Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 28
April 04, 2026 19:00
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
J. Blesa
(ast. N. Abbey)
59'
5'
(ast. Lincoln)
Figueiredo
21'
(ast. Figueiredo)
Sandro Lima
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rio Ave a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Alverca 28%). The final result was Rio Ave 1–2 Alverca. In 2 previous meetings, Rio Ave have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Alverca.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
6
1.66
Actual xG
1.45
4
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
8
Corners
4
10
Tackles
25
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
5'
ast. Lincoln ·
Figueiredo⚽
21'
ast. Figueiredo ·
Sandro Lima⚽
T. Nikitscher
/ Ryan Guilherme
42'
Marios Vrousai
56'
⚽J. Blesa
· ast. N. Abbey
59'
N. Abbey
/ O. Richards
68'
O. Pohlmann
/ T. Monteiro
68'
69'
C. Nuozzi
/
Figueiredo
Jalen Blesa
74'
74'
Sandro Lima
74'
Marezi
/
Rhaldney
74'
V. Moreira
/
Sandro Lima
A. Ntoi
/ G. Liavas
81'
D. Spikic
/ J. Tome
81'
86'
D. Spencer
/
Chiquinho
Pre-match prediction
43.6%
Rio
28.18%
X
28.23%
Alverca ←
we assigned to the actual result (Alverca)
28.23%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
1.66
+0.37
0.98
1.45
+0.48
xG dominance was balanced (1.66 – 1.45).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
99
G
6
N. Abbey
1 👟
68'
D
N. Abbey
1 👟
68'
D
39
Gustavo Mancha
D
Gustavo Mancha
D
32
Jakub Brabec
D
Jakub Brabec
D
17
M. Vrousai
D
M. Vrousai
D
5
A. Ntoi
81'
M
A. Ntoi
81'
M
44
T. Nikitscher
42'
M
T. Nikitscher
42'
M
18
D. Špikić
81'
M
D. Špikić
81'
M
80
Ole Pohlmann
68'
M
Ole Pohlmann
68'
M
7
Diogo Bezerra
11
J. Blesa
1 ⚽
F
J. Blesa
1 ⚽
F
Bench
8
Ryan Guilherme
48'
M
Ryan Guilherme
48'
M
9
Tamble Monteiro
22'
F
Tamble Monteiro
22'
F
31
G
33
D
5
Sergi Gómez
D
Sergi Gómez
D
4
Kaiky Naves
D
Kaiky Naves
D
12
M
18
Lincoln
1 👟
M
Lincoln
1 👟
M
26
Rhaldney
74'
M
Rhaldney
74'
M
2
M
10
Chiquinho
86'
F
Chiquinho
86'
F
91
Sandro Lima
1 ⚽
74'
F
Sandro Lima
1 ⚽
74'
F
20
Figueiredo
1 ⚽
1 👟
69'
F
Figueiredo
1 ⚽
1 👟
69'
F
Bench
11
C. Nuozzi
21'
F
C. Nuozzi
21'
F
9
M. Milovanović
16'
F
M. Milovanović
16'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Blesa
F · Rio
8.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
Figueiredo
F · Alverca
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 31 pass
G · Alverca
7.90
· 31 pass
Kaiky Naves
D · Alverca
7.50
· 45 pass
Lincoln
M · Alverca
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 51 pass
Chiquinho
F · Alverca
7.20
1 shots
· 23 pass
Rio Ave — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| N. Abbey | D | 68 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Mancha | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 62 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Jakub Brabec | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Vrousai | D | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | 4 | 49 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Ntoi | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Nikitscher | M | 42 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. Špikić | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Ole Pohlmann | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Diogo Bezerra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. Blesa | F | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Ryan Guilherme | M | 48 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Tamble Monteiro | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 1% | — | — | — |
Alverca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 2 | — | — | |
| Sergi Gómez | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Kaiky Naves | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — | |
| Lincoln | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 51 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| Rhaldney | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 3 | — | — | |
| Chiquinho | F | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Sandro Lima | F | 74 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Figueiredo | F | 69 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Nuozzi | F | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Milovanović | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Alverca?
The final score was Rio Ave 1–2 Alverca.
What did the model predict before Rio Ave vs Alverca?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Rio Ave win, 28% to a draw, and 28% to an Alverca win.