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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 30 April 19, 2026 19:15 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Sporting CP
#3 · 15 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Benfica
#2 · 16 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Sporting CP, result Benfica wins
H. Morita (ast. Z. Debast) 72'
(pen.) 27' A. Schjelderup
90'+3 (ast. L. Barreiro) Rafa Silva
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 52% win probability (draw 20%, Benfica 27%). The final result was Sporting CP 1–2 Benfica. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting CP have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Benfica.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
5
1.55
Actual xG
2.27
3
Saves
5
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
8
15
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽L. Suarez (missed pen.)
19'
27'
(pen.) A. Schjelderup⚽
M. Hjulmand
36'
R. Silva
53'
↕ O. Diomande / Z. Debast
60'
↕ E. Quaresma / G. Vagiannidis
61'
↕ Pote / G. Quenda
68'
⚽H. Morita · ast. Z. Debast
72'
75'
A. Trubin
78'
Rafa Silva / A. Schjelderup ↕
78'
V. Pavlidis / F. Ivanovic ↕
78'
A. Silva / T. Araujo ↕
78'
D. Lukebakio / G. Prestianni ↕
↕ H. Morita / D. Braganca
88'
↕ G. Catamo / R. Nel
88'
90'+3
ast. L. Barreiro · Rafa Silva⚽
90'+5
E. Barrenechea / L. Barreiro ↕
Pre-match prediction
52.17%
Sporting
20.8%
X
27.04%
Benfica ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Benfica) 27.04% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
2.30
1.55
-0.75
Benfica
1.62
2.27
+0.65
Benfica dominated by xG (2.27 vs 1.55). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 7 21
2 Benfica Benfica 7 16
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 7 15
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 7 15
5 Arouca Arouca 7 11
6 SC Braga SC Braga 6 11
7 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 7 11
8 Estrela Estrela 7 10
9 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 6 8
10 Alverca Alverca 7 8
11 Maritimo Maritimo 7 8
12 Moreirense Moreirense 7 8
13 Famalicao Famalicao 7 7
14 Vitória SC Vitória SC 7 5
15 Nacional Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 7 4
17 Casa Pia Casa Pia 7 4
18 Estoril Estoril 7 2
Lineups
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva G 7.30
20 Maximiliano Araújo Maximiliano Araújo D 6.30
25 Gonçalo Inácio Gonçalo Inácio D 7.30
26 O. Diomande O. Diomande 60' D 6.90
72 Eduardo Quaresma Eduardo Quaresma 61' D 6.30
5 H. Morita H. Morita 1 ⚽ 88' M 7.70
42 M. Hjulmand M. Hjulmand M 6.90
8 Pedro Gonçalves Pedro Gonçalves 68' M 6.30
17 Trincão Trincão M 7.00
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 88' M 6.90
97 Luis Javier Suárez Luis Javier Suárez F 5.90
Bench
23 Daniel Bragança Daniel Bragança 8' M 6.30
7 Geovany Tcherno Quenda Geovany Tcherno Quenda 28' M 6.20
14 G. Kochorashvili G. Kochorashvili M
13 G. Vagiannidis G. Vagiannidis 35' D 6.30
90 Rafael Ferreira Nel Rafael Ferreira Nel 8' F 6.20
91 Ricardo Mangas Ricardo Mangas D
70 Salvador Blopa Salvador Blopa D
6 Z. Debast Z. Debast 1 👟 36' D 7.20
Benfica Benfica 4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin A. Trubin G 7.30
26 S. Dahl S. Dahl D 6.70
30 N. Otamendi N. Otamendi D 6.60
44 Tomás Araújo Tomás Araújo 78' D 6.30
17
D 6.70
20 Richard Ríos Richard Ríos M 6.50
8 F. Aursnes F. Aursnes M 6.60
21 A. Schjelderup A. Schjelderup 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.00
18 L. Barreiro L. Barreiro 1 👟 M 6.70
25 G. Prestianni G. Prestianni 78' M 6.60
9 F. Ivanović F. Ivanović 78' F 5.90
Bench
6 A. Bah A. Bah D
11 D. Lukebakio D. Lukebakio 18' F 7.20
5 Enzo Barrenechea Enzo Barrenechea 1' M
10 H. Sudakov H. Sudakov M
27 Rafa Rafa 1 ⚽ 18' M 7.90
14 V. Pavlidis V. Pavlidis 18' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
Rafa
Rafa
M · Benfica
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
H. Morita
H. Morita
M · Sporting
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
Rui Silva
Rui Silva
G · Sporting
7.30
· 22 pass
Gonçalo Inácio
Gonçalo Inácio
D · Sporting
7.30
· 69 pass
A. Trubin
A. Trubin
G · Benfica
7.30
· 26 pass
D. Lukebakio
D. Lukebakio
F · Benfica
7.20
· 6 pass
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rui Silva G 96 7.30 — — — 22 21% — 1 —
Maximiliano Araújo D 96 6.30 — — — 35 31% 1 — —
Gonçalo Inácio D 96 7.30 — — — 69 56% 3 — —
O. Diomande D 60 6.90 — — — 48 44% 1 — —
Eduardo Quaresma D 61 6.30 — — — 46 41% 1 — —
H. Morita M 88 7.70 1 — 2 34 25% 4 — —
M. Hjulmand M 96 6.90 — — 1 61 55% 2 1 —
Pedro Gonçalves M 68 6.30 — — 4 22 16% 1 — —
Trincão M 96 7.00 — — 1 33 28% 1 — —
Geny Catamo M 88 6.90 — — 4 42 36% — — —
Luis Javier Suárez F 96 5.90 — — 1 15 13% 1 — —
Daniel Bragança M 8 6.30 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Geovany Tcherno Quenda M 28 6.20 — — — 8 6% — — —
G. Vagiannidis D 35 6.30 — — — 10 10% — — —
Rafael Ferreira Nel F 8 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Z. Debast D 36 7.20 — 1 — 35 30% — — —
Benfica Benfica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Trubin G 96 7.30 — — — 26 10% — 1 —
S. Dahl D 96 6.70 — — 2 22 13% 4 — —
N. Otamendi D 96 6.60 — — 2 23 21% 2 — —
Tomás Araújo D 78 6.30 — — 1 25 18% 1 — —
D 96 6.70 — — — 32 26% 1 — —
Richard Ríos M 96 6.50 — — — 36 29% 1 — —
F. Aursnes M 96 6.60 — — — 44 38% 5 — —
A. Schjelderup M 78 7.00 1 — 3 14 10% 1 — —
L. Barreiro M 95 6.70 — 1 1 22 17% 2 — —
G. Prestianni M 78 6.60 — — — 24 18% 1 — —
F. Ivanović F 78 5.90 — — — 12 9% 2 — —
D. Lukebakio F 18 7.20 — — — 6 5% — — —
Enzo Barrenechea M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Rafa M 18 7.90 1 — 1 5 3% 1 — —
V. Pavlidis F 18 6.90 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Benfica?
The final score was Sporting CP 1–2 Benfica.
What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs Benfica?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Sporting CP win, 20% to a draw, and 27% to an Benfica win.