← Primeira Liga
#13 · 35 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#11 · 39 pts
J. Blesa (ast. N. Abbey) 59'
5' (ast. Lincoln) Figueiredo
21' (ast. Figueiredo) Sandro Lima

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rio Ave a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Alverca 28%). The final result was Rio Ave 1–2 Alverca. In 1 previous meetings, Rio Ave have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Alverca.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
6
1.66
Actual xG
1.45
4
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
8
Corners
4
10
Tackles
25
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
5'
ast. Lincoln · Figueiredo
21'
ast. Figueiredo · Sandro Lima
T. Nikitscher / Ryan Guilherme
42'
Marios Vrousai
56'
J. Blesa · ast. N. Abbey
59'
N. Abbey / O. Richards
68'
O. Pohlmann / T. Monteiro
68'
69'
C. Nuozzi / Figueiredo
Jalen Blesa
74'
74'
Sandro Lima
74'
Marezi / Rhaldney
74'
V. Moreira / Sandro Lima
A. Ntoi / G. Liavas
81'
D. Spikic / J. Tome
81'
86'
D. Spencer / Chiquinho
Pre-match prediction
43.6%
Rio
28.18%
X
28.23%
Alverca ←
we assigned to the actual result (Alverca) 28.23% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rio
1.29
1.66
+0.37
Alverca
0.98
1.45
+0.48
xG dominance was balanced (1.66 – 1.45). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
Rio Ave Rio Ave 4-2-3-1
99
G 6.20
6 Nelson Abbey Nelson Abbey 1 👟 68' D 6.70
39 Gustavo Mancha Gustavo Mancha D 6.70
32 Jakub Brabec Jakub Brabec D 6.90
17 Marios Vrousai Marios Vrousai D 5.20
5 A. Ntoi A. Ntoi 81' M 7.20
44 Tamás Nikitscher Tamás Nikitscher 42' M 6.30
18 Dario Špikić Dario Špikić 81' M 6.20
80 Olinho Olinho 68' M 6.30
7
Diogo Bezerra
11 Jalen Blesa Jalen Blesa 1 ⚽ F 8.90
Bench
8 Ryan Guilherme Ryan Guilherme 48' M 6.70
9 Tamblé Monteiro Tamblé Monteiro 22' F 6.70
Alverca Alverca 3-4-3
31
G 7.90
33
D 6.90
5 Sergi Gómez Sergi Gómez D 6.70
4 Kaiky Naves Kaiky Naves D 7.50
12
M 7.20
18 Lincoln Lincoln 1 👟 M 7.30
26 Rhaldney Rhaldney 74' M 6.60
2
M 6.90
10
Chiquinho 86' F 7.20
91 Sandro Lima Sandro Lima 1 ⚽ 74' F 6.90
20 Figueiredo Figueiredo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 69' F 8.20
Bench
11 Cédric Nuozzi Cédric Nuozzi 21' F 6.90
9 M. Milovanović M. Milovanović 16' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
Jalen Blesa
Jalen Blesa
F · Rio
8.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
Figueiredo
Figueiredo
F · Alverca
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 31 pass
G · Alverca
7.90
· 31 pass
Kaiky Naves
Kaiky Naves
D · Alverca
7.50
· 45 pass
Lincoln
Lincoln
M · Alverca
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 51 pass
Chiquinho
F · Alverca
7.20
1 shots · 23 pass
Rio Ave Rio Ave — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 28 25%
Nelson Abbey D 68 6.70 1 31 25% 1
Gustavo Mancha D 90 6.70 62 54%
Jakub Brabec D 90 6.90 66 59% 2
Marios Vrousai D 90 5.20 4 49 32% 2 1
A. Ntoi M 81 7.20 1 36 31% 4
Tamás Nikitscher M 42 6.30 16 16%
Dario Špikić M 81 6.20 1 32 23%
Olinho M 68 6.30 1 10 8% 1
Diogo Bezerra
Jalen Blesa F 90 8.90 1 3 22 15% 1
Ryan Guilherme M 48 6.70 2 32 28%
Tamblé Monteiro F 22 6.70 6 1%
Alverca Alverca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 31 17%
D 90 6.90 44 36% 2
Sergi Gómez D 90 6.70 28 24% 1
Kaiky Naves D 90 7.50 45 42% 3
M 90 7.20 1 34 29% 1
Lincoln M 90 7.30 1 2 51 48% 3
Rhaldney M 74 6.60 43 41% 3
M 90 6.90 1 36 29% 3
Chiquinho F 86 7.20 1 23 20% 3
Sandro Lima F 74 6.90 1 2 16 11% 2 1
Figueiredo F 69 8.20 1 1 3 31 24% 1
Cédric Nuozzi F 21 6.90 1 8 6% 3
M. Milovanović F 16 6.60 4 2%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Alverca?
The final score was Rio Ave 1–2 Alverca.
What did the model predict before Rio Ave vs Alverca?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Rio Ave win, 28% to a draw, and 28% to an Alverca win.