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HNK Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb

HNL August 08, 2026 17:00 Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
#5 · 14 pts
vs
Dinamo Zagreb
#1 · 16 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 33.8°C 💨 21 km/h · Rijeka
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.99%
Win
HNK Rijeka
32.53%
Draw
34.47%
Win
Dinamo Zagreb
0.98
Expected xG
1.22

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.73%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 67%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Dinamo Zagreb a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for HNK Rijeka. Expected goals are 1.0 for HNK Rijeka and 1.2 for Dinamo Zagreb (total 2.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.73% probability. In 4 previous meetings, HNK Rijeka have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for Dinamo Zagreb.

Season Stats

HNK Rijeka
7W 3D 5L
Dinamo Zagreb
13W 2D 0L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
3.1
0.9
Conceded
0.7
4.5
Shots OT
7.1
6.2
Corners
6.2
55%
Poss.
60%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
93%
33%
O 2.5
73%
13%
BTTS
53%
53%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in HNL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
HNK Rijeka
5W 3D 2L · at home
Dinamo Zagreb
9W 1D 0L · away
1.4
gls/g
3.2
0.8
Conceded
0.6
50%
Win %
90%
80%
Win or Draw
100%
80%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
80%
20%
O 3.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
40%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ HNK Rijeka Dinamo Zagreb →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2% 13.6% 8.3% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.3% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.3% 6.5% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% —
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
W HNK Hajduk Split 3–0
D NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1
W NK Osijek 4–1
D HNK Gorica 0–0
W Istra 1961 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 54%
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
W NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–2
L NK Osijek 4–2
W HNK Gorica 1–0
D Istra 1961 2–2
W NK Varazdin 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
Attack
41
Defence
68
Form
52
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
Attack
47
Defence
61
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
HNK Rijeka
2
Draw
2
Dinamo Zagreb
18 Apr 2026 HNL 2–2
8 Feb 2026 HNL 0–0
1 Nov 2025 HNL 1–2
16 Aug 2025 HNL 0–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 7 16
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 8 16
3 NK Osijek NK Osijek 8 16
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 8 15
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 7 14
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 8 9
7 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 8 7
8 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 8 7
9 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 8 5
10 Rudes Rudes 8 4
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The model gives HNK Rijeka a 32% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Dinamo Zagreb win.
How many goals are expected in HNK Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Expected goals: HNK Rijeka 1.0, Dinamo Zagreb 1.2 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in HNK Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.73%.