Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 28
April 04, 2026 21:00
J. Blesa
(ast. N. Abbey)
59'
5'
(ast. Lincoln)
Figueiredo
21'
(ast. Figueiredo)
Sandro Lima
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rio Ave a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Alverca 28%). The final result was Rio Ave 1–2 Alverca. In 1 previous meetings, Rio Ave have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Alverca.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
6
1.66
Actual xG
1.45
4
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
8
Corners
4
10
Tackles
25
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
5'
ast. Lincoln ·
Figueiredo⚽
21'
ast. Figueiredo ·
Sandro Lima⚽
T. Nikitscher
/ Ryan Guilherme
42'
Marios Vrousai
56'
⚽J. Blesa
· ast. N. Abbey
59'
N. Abbey
/ O. Richards
68'
O. Pohlmann
/ T. Monteiro
68'
69'
C. Nuozzi
/
Figueiredo
Jalen Blesa
74'
74'
Sandro Lima
74'
Marezi
/
Rhaldney
74'
V. Moreira
/
Sandro Lima
A. Ntoi
/ G. Liavas
81'
D. Spikic
/ J. Tome
81'
86'
D. Spencer
/
Chiquinho
Pre-match prediction
43.6%
Rio
28.18%
X
28.23%
Alverca ←
we assigned to the actual result (Alverca)
28.23%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
1.66
+0.37
0.98
1.45
+0.48
xG dominance was balanced (1.66 – 1.45).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
99
G
6
Nelson Abbey
1 👟
68'
D
Nelson Abbey
1 👟
68'
D
39
Gustavo Mancha
D
Gustavo Mancha
D
32
Jakub Brabec
D
Jakub Brabec
D
17
Marios Vrousai
D
Marios Vrousai
D
5
A. Ntoi
81'
M
A. Ntoi
81'
M
44
Tamás Nikitscher
42'
M
Tamás Nikitscher
42'
M
18
Dario Špikić
81'
M
Dario Špikić
81'
M
80
Olinho
68'
M
Olinho
68'
M
7
Diogo Bezerra
11
Jalen Blesa
1 ⚽
F
Jalen Blesa
1 ⚽
F
Bench
8
Ryan Guilherme
48'
M
Ryan Guilherme
48'
M
9
Tamblé Monteiro
22'
F
Tamblé Monteiro
22'
F
31
G
33
D
5
Sergi Gómez
D
Sergi Gómez
D
4
Kaiky Naves
D
Kaiky Naves
D
12
M
18
Lincoln
1 👟
M
Lincoln
1 👟
M
26
Rhaldney
74'
M
Rhaldney
74'
M
2
M
10
Chiquinho
86'
F
91
Sandro Lima
1 ⚽
74'
F
Sandro Lima
1 ⚽
74'
F
20
Figueiredo
1 ⚽
1 👟
69'
F
Figueiredo
1 ⚽
1 👟
69'
F
Bench
11
Cédric Nuozzi
21'
F
Cédric Nuozzi
21'
F
9
M. Milovanović
16'
F
M. Milovanović
16'
F
Best on the pitch
Jalen Blesa
F · Rio
8.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
Figueiredo
F · Alverca
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 31 pass
G · Alverca
7.90
· 31 pass
Kaiky Naves
D · Alverca
7.50
· 45 pass
Lincoln
M · Alverca
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 51 pass
Chiquinho
F · Alverca
7.20
1 shots
· 23 pass
Rio Ave — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Nelson Abbey | D | 68 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Mancha | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 62 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Jakub Brabec | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Marios Vrousai | D | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | 4 | 49 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Ntoi | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| Tamás Nikitscher | M | 42 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Dario Špikić | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Olinho | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Diogo Bezerra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jalen Blesa | F | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Ryan Guilherme | M | 48 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Tamblé Monteiro | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 1% | — | — | — |
Alverca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 2 | — | — | |
| Sergi Gómez | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Kaiky Naves | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — | |
| Lincoln | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 51 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| Rhaldney | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 3 | — | — | |
| Chiquinho | F | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Sandro Lima | F | 74 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Figueiredo | F | 69 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Cédric Nuozzi | F | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Milovanović | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Alverca?
The final score was Rio Ave 1–2 Alverca.
What did the model predict before Rio Ave vs Alverca?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Rio Ave win, 28% to a draw, and 28% to an Alverca win.