Skip to main content
← Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 30 April 19, 2026 19:15 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Sporting CP
#2 · 82 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Benfica
#3 · 80 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Sporting CP, result Benfica wins
H. Morita (ast. Z. Debast) 72'
(pen.) 27' A. Schjelderup
90'+3 (ast. L. Barreiro) Rafa Silva
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 52% win probability (draw 20%, Benfica 27%). The final result was Sporting CP 1–2 Benfica. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting CP have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Benfica.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
5
1.55
Actual xG
2.27
3
Saves
5
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
8
15
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽L. Suarez (missed pen.)
19'
27'
(pen.) A. Schjelderup⚽
M. Hjulmand
36'
R. Silva
53'
↕ O. Diomande / Z. Debast
60'
↕ E. Quaresma / G. Vagiannidis
61'
↕ Pote / G. Quenda
68'
⚽H. Morita · ast. Z. Debast
72'
75'
A. Trubin
78'
Rafa Silva / A. Schjelderup ↕
78'
V. Pavlidis / F. Ivanovic ↕
78'
A. Silva / T. Araujo ↕
78'
D. Lukebakio / G. Prestianni ↕
↕ H. Morita / D. Braganca
88'
↕ G. Catamo / R. Nel
88'
90'+3
ast. L. Barreiro · Rafa Silva⚽
90'+5
E. Barrenechea / L. Barreiro ↕
Pre-match prediction
52.17%
Sporting
20.8%
X
27.04%
Benfica ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Benfica) 27.04% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
2.30
1.55
-0.75
Benfica
1.62
2.27
+0.65
Benfica dominated by xG (2.27 vs 1.55). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 34 82
3 Benfica Benfica 34 80
4 SC Braga SC Braga 34 59
5 Famalicao Famalicao 34 56
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 34 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 34 43
8 Arouca Arouca 34 42
9 Guimaraes Guimaraes 34 42
10 Estoril Estoril 34 39
11 Alverca Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave Rio Ave 34 36
13 Santa Clara Santa Clara 34 36
14 Nacional Nacional 34 34
15 Estrela Estrela 34 30
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 34 30
17 Tondela Tondela 34 28
18 AVS AVS 34 21
Lineups
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva G 7.30
20 M. Araújo M. Araújo D 6.30
25 Gonçalo Inácio Gonçalo Inácio D 7.30
26 O. Diomande O. Diomande 60' D 6.90
72 Eduardo Quaresma Eduardo Quaresma 61' D 6.30
5 Hidemasa Morita Hidemasa Morita 1 ⚽ 88' M 7.70
42 M. Hjulmand M. Hjulmand M 6.90
8 Pote Pote 68' M 6.30
17 Francisco Trincão Francisco Trincão M 7.00
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 88' M 6.90
97 L. Suárez L. Suárez F 5.90
Bench
23 Daniel Bragança Daniel Bragança 8' M 6.30
13 Georgios Vagiannidis Georgios Vagiannidis 35' D 6.30
7 Geovany Quenda Geovany Quenda 28' M 6.20
14
Giorgi Kochorashvili M
90 Rafael Nel Rafael Nel 8' F 6.20
91 Ricardo Mangas Ricardo Mangas D
70 Salvador Blopa Salvador Blopa D
6
Z. Debast 1 👟 36' D 7.20
Benfica Benfica 4-2-3-1
1 Anatoliy Trubin Anatoliy Trubin G 7.30
26 Samuel Dahl Samuel Dahl D 6.70
30 Nicolás Otamendi Nicolás Otamendi D 6.60
44 Tomás Araújo Tomás Araújo 78' D 6.30
17
D 6.70
20 R. Rios R. Rios M 6.50
8 Fredrik Aursnes Fredrik Aursnes M 6.60
21 Andreas Schjelderup Andreas Schjelderup 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.00
18 L. Barreiro L. Barreiro 1 👟 M 6.70
25 G. Prestianni G. Prestianni 78' M 6.60
9 F. Ivanović F. Ivanović 78' F 5.90
Bench
6 Alexander Bah Alexander Bah D
11 Dodi Lukebakio Dodi Lukebakio 18' F 7.20
5 Enzo Barrenechea Enzo Barrenechea 1' M
10 H. Sudakov H. Sudakov M
27 Rafa Silva Rafa Silva 1 ⚽ 18' M 7.90
14 V. Pavlidis V. Pavlidis 18' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
Rafa Silva
Rafa Silva
M · Benfica
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Hidemasa Morita
Hidemasa Morita
M · Sporting
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
Rui Silva
Rui Silva
G · Sporting
7.30
· 22 pass
Gonçalo Inácio
Gonçalo Inácio
D · Sporting
7.30
· 69 pass
Anatoliy Trubin
Anatoliy Trubin
G · Benfica
7.30
· 26 pass
Dodi Lukebakio
Dodi Lukebakio
F · Benfica
7.20
· 6 pass
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rui Silva G 96 7.30 — — — 22 21% — 1 —
M. Araújo D 96 6.30 — — — 35 31% 1 — —
Gonçalo Inácio D 96 7.30 — — — 69 56% 3 — —
O. Diomande D 60 6.90 — — — 48 44% 1 — —
Eduardo Quaresma D 61 6.30 — — — 46 41% 1 — —
Hidemasa Morita M 88 7.70 1 — 2 34 25% 4 — —
M. Hjulmand M 96 6.90 — — 1 61 55% 2 1 —
Pote M 68 6.30 — — 4 22 16% 1 — —
Francisco Trincão M 96 7.00 — — 1 33 28% 1 — —
Geny Catamo M 88 6.90 — — 4 42 36% — — —
L. Suárez F 96 5.90 — — 1 15 13% 1 — —
Daniel Bragança M 8 6.30 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Georgios Vagiannidis D 35 6.30 — — — 10 10% — — —
Geovany Quenda M 28 6.20 — — — 8 6% — — —
Rafael Nel F 8 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Z. Debast D 36 7.20 — 1 — 35 30% — — —
Benfica Benfica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anatoliy Trubin G 96 7.30 — — — 26 10% — 1 —
Samuel Dahl D 96 6.70 — — 2 22 13% 4 — —
Nicolás Otamendi D 96 6.60 — — 2 23 21% 2 — —
Tomás Araújo D 78 6.30 — — 1 25 18% 1 — —
D 96 6.70 — — — 32 26% 1 — —
R. Rios M 96 6.50 — — — 36 29% 1 — —
Fredrik Aursnes M 96 6.60 — — — 44 38% 5 — —
Andreas Schjelderup M 78 7.00 1 — 3 14 10% 1 — —
L. Barreiro M 95 6.70 — 1 1 22 17% 2 — —
G. Prestianni M 78 6.60 — — — 24 18% 1 — —
F. Ivanović F 78 5.90 — — — 12 9% 2 — —
Dodi Lukebakio F 18 7.20 — — — 6 5% — — —
Enzo Barrenechea M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Rafa Silva M 18 7.90 1 — 1 5 3% 1 — —
V. Pavlidis F 18 6.90 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Benfica?
The final score was Sporting CP 1–2 Benfica.
What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs Benfica?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Sporting CP win, 20% to a draw, and 27% to an Benfica win.