I. Moreno
55'
77'
(ast. F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin)
Madson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Puebla a 37% win probability (draw 25%, FC Juarez 37%). The final result was Puebla 1–1 FC Juarez. In 2 previous meetings, Puebla have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Juarez.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
3
1.42
Actual xG
1.53
2
Saves
6
50%
Possession
50%
8
Corners
9
13
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
46'
R. Pizarro
/
R. Fulgencio
54'
L. Dupuy
/
Guilherme Castilho
⚽I. Moreno
55'
A. Canelo
/ E. Lozano
65'
F. Monarrez
66'
68'
E. Ayon
/
O. Estupinan
68'
Madson
/
D. Garcia
68'
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
/
J. Aquino
77'
ast. F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin ·
Madson⚽
N. Diaz
82'
N. Diaz
82'
E. Gomez
/ O. Gonzalez
86'
A. Organista
/ J. R. Pachuca Martinez
86'
I. Moreno
/ B. Garnica
90'
Pre-match prediction
37.18%
Puebla
25.76%
X ←
37.06%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
1.42
+0.04
1.46
1.53
+0.07
xG dominance was balanced (1.42 – 1.53).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
28
G
6
N. Díaz
82'
D
N. Díaz
82'
D
4
J. Vargas
D
J. Vargas
D
192
Eduardo Navarro
D
Eduardo Navarro
D
7
F. Monárrez
M
F. Monárrez
M
24
A. Organista
86'
M
A. Organista
86'
M
16
A. Ramírez
M
A. Ramírez
M
12
I. Moreno
1 ⚽
89'
M
I. Moreno
1 ⚽
89'
M
11
E. Gómez
86'
F
E. Gómez
86'
F
26
K. Velasco
F
K. Velasco
F
25
A. Canelo
65'
F
A. Canelo
65'
F
Bench
18
Ariel Gamarra
M
Ariel Gamarra
M
27
B. Garnica
11'
M
B. Garnica
11'
M
17
E. Lozano
25'
F
E. Lozano
25'
F
20
J. Pachuca
15'
D
J. Pachuca
15'
D
1
S. Jurado
G
S. Jurado
G
4
D
3
M. Mosquera
D
M. Mosquera
D
26
D
22
J. Aquino
68'
D
J. Aquino
68'
D
6
Monchu
M
Monchu
M
5
D. García
68'
M
D. García
68'
M
13
R. Fulgencio
45'
M
R. Fulgencio
45'
M
20
J. Torres
M
J. Torres
M
8
Guilherme Castilho
54'
M
Guilherme Castilho
54'
M
19
Ó. Estupiñán
68'
F
Ó. Estupiñán
68'
F
Bench
29
E. Ayón
22'
F
E. Ayón
22'
F
237
E. López
M
E. López
M
33
F. Nevárez
1 👟
22'
D
F. Nevárez
1 👟
22'
D
18
Homer Martinez
M
Homer Martinez
M
2
J. Murillo
D
J. Murillo
D
11
J. Rodríguez
M
J. Rodríguez
M
17
L. Martínez Dupuy
36'
F
L. Martínez Dupuy
36'
F
9
Madson
1 ⚽
22'
F
Madson
1 ⚽
22'
F
10
R. Pizarro
45'
M
R. Pizarro
45'
M
Best on the pitch
K. Velasco
F · Puebla
8.30
1 shots
· 46 pass
F. Nevárez
D · FC
7.70
1 👟
· 9 pass
J. Torres
M · FC
7.30
4 shots
· 24 pass
M. Mosquera
D · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 35 pass
Madson
F · FC
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
S. Jurado
G · FC
7.20
· 23 pass
Puebla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| N. Díaz | D | 82 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| J. Vargas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Navarro | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Monárrez | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Organista | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ramírez | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Moreno | M | 89 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Gómez | F | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| K. Velasco | F | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Canelo | F | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| B. Garnica | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Lozano | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Pachuca | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
FC Juarez — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Jurado | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 56 | 43% | 2 | — | — | |
| M. Mosquera | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 38% | — | — | — | |
| J. Aquino | D | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Monchu | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| D. García | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. Fulgencio | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Torres | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 4 | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Castilho | M | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ó. Estupiñán | F | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Ayón | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| F. Nevárez | D | 22 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Martínez Dupuy | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Madson | F | 22 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Pizarro | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Puebla vs FC Juarez?
The final score was Puebla 1–1 FC Juarez.
What did the model predict before Puebla vs FC Juarez?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Puebla win, 25% to a draw, and 37% to an FC Juarez win.