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Standard Liege - Genk

Pro League May 16, 2026 18:15
Standard Liege
#2 · 33 pts
vs
Genk
#1 · 33 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.77%
Win
Standard Liege
18.93%
Draw
44.3%
Win
Genk
2.25
Expected xG
2.56

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Genk a 44% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 36% for Standard Liege. Expected goals are 2.3 for Standard Liege and 2.6 for Genk (total 4.8), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 6.8% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Standard Liege have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Genk.

Score Matrix
↕ Standard Liege Genk →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7%
1 1.8% 4.7% 6.0% 5.1% 3.3% 1.7%
2 2.1% 5.3% 6.8% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9%
3 1.6% 4.0% 5.1% 4.3% 2.8% 1.4%
4 0.9% 2.2% 2.9% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4%
Recent form
Standard Liege Standard Liege
W OH Leuven 2–1
W Antwerp 0–5
D Genk 1–1
L Antwerp 1–2
W Charleroi 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 26%
Genk Genk
W KVC Westerlo 3–0
L Charleroi 2–0
D Standard Liege 1–1
D Charleroi 1–1
W KVC Westerlo 1–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 15%
Playing profile
Standard Liege Standard Liege
Attack
42
Defence
61
Form
59
Genk Genk
Attack
53
Defence
64
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
2
Standard Liege
1
Draw
0
Genk
D 25 Apr 2026 Pro League 1–1
W 22 Feb 2026 Pro League 3–0
W 10 Aug 2025 Pro League 2–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 36 48
1 Genk Genk 37 33
1 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 37 50
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 37 49
2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 36 41
2 Standard Liege Standard Liege 37 33
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden 37 39
3 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 36 34
3 Charleroi Charleroi 37 30
4 Dender Dender 36 25
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 37 29
4 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 37 30
5 Gent Gent 37 27
5 Antwerp Antwerp 37 27
6 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 37 27
6 OH Leuven OH Leuven 37 19
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Standard Liege vs Genk?
The model gives Standard Liege a 36% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 44% for an Genk win.
How many goals are expected in Standard Liege vs Genk?
Expected goals: Standard Liege 2.3, Genk 2.6 (total 4.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Standard Liege vs Genk?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.8%.