Serie B
· Regular Season - 38
May 08, 2026 20:30
M. Tirelli
24'
L. Cuppone
46'
50'
S. Zanon
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Virtus Entella a 46% win probability (draw 26%, Carrarese 26%). The final result was Virtus Entella 2–1 Carrarese. In 2 previous meetings, Virtus Entella have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Carrarese.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
1.48
Actual xG
0.48
1
Saves
4
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
5
12
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. Tirelli
24'
37'
J. Illanes
45'
F. Melegoni
46'
J. Rouhi
/
N. Belloni
46'
M. Finotto
/
F. Abiuso
⚽L. Cuppone
46'
D. Bariti
49'
50'
S. Zanon⚽
L. Cuppone
56'
D. Bariti
/ F. Mezzoni
58'
N. Squizzato
/ L. Benedetti
58'
60'
L. Hasa
/
F. Melegoni
69'
D. Bouah
/
J. Illanes
M. Tirelli
74'
M. Tirelli
/ A. Debenedetti
74'
83'
E. Torregrossa
/
F. Di Stefano
S. Di Mario
/ M. Alborghetti
87'
L. Cuppone
/ M. Nichetti
87'
Pre-match prediction
46.63%
Virtus ←
26.8%
X
26.57%
Carrarese
we assigned to the actual result (Virtus Entella)
46.63%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
1.48
+0.25
0.94
0.48
-0.46
Virtus Entella dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
G
15
I. Marconi
D
I. Marconi
D
6
A. Tiritiello
D
A. Tiritiello
D
23
L. Parodi
D
L. Parodi
D
26
Stefano Di Mario
87'
M
Stefano Di Mario
87'
M
24
M
5
N. Squizzato
58'
M
N. Squizzato
58'
M
8
N. Karić
M
N. Karić
M
7
D. Bariti
58'
M
17
74'
F
10
L. Cuppone
1 ⚽
87'
F
L. Cuppone
1 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
94
F. Mezzoni
32'
D
F. Mezzoni
32'
D
32
L. Benedetti
32'
M
L. Benedetti
32'
M
1
G
6
F. Oliana
D
F. Oliana
D
4
J. Illanes
69'
D
J. Illanes
69'
D
26
F. Ruggeri
D
F. Ruggeri
D
7
N. Belloni
45'
M
N. Belloni
45'
M
17
E. Zuelli
M
E. Zuelli
M
18
Nicolás Schiavi
M
Nicolás Schiavi
M
8
F. Melegoni
60'
M
F. Melegoni
60'
M
72
S. Zanon
1 ⚽
M
S. Zanon
1 ⚽
M
28
F. Distefano
83'
F
F. Distefano
83'
F
9
F. Abiuso
45'
F
F. Abiuso
45'
F
Bench
13
D. Bouah
21'
M
D. Bouah
21'
M
92
E. Torregrossa
11'
F
77
G. Parlanti
M
G. Parlanti
M
73
J. Rouhi
45'
D
J. Rouhi
45'
D
70
L. Hasa
30'
M
L. Hasa
30'
M
32
M. Finotto
45'
F
M. Finotto
45'
F
21
T. Rubino
F
T. Rubino
F
Best on the pitch
S. Zanon
M · Carrarese
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 41 pass
L. Cuppone
F · Virtus
7.30
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 11 pass
I. Marconi
D · Virtus
7.20
2 shots
· 37 pass
Stefano Di Mario
M · Virtus
7.20
· 21 pass
F · Virtus
7.20
4 shots
· 13 pass
D. Bariti
M · Virtus
7.00
· 23 pass
Virtus Entella — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| I. Marconi | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| A. Tiritiello | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Parodi | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Stefano Di Mario | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — | |
| N. Squizzato | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Karić | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| D. Bariti | M | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| F | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 13 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — | |
| L. Cuppone | F | 87 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 6 | 11 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Mezzoni | D | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Benedetti | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 3% | — | — | — |
Carrarese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| F. Oliana | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Illanes | D | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Ruggeri | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 59% | — | — | — |
| N. Belloni | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Zuelli | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Schiavi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Melegoni | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Zanon | M | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 41 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Distefano | F | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| F. Abiuso | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Bouah | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| E. Torregrossa | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Rouhi | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Hasa | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Finotto | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
The final score was Virtus Entella 2–1 Carrarese.
What did the model predict before Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Virtus Entella win, 26% to a draw, and 26% to an Carrarese win.