Liga MX
· Clausura - 16
April 22, 2026 03:00
✓Model correct — prediction U.N.A.M. - Pumas
G. Martinez
66'
(pen.)
G. Martinez
(ast. J. Carrillo)
70'
R. Morales
(ast. U. Antuna)
86'
R. Morales
90'+8
35'
(ast. E. Lopez)
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
45'+1
(ast. Puma)
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U.N.A.M. - Pumas a 68% win probability (draw 17%, FC Juarez 14%). The final result was U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4–2 FC Juarez. In 1 previous meetings, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Juarez.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
9
9
Shots on target
3
2.99
Actual xG
0.58
1
Saves
5
72%
Possession
28%
5
Corners
1
7
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
9'
E. Ayon
35'
ast. E. Lopez ·
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin⚽
45'+1
ast. Puma ·
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.⚽
Juninho
/ A. Rico
46'
55'
E. Lopez
A. Medina
/ U. Antuna
57'
60'
Guilherme Castilho
/
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
60'
J. Aquino
/
Puma
Nathan Silva
61'
⚽G. Martinez
(pen.)
66'
66'
L. Dupuy
/
E. Ayon
⚽G. Martinez
· ast. J. Carrillo
70'
J. Carrillo
77'
78'
H. E. Martinez Yepez
/
D. Garcia
R. Lopez
/ T. Leone
82'
82'
Guilherme Castilho
⚽R. Morales
· ast. U. Antuna
86'
88'
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
J. Carrillo
/ D. Ramirez
90'+4
90'+7
J. Murillo
⚽R. Morales
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
68.09%
U.N.A.M. ←
17.26%
X
14.64%
FC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (U.N.A.M. - Pumas)
68.09%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.71
2.99
+0.28
0.91
0.58
-0.33
U.N.A.M. - Pumas dominated by xG (2.99 vs 0.58).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
35
G
77
Álvaro Angulo
D
Álvaro Angulo
D
5
Rubén Duarte
D
Rubén Duarte
D
6
Nathan Silva
D
Nathan Silva
D
7
Rodrigo Lopez
82'
D
Rodrigo Lopez
82'
D
33
J. Carrillo
1 👟
89'
M
J. Carrillo
1 👟
89'
M
45
Pedro Vite
M
Pedro Vite
M
22
Alan Medina
57'
M
Alan Medina
57'
M
23
Juninho
45'
F
Juninho
45'
F
9
Guillermo Martínez
2 ⚽
F
Guillermo Martínez
2 ⚽
F
31
R. Morales
2 ⚽
F
R. Morales
2 ⚽
F
Bench
2
Pablo Bennevendo
D
Pablo Bennevendo
D
21
Uriel Antuna
1 👟
33'
F
Uriel Antuna
1 👟
33'
F
1
Sebastián Jurado
G
Sebastián Jurado
G
237
E. Lopez
1 👟
55'
D
4
D
26
D
2
Jesús Murillo
D
Jesús Murillo
D
33
Francisco Nevarez
1 ⚽
D
Francisco Nevarez
1 ⚽
D
11
J. Rodríguez
1 👟
60'
M
J. Rodríguez
1 👟
60'
M
6
Monchu
M
Monchu
M
5
Denzell Garcia
78'
M
Denzell Garcia
78'
M
20
J. Torres
1 ⚽
60'
M
J. Torres
1 ⚽
60'
M
29
Ettson Ayón
66'
F
Ettson Ayón
66'
F
Bench
8
Guilherme Castilho
30'
M
Guilherme Castilho
30'
M
18
Homer Martinez
12'
M
Homer Martinez
12'
M
22
Javier Aquino
30'
M
Javier Aquino
30'
M
17
Luca Martínez Dupuy
24'
F
Luca Martínez Dupuy
24'
F
9
Madson de Souza Silva
F
Madson de Souza Silva
F
19
Óscar Estupiñán
F
Óscar Estupiñán
F
13
Raymundo Fulgencio
M
Raymundo Fulgencio
M
Best on the pitch
Guillermo Martínez
F · U.N.A.M.
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 11 pass
R. Morales
F · U.N.A.M.
8.30
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 13 pass
J. Carrillo
M · U.N.A.M.
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 42 pass
J. Torres
M · FC
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Nathan Silva
D · U.N.A.M.
7.30
· 109 pass
Pedro Vite
M · U.N.A.M.
7.30
1 shots
· 62 pass
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | — | — | — | |
| Álvaro Angulo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Rubén Duarte | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 84 | 81% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Silva | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 109 | 102% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Lopez | D | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Carrillo | M | 89 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 42 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Vite | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Alan Medina | M | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Juninho | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Martínez | F | 90 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 4 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| R. Morales | F | 90 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 4 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Uriel Antuna | F | 33 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
FC Juarez — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastián Jurado | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 16% | — | — | — |
| E. Lopez | D | 55 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4% | 4 | — | 1 |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Jesús Murillo | D | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Francisco Nevarez | D | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Monchu | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Denzell Garcia | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Torres | M | 60 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Ettson Ayón | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Guilherme Castilho | M | 30 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Homer Martinez | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Javier Aquino | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Martínez Dupuy | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs FC Juarez?
The final score was U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4–2 FC Juarez.
What did the model predict before U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs FC Juarez?
The model assigned 68% probability to a U.N.A.M. - Pumas win, 17% to a draw, and 14% to an FC Juarez win.