Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 12
April 19, 2026 01:30
Puma Rodríguez
72'
(pen.)
Andrés Gómez
(ast. Brenner)
88'
10'
Luciano
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vasco DA Gama a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Sao Paulo 29%). The final result was Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Sao Paulo.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
4
2.37
Actual xG
2.66
1
Saves
3
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
5
18
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
10'
Luciano⚽
Paulo Henrique
/ Puma Rodríguez
46'
Tchê Tchê
/ Adson
46'
58'
Cédric Soares
58'
Tetê
/
Lucca
David
/ Brenner
62'
Johan Rojas
/ Claudio Spinelli
62'
63'
Maik
/
Cédric Soares
63'
Wendell
/
Enzo Díaz
69'
⚽Puma Rodríguez
(pen.)
72'
74'
Alan Franco
80'
Gonzalo Tapia
/
Luciano
80'
Felipe Negrucci
/
Danielzinho
Cauan Barros
/ Hugo Moura
81'
⚽Andrés Gómez
· ast. Brenner
88'
Léo Jardim
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
43.71%
Vasco ←
27.25%
X
29.04%
Sao
we assigned to the actual result (Vasco DA Gama)
43.71%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
2.37
+0.77
0.97
2.66
+1.69
xG dominance was balanced (2.37 – 2.66).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Léo Jardim
G
Léo Jardim
G
66
Cuiabano
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
46
Carlos Cuesta
D
Carlos Cuesta
D
96
Paulo Henrique
45'
D
23
Thiago Mendes
M
Thiago Mendes
M
88
Cauan Barros
81'
M
11
Andrés Gómez
1 ⚽
M
Andrés Gómez
1 ⚽
M
10
Johan Rojas
62'
M
Johan Rojas
62'
M
3
Tchê Tchê
45'
M
Tchê Tchê
45'
M
7
David
62'
F
David
62'
F
Bench
28
Adson
45'
F
Adson
45'
F
20
Brenner
1 👟
28'
F
Brenner
1 👟
28'
F
77
Claudio Spinelli
28'
F
Claudio Spinelli
28'
F
25
Hugo Moura
9'
M
Hugo Moura
9'
M
98
JP
M
JP
M
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
6
Lucas Piton
D
Lucas Piton
D
18
Marino Hinestroza
F
Marino Hinestroza
F
9
Matheus França
F
Matheus França
F
17
Nuno Moreira
M
Nuno Moreira
M
2
Puma Rodríguez
1 ⚽
45'
D
Puma Rodríguez
1 ⚽
45'
D
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
13
Enzo Díaz
63'
D
Enzo Díaz
63'
D
35
Sabino
D
Sabino
D
28
A. Franco
D
21
Cédric Soares
63'
D
Cédric Soares
63'
D
16
Damián Bobadilla
M
Damián Bobadilla
M
94
Danielzinho
80'
M
Danielzinho
80'
M
45
Lucca
58'
M
Lucca
58'
M
10
Luciano
1 ⚽
80'
M
Luciano
1 ⚽
80'
M
37
Artur
M
Artur
M
9
J. Calleri
F
J. Calleri
F
Bench
17
André Silva
F
André Silva
F
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
80
Cauly
M
Cauly
M
14
Gonzalo Tapia
10'
F
Gonzalo Tapia
10'
F
33
Luan Santos
M
Luan Santos
M
34
Tetê
32'
F
18
Wendell
27'
D
Wendell
27'
D
Best on the pitch
Andrés Gómez
M · Vasco
7.70
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 25 pass
Cauan Barros
M · Vasco
7.30
1 shots
· 38 pass
Puma Rodríguez
D · Vasco
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Cuiabano
D · Vasco
7.20
1 shots
· 57 pass
Robert Renan
D · Vasco
7.20
· 53 pass
Brenner
F · Vasco
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 10 pass
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Cuiabano | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Cuesta | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 5 | — | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 74 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrés Gómez | M | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Johan Rojas | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Tchê Tchê | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| David | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Adson | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Brenner | F | 28 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Claudio Spinelli | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Moura | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Puma Rodríguez | D | 45 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Enzo Díaz | D | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Sabino | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Franco | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Cédric Soares | D | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Damián Bobadilla | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Lucca | M | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano | M | 80 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Calleri | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 4 | 20 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Tapia | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Wendell | D | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo?
The final score was Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Sao Paulo.
What did the model predict before Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Vasco DA Gama win, 27% to a draw, and 29% to an Sao Paulo win.