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Valmiera / BSS - Tukums

Virsliga November 14, 2026 12:00
vs
#9 · 25 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.98%
Win
Valmiera / BSS
32.13%
Draw
32.89%
Win
Tukums
1.48
Expected xG
0.36

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.97%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Valmiera / BSS a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Tukums. Expected goals are 1.5 for Valmiera / BSS and 0.4 for Tukums (total 1.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.97% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Valmiera / BSS have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tukums.

Season Stats

Valmiera / BSS
0W 0D 1L
Tukums
3W 2D 10L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
0.6
1.0
Conceded
1.7
—
Shots OT
2.2
—
Corners
3.0
—
Poss.
39%
Percentages
0%
O 1.5
73%
0%
O 2.5
40%
0%
BTTS
40%
0%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Virsliga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Valmiera / BSS Tukums →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.9% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1% — —
1 23.5% 8.5% 1.5% 0.2% — —
2 17.4% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1% — —
3 8.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% — —
4 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% — — —
5 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

L Tukums 1–0
W Valmiera / BSS 1–0
L Auda 1–2
L BFC Daugavpils 2–0
D FK Liepaja 0–0
L Rīgas FS 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS
Attack
0
Defence
75
Form
38
Tukums Tukums
Attack
17
Defence
59
Form
30
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Valmiera / BSS
0
Draw
1
Tukums
11 Nov 2026 Virsliga 0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Valmiera / BSS vs Tukums?
The model gives Valmiera / BSS a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Tukums win.
How many goals are expected in Valmiera / BSS vs Tukums?
Expected goals: Valmiera / BSS 1.5, Tukums 0.4 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Valmiera / BSS vs Tukums?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.97%.