Liga MX
· Clausura - 13
April 04, 2026 03:00
I. Moreno
55'
77'
(ast. F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin)
Madson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Puebla a 37% win probability (draw 25%, FC Juarez 37%). The final result was Puebla 1–1 FC Juarez. In 1 previous meetings, Puebla have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Juarez.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
3
1.42
Actual xG
1.53
2
Saves
6
50%
Possession
50%
8
Corners
9
13
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
46'
R. Pizarro
/
R. Fulgencio
54'
L. Dupuy
/
Guilherme Castilho
⚽I. Moreno
55'
A. Canelo
/ E. Lozano
65'
F. Monarrez
66'
68'
E. Ayon
/
O. Estupinan
68'
Madson
/
D. Garcia
68'
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
/
J. Aquino
77'
ast. F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin ·
Madson⚽
N. Diaz
82'
N. Diaz
82'
E. Gomez
/ O. Gonzalez
86'
A. Organista
/ J. R. Pachuca Martinez
86'
I. Moreno
/ B. Garnica
90'
Pre-match prediction
37.18%
Puebla
25.76%
X ←
37.06%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
1.42
+0.04
1.46
1.53
+0.07
xG dominance was balanced (1.42 – 1.53).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
28
G
6
N. Diaz
82'
D
4
J. Vargas
D
192
E. Navarro
D
7
F. Monarrez
M
24
A. Organista
86'
M
16
A. Ramirez
M
12
I. Moreno
1 ⚽
89'
M
11
E. Gomez
86'
F
26
K. Velasco
F
25
A. Canelo
65'
F
Bench
18
A. Gamarra
M
27
B. Garnica
11'
M
17
E. Lozano
25'
F
20
J. R. Pachuca Martinez
15'
D
1
S. Jurado
G
4
D
3
M. Mosquera
D
26
D
22
J. Aquino
68'
D
6
Monchu
M
5
D. Garcia
68'
M
13
R. Fulgencio
45'
M
20
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
M
8
Guilherme Castilho
54'
M
19
O. Estupinan
68'
F
Bench
29
E. Ayon
22'
F
237
E. Lopez
M
33
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
1 👟
22'
D
18
H. E. Martinez Yepez
M
2
J. Murillo
D
17
L. Dupuy
36'
F
9
Madson
1 ⚽
22'
F
11
Puma
M
10
R. Pizarro
45'
M
Best on the pitch
K. Velasco
F · Puebla
8.30
1 shots
· 46 pass
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
D · FC
7.70
1 👟
· 9 pass
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
M · FC
7.30
4 shots
· 24 pass
M. Mosquera
D · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 35 pass
Madson
F · FC
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
S. Jurado
G · FC
7.20
· 23 pass
Puebla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| N. Diaz | D | 82 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| J. Vargas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Navarro | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Monarrez | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Organista | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ramirez | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Moreno | M | 89 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Gomez | F | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| K. Velasco | F | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Canelo | F | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| B. Garnica | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Lozano | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. R. Pachuca Martinez | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
FC Juarez — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Jurado | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 56 | 43% | 2 | — | — | |
| M. Mosquera | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 38% | — | — | — | |
| J. Aquino | D | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Monchu | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Garcia | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. Fulgencio | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. M. Torres Ramirez I. | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 4 | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Castilho | M | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| O. Estupinan | F | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Ayon | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin | D | 22 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Dupuy | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Madson | F | 22 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Pizarro | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Puebla vs FC Juarez?
The final score was Puebla 1–1 FC Juarez.
What did the model predict before Puebla vs FC Juarez?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Puebla win, 25% to a draw, and 37% to an FC Juarez win.