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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 30 April 19, 2026 21:15
Sporting CP
#2 · 79 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Benfica
#3 · 77 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Sporting CP, result Benfica vince
H. Morita (ast. Z. Debast) 72'
(pen.) 27' A. Schjelderup
90'+3 (ast. L. Barreiro) Rafa Silva

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 52% win probability (draw 20%, Benfica 27%). The final result was Sporting CP 1–2 Benfica. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting CP have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Benfica.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
5
1.55
Actual xG
2.27
3
Saves
5
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
8
15
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽L. Suarez (missed pen.)
19'
27'
(pen.) A. Schjelderup⚽
M. Hjulmand
36'
R. Silva
53'
↕ O. Diomande / Z. Debast
60'
↕ E. Quaresma / G. Vagiannidis
61'
↕ Pote / G. Quenda
68'
⚽H. Morita · ast. Z. Debast
72'
75'
A. Trubin
78'
Rafa Silva / A. Schjelderup ↕
78'
V. Pavlidis / F. Ivanovic ↕
78'
A. Silva / T. Araujo ↕
78'
D. Lukebakio / G. Prestianni ↕
↕ H. Morita / D. Braganca
88'
↕ G. Catamo / R. Nel
88'
90'+3
ast. L. Barreiro · Rafa Silva⚽
90'+5
E. Barrenechea / L. Barreiro ↕
Pre-match prediction
52.17%
Sporting
20.8%
X
27.04%
Benfica ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Benfica) 27.04% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
2.30
1.55
-0.75
Benfica
1.62
2.27
+0.65
Benfica dominated by xG (2.27 vs 1.55). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva G 7.30
20 M. Araújo M. Araújo D 6.30
25 Gonçalo Inácio Gonçalo Inácio D 7.30
26 Ousmane Diomande Ousmane Diomande 60' D 6.90
72 Quaresma Quaresma 61' D 6.30
5 Hidemasa Morita Hidemasa Morita 1 ⚽ 88' M 7.70
42 M. Hjulmand M. Hjulmand M 6.90
8 Pote Pote 68' M 6.30
17 Trincão Trincão M 7.00
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 88' M 6.90
97 L. Suárez L. Suárez F 5.90
Bench
23 Daniel Bragança Daniel Bragança 8' M 6.30
7 Geovany Quenda Geovany Quenda 28' M 6.20
14 Giorgi Kochorashvili Giorgi Kochorashvili M
13
Giorgos Vagiannidis 35' D 6.30
90 Rafael Nel Rafael Nel 8' F 6.20
91 Ricardo Mangas Ricardo Mangas D
70 Salvador Blopa Salvador Blopa D
6
Z. Debast 1 👟 36' D 7.20
Benfica Benfica 4-2-3-1
1 Anatoliy Trubin Anatoliy Trubin G 7.30
26 Samuel Dahl Samuel Dahl D 6.70
30 N. Otamendi N. Otamendi D 6.60
44 Tomás Araújo Tomás Araújo 78' D 6.30
17
D 6.70
20 R. Rios R. Rios M 6.50
8 Fredrik Aursnes Fredrik Aursnes M 6.60
21 A. Schjelderup A. Schjelderup 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.00
18 L. Barreiro L. Barreiro 1 👟 M 6.70
25 Gianluca Prestianni Gianluca Prestianni 78' M 6.60
9 Franjo Ivanović Franjo Ivanović 78' F 5.90
Bench
6 Alexander Bah Alexander Bah D
11 D. Lukebakio D. Lukebakio 18' F 7.20
5 Enzo Barrenechea Enzo Barrenechea 1' M
10 Georgiy Sudakov Georgiy Sudakov M
27 Rafa Silva Rafa Silva 1 ⚽ 18' M 7.90
14 V. Pavlidis V. Pavlidis 18' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
Rafa Silva
Rafa Silva
M · Benfica
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Hidemasa Morita
Hidemasa Morita
M · Sporting
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
Rui Silva
Rui Silva
G · Sporting
7.30
· 22 pass
Gonçalo Inácio
Gonçalo Inácio
D · Sporting
7.30
· 69 pass
Anatoliy Trubin
Anatoliy Trubin
G · Benfica
7.30
· 26 pass
D. Lukebakio
D. Lukebakio
F · Benfica
7.20
· 6 pass
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rui Silva G 96 7.30 — — — 22 21% — 1 —
M. Araújo D 96 6.30 — — — 35 31% 1 — —
Gonçalo Inácio D 96 7.30 — — — 69 56% 3 — —
Ousmane Diomande D 60 6.90 — — — 48 44% 1 — —
Quaresma D 61 6.30 — — — 46 41% 1 — —
Hidemasa Morita M 88 7.70 1 — 2 34 25% 4 — —
M. Hjulmand M 96 6.90 — — 1 61 55% 2 1 —
Pote M 68 6.30 — — 4 22 16% 1 — —
Trincão M 96 7.00 — — 1 33 28% 1 — —
Geny Catamo M 88 6.90 — — 4 42 36% — — —
L. Suárez F 96 5.90 — — 1 15 13% 1 — —
Daniel Bragança M 8 6.30 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Geovany Quenda M 28 6.20 — — — 8 6% — — —
Giorgos Vagiannidis D 35 6.30 — — — 10 10% — — —
Rafael Nel F 8 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Z. Debast D 36 7.20 — 1 — 35 30% — — —
Benfica Benfica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anatoliy Trubin G 96 7.30 — — — 26 10% — 1 —
Samuel Dahl D 96 6.70 — — 2 22 13% 4 — —
N. Otamendi D 96 6.60 — — 2 23 21% 2 — —
Tomás Araújo D 78 6.30 — — 1 25 18% 1 — —
D 96 6.70 — — — 32 26% 1 — —
R. Rios M 96 6.50 — — — 36 29% 1 — —
Fredrik Aursnes M 96 6.60 — — — 44 38% 5 — —
A. Schjelderup M 78 7.00 1 — 3 14 10% 1 — —
L. Barreiro M 95 6.70 — 1 1 22 17% 2 — —
Gianluca Prestianni M 78 6.60 — — — 24 18% 1 — —
Franjo Ivanović F 78 5.90 — — — 12 9% 2 — —
D. Lukebakio F 18 7.20 — — — 6 5% — — —
Enzo Barrenechea M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Rafa Silva M 18 7.90 1 — 1 5 3% 1 — —
V. Pavlidis F 18 6.90 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Benfica?
The final score was Sporting CP 1–2 Benfica.
What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs Benfica?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Sporting CP win, 20% to a draw, and 27% to an Benfica win.