Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 12
April 18, 2026 23:30
Puma Rodríguez
72'
(pen.)
Andrés Gómez
(ast. Brenner)
88'
10'
Luciano
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vasco DA Gama a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Sao Paulo 29%). The final result was Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Sao Paulo.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
4
2.37
Actual xG
2.66
1
Saves
3
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
5
18
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
10'
Luciano⚽
Paulo Henrique
/ Puma Rodríguez
46'
Tchê Tchê
/ Adson
46'
58'
Cédric Soares
58'
Tetê
/
Lucca
David
/ Brenner
62'
Johan Rojas
/ Claudio Spinelli
62'
63'
Maik
/
Cédric Soares
63'
Wendell
/
Enzo Díaz
69'
⚽Puma Rodríguez
(pen.)
72'
74'
Alan Franco
80'
Gonzalo Tapia
/
Luciano
80'
Felipe Negrucci
/
Danielzinho
Cauan Barros
/ Hugo Moura
81'
⚽Andrés Gómez
· ast. Brenner
88'
Léo Jardim
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
43.71%
Vasco ←
27.25%
X
29.04%
Sao
we assigned to the actual result (Vasco DA Gama)
43.71%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
2.37
+0.77
0.97
2.66
+1.69
xG dominance was balanced (2.37 – 2.66).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Léo Jardim
G
Léo Jardim
G
66
Cuiabano
D
Cuiabano
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
46
C. Cuesta
D
C. Cuesta
D
96
Paulo Henrique
45'
D
Paulo Henrique
45'
D
23
Thiago Mendes
M
Thiago Mendes
M
88
Cauan Barros
81'
M
Cauan Barros
81'
M
11
Andrés Gómez
1 ⚽
M
Andrés Gómez
1 ⚽
M
10
J. Rojas
62'
M
J. Rojas
62'
M
3
Tchê Tchê
45'
M
Tchê Tchê
45'
M
7
David
62'
F
David
62'
F
Bench
28
Adson
45'
F
Adson
45'
F
20
Brenner
1 👟
28'
F
Brenner
1 👟
28'
F
77
C. Spinelli
28'
F
C. Spinelli
28'
F
25
Hugo Moura
9'
M
Hugo Moura
9'
M
98
JP
M
JP
M
2
J. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
45'
D
J. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
45'
D
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
6
Lucas Piton
D
Lucas Piton
D
9
Matheus França
F
Matheus França
F
18
M. Hinestroza
F
M. Hinestroza
F
17
Nuno Moreira
M
Nuno Moreira
M
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
13
E. Díaz
63'
D
E. Díaz
63'
D
35
Sabino
D
Sabino
D
28
A. Franco
D
A. Franco
D
21
Cédric Soares
63'
D
Cédric Soares
63'
D
16
D. Bobadilla
M
D. Bobadilla
M
94
Danielzinho
80'
M
Danielzinho
80'
M
45
Lucca
58'
M
Lucca
58'
M
10
Luciano
1 ⚽
80'
M
Luciano
1 ⚽
80'
M
37
Artur
M
Artur
M
9
J. Calleri
F
J. Calleri
F
Bench
17
André Silva
F
André Silva
F
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
80
Cauly
M
Cauly
M
14
Gonzalo Tapia
10'
F
Gonzalo Tapia
10'
F
33
Luan Santos
M
Luan Santos
M
34
Tetê
32'
F
Tetê
32'
F
18
Wendell
27'
D
Wendell
27'
D
Best on the pitch
Andrés Gómez
M · Vasco
7.70
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 25 pass
Cauan Barros
M · Vasco
7.30
1 shots
· 38 pass
J. Rodríguez
D · Vasco
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Cuiabano
D · Vasco
7.20
1 shots
· 57 pass
Robert Renan
D · Vasco
7.20
· 53 pass
Brenner
F · Vasco
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 10 pass
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Cuiabano | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 5 | — | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 74 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrés Gómez | M | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Rojas | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Tchê Tchê | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| David | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Adson | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Brenner | F | 28 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Spinelli | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Moura | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 45 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | — | — | — |
| E. Díaz | D | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Sabino | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Franco | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Cédric Soares | D | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Bobadilla | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Lucca | M | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano | M | 80 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Calleri | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 4 | 20 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Tapia | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Wendell | D | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo?
The final score was Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Sao Paulo.
What did the model predict before Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Vasco DA Gama win, 27% to a draw, and 29% to an Sao Paulo win.