4
23	Burnley	6	3
24	Preston	6	3

Lineups

Oxford United 4-2-3-1

1

G 7.50

15 B. Spencer D 7.30

3 C. Brown D 7.30

6 M. Helik D 6.60

2 S. Long D 7.30

8 C. Brannagan M 7.20

5 Y. Konak M 7.00

44 M. Peart-Harris 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.30

33 J. Donley 87' M 7.20

17 S. Mills M 6.60

27 W. Lankshear F 6.90

Bench

24 H. ter Avest 19' D 6.60

38 Jamie Carson McDonnell M

9 M. Harris 1 ⚽ 10' F 7.30

4

W. Vaulks 4' M

Watford 4-4-2

1 E. Selvik G 6.30

25 J. Abankwah D 6.50

3 S. Goglichidze 89' D 7.30

6 M. Pollock D 6.50

29 J. Pétris 61' D 7.00

8 G. Chakvetadze 68' M 6.50

10 I. Louza M 6.90

23 N. Mendy 60' M 6.20

66 N. Irankunda M 6.60

39 E. Kayembe F 6.20

9 L. Kjerrumgaard 61' F 6.70

Bench

20 M. Doumbia 36' F 6.70

42 O. Maamma 29' F 6.60

17 P. Ekwah M

Best on the pitch

G · Oxford

7.50

· 29 pass

M. Harris

F · Oxford

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots

S. Goglichidze

D · Watford

7.30

· 39 pass

M. Peart-Harris

M · Oxford

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 16 pass

S. Long

D · Oxford

7.30

1 shots · 13 pass

B. Spencer

D · Oxford

7.30

1 shots · 11 pass

Oxford United — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	97	7.50	—	—	—	29	14%	—	—	—
B. Spencer	D	97	7.30	—	—	1	11	6%	4	—	—
C. Brown	D	97	7.30	—	—	—	15	8%	1	—	—
M. Helik	D	97	6.60	—	—	1	16	12%	2	—	—
S. Long	D	97	7.30	—	—	1	13	8%	—	—	—
C. Brannagan	M	97	7.20	—	—	—	15	10%	2	—	—
Y. Konak	M	93	7.00	—	—	1	26	16%	2	—	—
M. Peart-Harris	M	78	7.30	1	—	1	16	8%	—	1	—
J. Donley	M	87	7.20	—	—	2	27	19%	3	—	—
S. Mills	M	97	6.60	—	—	2	21	14%	2	—	—
W. Lankshear	F	94	6.90	—	—	2	18	13%	—	—	—
H. ter Avest	D	19	6.60	—	—	—	4	—	—	—	—
M. Harris	F	10	7.30	1	—	1	—	—	—	—	—
W. Vaulks	M	4	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—

Watford — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Selvik	G	97	6.30	—	—	—	17	11%	—	—	—
J. Abankwah	D	97	6.50	—	—	—	44	39%	—	—	—
S. Goglichidze	D	89	7.30	—	—	—	39	32%	3	—	—
M. Pollock	D	97	6.50	—	—	—	63	46%	2	—	—
J. Pétris	D	61	7.00	—	—	—	22	18%	5	—	—
G. Chakvetadze	M	68	6.50	—	—	—	26	21%	—	—	—
I. Louza	M	97	6.90	—	—	2	69	57%	1	1	—
N. Mendy	M	60	6.20	—	—	—	41	32%	—	—	—
N. Irankunda	M	97	6.60	—	—	2	20	12%	1	1	—
E. Kayembe	F	97	6.20	—	—	—	49	40%	2	—	—
L. Kjerrumgaard	F	61	6.70	—	—	1	12	10%	—	—	—
M. Doumbia	F	36	6.70	—	—	2	6	5%	—	—	—
O. Maamma	F	29	6.60	—	—	—	12	9%	—	—	—