← Serie B
#14 · 42 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#12 · 44 pts
M. Tirelli 24'
L. Cuppone 46'
50' S. Zanon

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Virtus Entella a 46% win probability (draw 26%, Carrarese 26%). The final result was Virtus Entella 2–1 Carrarese. In 1 previous meetings, Virtus Entella have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Carrarese.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
1.48
Actual xG
0.48
1
Saves
4
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
5
12
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Tirelli
24'
37'
J. Illanes
45'
F. Melegoni
46'
J. Rouhi / N. Belloni
46'
M. Finotto / F. Abiuso
L. Cuppone
46'
D. Bariti
49'
50'
S. Zanon
L. Cuppone
56'
D. Bariti / F. Mezzoni
58'
N. Squizzato / L. Benedetti
58'
60'
L. Hasa / F. Melegoni
69'
D. Bouah / J. Illanes
M. Tirelli
74'
M. Tirelli / A. Debenedetti
74'
83'
E. Torregrossa / F. Di Stefano
S. Di Mario / M. Alborghetti
87'
L. Cuppone / M. Nichetti
87'
Pre-match prediction
46.63%
Virtus ←
26.8%
X
26.57%
Carrarese
we assigned to the actual result (Virtus Entella) 46.63% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Virtus
1.23
1.48
+0.25
Carrarese
0.94
0.48
-0.46
Virtus Entella dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.48). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
22
G 6.20
15 I. Marconi I. Marconi D 7.20
6
A. Tiritiello D 6.70
23
L. Parodi D 6.70
26 Z. Menyhárt Z. Menyhárt 87' M 7.20
24
M 6.70
5
N. Squizzato 58' M 6.90
8
N. Karic M 6.90
7
D. Bariti 58' M 7.00
17
74' F 7.20
10
L. Cuppone 1 ⚽ 87' F 7.30
Bench
94
F. Mezzoni 32' D 6.90
32
L. Benedetti 32' M 6.70
Carrarese Carrarese 3-5-2
1
G 7.00
6
F. Oliana D 6.20
4 J. Illanes J. Illanes 69' D 6.20
26
F. Ruggeri D 6.90
7
N. Belloni 45' M 6.60
17
E. Zuelli M 7.00
18
N. Schiavi M 6.90
8
F. Melegoni 60' M 6.20
72 S. Zanon S. Zanon 1 ⚽ M 7.50
28
F. Di Stefano 83' F 6.50
9 F. Abiuso F. Abiuso 45' F 6.90
Bench
13
D. Bouah 21' M 6.70
92
E. Torregrossa 11' F 6.30
77
G. Parlanti M
73
J. Rouhi 45' D 6.70
70
L. Hasa 30' M 6.70
32
M. Finotto 45' F 6.20
21
T. Rubino F
Best on the pitch
S. Zanon
S. Zanon
M · Carrarese
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 41 pass
L. Cuppone
F · Virtus
7.30
1 ⚽
6 shots · 11 pass
I. Marconi
I. Marconi
D · Virtus
7.20
2 shots · 37 pass
Z. Menyhárt
Z. Menyhárt
M · Virtus
7.20
· 21 pass
F · Virtus
7.20
4 shots · 13 pass
D. Bariti
M · Virtus
7.00
· 23 pass
Virtus Entella Virtus Entella — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 17 12%
I. Marconi D 90 7.20 2 37 30%
A. Tiritiello D 90 6.70 46 30% 1
L. Parodi D 90 6.70 43 36%
Z. Menyhárt M 87 7.20 21 18% 2
M 90 6.70 1 15 14% 1
N. Squizzato M 58 6.90 37 27% 1
N. Karic M 90 6.90 41 36%
D. Bariti M 58 7.00 23 18% 3 1
F 74 7.20 4 13 10% 1 1
L. Cuppone F 87 7.30 1 6 11 7% 1 1
F. Mezzoni D 32 6.90 14 12% 2
L. Benedetti M 32 6.70 9 3%
Carrarese Carrarese — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 33 20%
F. Oliana D 90 6.20 61 47% 1
J. Illanes D 69 6.20 39 36% 1
F. Ruggeri D 90 6.90 67 59%
N. Belloni M 45 6.60 20 16% 2
E. Zuelli M 90 7.00 47 39% 1
N. Schiavi M 90 6.90 55 49% 2
F. Melegoni M 60 6.20 1 25 19% 1
S. Zanon M 90 7.50 1 3 41 29% 2
F. Di Stefano F 83 6.50 19 15%
F. Abiuso F 45 6.90 7 6% 1
D. Bouah M 21 6.70 4 4%
E. Torregrossa F 11 6.30 1 3 2%
J. Rouhi D 45 6.70 16 12% 2
L. Hasa M 30 6.70 1 19 18%
M. Finotto F 45 6.20 6 2%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
The final score was Virtus Entella 2–1 Carrarese.
What did the model predict before Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Virtus Entella win, 26% to a draw, and 26% to an Carrarese win.