Pro League
· Conference League Group - 38
May 16, 2026 18:15
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 44% win probability (draw 19%, Standard Liege 36%). The final result was Standard Liege 0–0 Genk. In 4 previous meetings, Standard Liege have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Genk.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
15
4
Shots on target
5
0.53
Actual xG
1.58
4
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
5
Corners
4
18
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
34'
A. Yokoyama
/
N. Adedeji-Sternberg
45'+2
Z. El Ouahdi
46'
N. Sattlberger
/
I. Bangoura
M. Ilaimaharitra
/ T. Teuma
63'
M. Fossey
/ T. Mohr
63'
D. Eckert Ayensa
73'
73'
J. Kongolo
D. Eckert Ayensa
/ T. Nkada
73'
80'
J. Erabi
/
R. Mirisola
88'
K. Nkuba
/
J. Ito
Pre-match prediction
36.98%
Standard
19.01%
X ←
44.02%
Genk
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.24
0.53
-1.71
2.53
1.58
-0.95
Genk dominated by xG (1.58 vs 0.53).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
M. Epolo
G
M. Epolo
G
18
Henry Lawrence
D
Henry Lawrence
D
4
David Robert Bates
D
David Robert Bates
D
25
Ibe Hautekiet
D
Ibe Hautekiet
D
3
G. Mortensen
M
G. Mortensen
M
23
Marco Ilaimaharitra
63'
M
Marco Ilaimaharitra
63'
M
20
Ibrahim Karamoko
M
Ibrahim Karamoko
M
13
Marlon Fossey
63'
M
Marlon Fossey
63'
M
17
R. Saïd
F
R. Saïd
F
11
A. Abid
F
A. Abid
F
10
D. Eckert Ayensa
73'
F
D. Eckert Ayensa
73'
F
Bench
26
Bernard Nguene
F
Bernard Nguene
F
29
Daan Dierckx
D
Daan Dierckx
D
21
Lucas Pirard
G
Lucas Pirard
G
8
N. Mehssatou
D
N. Mehssatou
D
53
Steeven Assengue
M
Steeven Assengue
M
59
T. Nkada
17'
F
T. Nkada
17'
F
7
Tobias Mohr
27'
M
Tobias Mohr
27'
M
80
T. Teuma
27'
M
T. Teuma
27'
M
28
Lucca Brughmans
G
Lucca Brughmans
G
18
Joris Kayembe
D
Joris Kayembe
D
44
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
D
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
D
6
Matte Smets
D
Matte Smets
D
77
Z. El Ouahdi
D
Z. El Ouahdi
D
32
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
34'
M
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
34'
M
21
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
45'
M
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
45'
M
8
Bryan Heynen
M
Bryan Heynen
M
10
J. Ito
88'
M
J. Ito
88'
M
23
A. Bibout
F
A. Bibout
F
29
Robin Mirisola
80'
F
Robin Mirisola
80'
F
Bench
34
Adrian Palacios
D
Adrian Palacios
D
56
August De Wannemacker
M
August De Wannemacker
M
30
Ayumu Yokoyama
56'
F
Ayumu Yokoyama
56'
F
99
J. Erabi
10'
F
J. Erabi
10'
F
7
J. Steuckers
F
J. Steuckers
F
27
Ken Nkuba
2'
D
Ken Nkuba
2'
D
3
Mujaid Sadick
D
24
N. Sattlberger
45'
M
N. Sattlberger
45'
M
26
Tobias Lawal
G
Tobias Lawal
G
14
Yira Collins Sor
F
Yira Collins Sor
F
Best on the pitch
M. Epolo
G · Standard
8.50
· 32 pass
J. Ito
M · Genk
8.00
2 shots
· 39 pass
David Robert Bates
D · Standard
7.90
· 62 pass
A. Abid
F · Standard
7.90
1 shots
· 41 pass
Marlon Fossey
M · Standard
7.70
· 26 pass
Joris Kayembe
D · Genk
7.70
1 shots
· 59 pass
Standard Liege — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Epolo | G | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Henry Lawrence | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| David Robert Bates | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibe Hautekiet | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Mortensen | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Ilaimaharitra | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Karamoko | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Marlon Fossey | M | 63 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Saïd | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Abid | F | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Eckert Ayensa | F | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Nkada | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Mohr | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Teuma | M | 27 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
Genk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucca Brughmans | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Joris Kayembe | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Josue Ndenge Kongolo | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 58% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matte Smets | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 65 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. El Ouahdi | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 51 | 47% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Noah Adedeji-Sternberg | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahima Sory Bangoura | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan Heynen | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Ito | M | 88 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Bibout | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Robin Mirisola | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | F | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Erabi | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ken Nkuba | D | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| N. Sattlberger | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Genk?
The final score was Standard Liege 0–0 Genk.
What did the model predict before Standard Liege vs Genk?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Standard Liege win, 19% to a draw, and 44% to an Genk win.