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Larne - Dungannon Swifts

Premiership December 08, 2026 20:45 Inver Park, Larne
Larne
#3 · 16 pts
vs
Dungannon Swifts
#6 · 13 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 13.0°C 💨 10 km/h · Larne
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.88%
Win
Larne
28.28%
Draw
30.84%
Win
Dungannon Swifts
2.01
Expected xG
1.41

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.73%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 28%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 59%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Larne a 40% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Dungannon Swifts. Expected goals are 2.0 for Larne and 1.4 for Dungannon Swifts (total 3.4), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.73% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Larne have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Dungannon Swifts.

Season Stats

Larne
11W 3D 1L
Dungannon Swifts
6W 1D 8L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
1.1
0.6
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
40%
O 2.5
53%
33%
BTTS
40%
67%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premiership. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Larne
6W 2D 2L · at home
Dungannon Swifts
4W 0D 6L · away
2.3
gls/g
0.9
1.2
Conceded
2.3
60%
Win %
40%
80%
Win or Draw
40%
90%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
60%
40%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%
40%
Clean Sht
30%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Larne Dungannon Swifts →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3% 4.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
1 6.6% 9.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.4% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Larne Larne
W Carrick Rangers 2–5
W Cliftonville FC 2–0
W Portadown 0–2
W Bangor 1–0
W Glentoran 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts
D Ballymena United 1–1
L Crusaders FC 3–0
L Linfield 0–1
W Limavady United 0–2
W Cliftonville FC 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 46%

Playing profile

Larne Larne
Attack
41
Defence
76
Form
63
Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts
Attack
27
Defence
75
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

3
Larne
0
Draw
1
Dungannon Swifts
25 Apr 2026 Premiership 8–0
13 Mar 2026 Premiership 2–1
29 Nov 2025 Premiership 2–1
4 Oct 2025 Premiership 0–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 9 22
2 Linfield Linfield 9 22
3 Larne Larne 6 16
4 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 9 15
5 Glentoran Glentoran 9 13
6 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 8 13
7 Cliftonville FC Cliftonville FC 9 12
8 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 9 10
9 Ballymena United Ballymena United 8 9
10 Limavady United Limavady United 8 9
11 Bangor Bangor 9 5
12 Portadown Portadown 9 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
The model gives Larne a 40% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 30% for an Dungannon Swifts win.
How many goals are expected in Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
Expected goals: Larne 2.0, Dungannon Swifts 1.4 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.73%.