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Liga MX · Clausura - 16 April 22, 2026 03:00
#10 · 20 pts
4 – 2
Final score
#18 · 8 pts
✓Model correct — prediction U.N.A.M. - Pumas
G. Martinez 66' (pen.)
G. Martinez (ast. J. Carrillo) 70'
R. Morales (ast. U. Antuna) 86'
R. Morales 90'+8
35' (ast. E. Lopez) F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
45'+1 (ast. Puma) J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U.N.A.M. - Pumas a 68% win probability (draw 17%, FC Juarez 14%). The final result was U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4–2 FC Juarez. In 2 previous meetings, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Juarez.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
9
9
Shots on target
3
2.99
Actual xG
0.58
1
Saves
5
72%
Possession
28%
5
Corners
1
7
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
9'
E. Ayon
35'
ast. E. Lopez · F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin⚽
45'+1
ast. Puma · J. M. Torres Ramirez I.⚽
↕ Juninho / A. Rico
46'
55'
E. Lopez
↕ A. Medina / U. Antuna
57'
60'
Guilherme Castilho / J. M. Torres Ramirez I. ↕
60'
J. Aquino / Puma ↕
Nathan Silva
61'
⚽G. Martinez (pen.)
66'
66'
L. Dupuy / E. Ayon ↕
⚽G. Martinez · ast. J. Carrillo
70'
J. Carrillo
77'
78'
H. E. Martinez Yepez / D. Garcia ↕
↕ R. Lopez / T. Leone
82'
82'
Guilherme Castilho
⚽R. Morales · ast. U. Antuna
86'
88'
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
↕ J. Carrillo / D. Ramirez
90'+4
90'+7
J. Murillo
⚽R. Morales
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
68.09%
U.N.A.M. ←
17.26%
X
14.64%
FC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (U.N.A.M. - Pumas) 68.09% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
U.N.A.M.
2.71
2.99
+0.28
FC
0.91
0.58
-0.33
U.N.A.M. - Pumas dominated by xG (2.99 vs 0.58). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Club America Club America 15 29
2 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 15 29
3 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 15 29
4 Atlas Atlas 15 27
5 Toluca Toluca 15 24
6 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 15 22
7 Leon Leon 15 22
8 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 15 22
9 Monterrey Monterrey 14 21
10 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 15 20
11 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 14 20
12 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 15 19
13 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 15 19
14 Puebla Puebla 15 16
15 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 15 15
16 Atlante FC Atlante FC 15 14
17 Necaxa Necaxa 15 10
18 FC Juarez FC Juarez 15 8
Lineups
35
G 6.20
77 Á. Angulo Á. Angulo D 6.90
5 Rubén Duarte Rubén Duarte D 6.30
6 Nathan Silva Nathan Silva D 7.30
7 R. López R. López 82' D 6.30
33 J. Carrillo J. Carrillo 1 👟 89' M 7.70
45 P. Vite P. Vite M 7.30
22 A. Medina A. Medina 57' M 6.70
23 Juninho Juninho 45' F 6.70
9 G. Martínez G. Martínez 2 ⚽ F 8.50
31 R. Morales R. Morales 2 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
2 P. Bennevendo P. Bennevendo D
21 U. Antuna U. Antuna 1 👟 33' F 6.60
FC Juarez FC Juarez 5-4-1
1 S. Jurado S. Jurado G 6.30
237 E. López E. López 1 👟 55' D 6.30
4
D 5.90
26
D 6.20
2 J. Murillo J. Murillo D 5.50
33 F. Nevárez F. Nevárez 1 ⚽ D 6.30
11 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez 1 👟 60' M 7.00
6 Monchu Monchu M 7.00
5 D. García D. García 78' M 6.30
20 J. Torres J. Torres 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.50
29 E. Ayón E. Ayón 66' F 6.20
Bench
8 Guilherme Castilho Guilherme Castilho 30' M 6.00
18 Homer Martinez Homer Martinez 12' M 6.30
22 J. Aquino J. Aquino 30' M 6.30
17 L. Martínez Dupuy L. Martínez Dupuy 24' F 6.70
9 Madson Madson F
19 Ó. Estupiñán Ó. Estupiñán F
13 R. Fulgencio R. Fulgencio M
Best on the pitch
G. Martínez
G. Martínez
F · U.N.A.M.
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots · 11 pass
R. Morales
R. Morales
F · U.N.A.M.
8.30
2 ⚽
4 shots · 13 pass
J. Carrillo
J. Carrillo
M · U.N.A.M.
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 42 pass
J. Torres
J. Torres
M · FC
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
Nathan Silva
Nathan Silva
D · U.N.A.M.
7.30
· 109 pass
P. Vite
P. Vite
M · U.N.A.M.
7.30
1 shots · 62 pass
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 45 41% — — —
Á. Angulo D 90 6.90 — — 1 42 35% 2 — —
Rubén Duarte D 90 6.30 — — 2 84 81% — — —
Nathan Silva D 90 7.30 — — — 109 102% — 1 —
R. López D 82 6.30 — — 1 68 58% 1 — —
J. Carrillo M 89 7.70 — 1 2 42 39% 3 1 —
P. Vite M 90 7.30 — — 1 62 55% 1 — —
A. Medina M 57 6.70 — — 1 28 19% — — —
Juninho F 45 6.70 — — 1 5 4% — — —
G. Martínez F 90 8.50 2 — 4 11 9% — — —
R. Morales F 90 8.30 2 — 4 13 10% — — —
U. Antuna F 33 6.60 — 1 1 19 16% — — —
FC Juarez FC Juarez — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Jurado G 90 6.30 — — — 34 16% — — —
E. López D 55 6.30 — 1 1 6 4% 4 — 1
D 90 5.90 — — — 29 20% 1 — —
D 90 6.20 — — 2 21 16% — — —
J. Murillo D 90 5.50 — — — 18 13% — 1 —
F. Nevárez D 90 6.30 1 — 1 18 13% 2 1 —
J. Rodríguez M 60 7.00 — 1 1 11 5% — — —
Monchu M 90 7.00 — — — 30 25% 2 — —
D. García M 78 6.30 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
J. Torres M 60 7.50 1 — 1 16 10% — — —
E. Ayón F 66 6.20 — — 1 4 4% — 1 —
Guilherme Castilho M 30 6.00 — — — 5 4% — 1 —
Homer Martinez M 12 6.30 — — — 11 10% — — —
J. Aquino M 30 6.30 — — — 10 10% 1 — —
L. Martínez Dupuy F 24 6.70 — — 2 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs FC Juarez?
The final score was U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4–2 FC Juarez.
What did the model predict before U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs FC Juarez?
The model assigned 68% probability to a U.N.A.M. - Pumas win, 17% to a draw, and 14% to an FC Juarez win.