U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4–2 FC Juarez — pre-match prediction — Liga MX — April 22, 2026

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Liga MX · Clausura - 16 April 22, 2026 03:00

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

#1 · 36 pts

4 – 2

Final score

FC Juarez

#1 · 3 pts

✓Model correct — prediction U.N.A.M. - Pumas

G. Martinez 66' (pen.)

G. Martinez (ast. J. Carrillo) 70'

R. Morales (ast. U. Antuna) 86'

R. Morales 90'+8

35' (ast. E. Lopez) F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin

45'+1 (ast. Puma) J. M. Torres Ramirez I.

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U.N.A.M. - Pumas a 68% win probability (draw 17%, FC Juarez 14%). The final result was U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4–2 FC Juarez. In 1 previous meetings, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Juarez.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.99

Actual xG

0.58

Saves

72%

Possession

28%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

E. Ayon

35'

ast. E. Lopez · F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin⚽

45'+1

ast. Puma · J. M. Torres Ramirez I.⚽

↕ Juninho / A. Rico

46'

55'

E. Lopez

↕ A. Medina / U. Antuna

57'

60'

Guilherme Castilho / J. M. Torres Ramirez I. ↕

60'

J. Aquino / Puma ↕

Nathan Silva

61'

⚽G. Martinez (pen.)

66'

L. Dupuy / E. Ayon ↕

⚽G. Martinez · ast. J. Carrillo

70'

J. Carrillo

77'

78'

H. E. Martinez Yepez / D. Garcia ↕

↕ R. Lopez / T. Leone

82'

Guilherme Castilho

⚽R. Morales · ast. U. Antuna

86'

88'

F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin

↕ J. Carrillo / D. Ramirez

90'+4

90'+7

J. Murillo

⚽R. Morales

90'+8

Pre-match prediction

68.09%

U.N.A.M. ←

17.26%

14.64%

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (U.N.A.M. - Pumas) 68.09% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

U.N.A.M.

2.71

2.99

+0.28

0.91

0.58

-0.33

U.N.A.M. - Pumas dominated by xG (2.99 vs 0.58). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Monterrey	2	3
1	Toluca	17	37
1	Guadalajara Chivas	16	35
1	Toluca	2	3
1	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	17	36
1	CF Pachuca	1	3
1	Cruz Azul	2	4
1	FC Juarez	1	3
2	Tigres UANL	17	36
2	Tigres UANL	2	3
2	Toluca	2	3
2	CF Pachuca	1	0
2	Guadalajara Chivas	17	36
2	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	33
2	Toluca	2	4
2	Club Tijuana	1	3
3	Tigres UANL	2	3
3	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	1	0
3	Cruz Azul	17	35
3	Cruz Azul	17	33
3	Cruz Azul	2	2
3	CF Pachuca	16	31
4	Tigres UANL	2	2
4	Cruz Azul	16	30
4	Monterrey	2	3
4	Club America	17	34
4	FC Juarez	1	0
4	CF Pachuca	17	31
5	Toluca	16	27
5	Toluca	17	30
5	Monterrey	17	31
5	Club America	2	3
6	Atlas	17	26
6	Guadalajara Chivas	17	29
6	Club Tijuana	2	3
6	Club America	16	25
7	Atlas	16	23
7	Tigres UANL	17	25
7	Club Tijuana	17	24
7	Guadalajara Chivas	2	1
8	FC Juarez	17	23
8	Club America	17	25
8	FC Juarez	2	1
8	Tigres UANL	16	22
9	Club Tijuana	17	23
9	CF Pachuca	17	22
9	Club Tijuana	16	22
10	Leon	16	22
10	Leon	17	22
10	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	17	21
11	Santos Laguna	17	20
11	Club Queretaro	17	20
11	Club Queretaro	17	20
12	Club Queretaro	17	20
12	FC Juarez	17	19
12	Monterrey	16	18
13	Monterrey	17	18
13	Atletico San Luis	16	18
13	Necaxa	17	17
14	Atletico San Luis	17	18
14	Atlas	17	17
14	Necaxa	16	18
15	Necaxa	17	18
15	FC Juarez	16	16
15	Atletico San Luis	17	16
16	Mazatlán	17	15
16	Mazatlán	17	14
16	Mazatlán	16	15
17	Leon	17	13
17	Puebla	17	13
17	Puebla	17	13
18	Santos Laguna	17	12
18	Puebla	17	12
18	Santos Laguna	16	9

Lineups

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4-3-3

G 6.20

Álvaro Angulo D 6.90

Rubén Duarte D 6.30

Nathan Silva D 7.30

Rodrigo Lopez 82' D 6.30

Jordan Carrillo 1 👟 89' M 7.70

Pedro Vite M 7.30

A. Medina 57' M 6.70

Juninho 45' F 6.70

G. Martinez 2 ⚽ F 8.50

Robert Morales 2 ⚽ F 8.30

Bench

Pablo Bennevendo D

Uriel Antuna 1 👟 33' F 6.60

FC Juarez 5-4-1

S. Jurado G 6.30

237

E. Lopez 1 👟 55' D 6.30

D 5.90

D 6.20

J. Murillo D 5.50

F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin 1 ⚽ D 6.30

Puma 1 👟 60' M 7.00

Monchu M 7.00

D. Garcia 78' M 6.30

J. M. Torres Ramirez I. 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.50

E. Ayon 66' F 6.20

Bench

Guilherme Castilho 30' M 6.00

H. E. Martinez Yepez 12' M 6.30

J. Aquino 30' M 6.30

L. Dupuy 24' F 6.70

Madson F

O. Estupinan F

R. Fulgencio M

Best on the pitch

G. Martinez

F · U.N.A.M.

8.50

2 ⚽

4 shots · 11 pass

Robert Morales

F · U.N.A.M.

8.30

2 ⚽

4 shots · 13 pass

Jordan Carrillo

M · U.N.A.M.

7.70

1 👟

2 shots · 42 pass

J. M. Torres Ramirez I.

M · FC

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 16 pass

Nathan Silva

D · U.N.A.M.

7.30

· 109 pass

Pedro Vite

M · U.N.A.M.

7.30

1 shots · 62 pass

U.N.A.M. - Pumas — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	45	41%	—	—	—
Álvaro Angulo	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	42	35%	2	—	—
Rubén Duarte	D	90	6.30	—	—	2	84	81%	—	—	—
Nathan Silva	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	109	102%	—	1	—
Rodrigo Lopez	D	82	6.30	—	—	1	68	58%	1	—	—
Jordan Carrillo	M	89	7.70	—	1	2	42	39%	3	1	—
Pedro Vite	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	62	55%	1	—	—
A. Medina	M	57	6.70	—	—	1	28	19%	—	—	—
Juninho	F	45	6.70	—	—	1	5	4%	—	—	—
G. Martinez	F	90	8.50	2	—	4	11	9%	—	—	—
Robert Morales	F	90	8.30	2	—	4	13	10%	—	—	—
Uriel Antuna	F	33	6.60	—	1	1	19	16%	—	—	—

FC Juarez — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Jurado	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	34	16%	—	—	—
E. Lopez	D	55	6.30	—	1	1	6	4%	4	—	1
	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	29	20%	1	—	—
	D	90	6.20	—	—	2	21	16%	—	—	—
J. Murillo	D	90	5.50	—	—	—	18	13%	—	1	—
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin	D	90	6.30	1	—	1	18	13%	2	1	—
Puma	M	60	7.00	—	1	1	11	5%	—	—	—
Monchu	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	30	25%	2	—	—
D. Garcia	M	78	6.30	—	—	—	7	6%	1	—	—
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.	M	60	7.50	1	—	1	16	10%	—	—	—
E. Ayon	F	66	6.20	—	—	1	4	4%	—	1	—
Guilherme Castilho	M	30	6.00	—	—	—	5	4%	—	1	—
H. E. Martinez Yepez	M	12	6.30	—	—	—	11	10%	—	—	—
J. Aquino	M	30	6.30	—	—	—	10	10%	1	—	—
L. Dupuy	F	24	6.70	—	—	2	4	3%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs FC Juarez?

The final score was U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4–2 FC Juarez.

What did the model predict before U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs FC Juarez?

The model assigned 68% probability to a U.N.A.M. - Pumas win, 17% to a draw, and 14% to an FC Juarez win.