✓Model correct — prediction Penarol
T. N. Espinosa Dovat
14'
M. Arezo
22'
A. Hernandez
30'
C. Jaime
45'
E. Remedi
89'
19'
L. Cosentino
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 63% win probability (draw 20%, Wanderers 16%). The final result was Penarol 5–1 Wanderers. In 2 previous meetings, Penarol have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Wanderers.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽T. N. Espinosa Dovat
14'
19'
L. Cosentino⚽
⚽M. Arezo
22'
⚽A. Hernandez
30'
38'
L. Zazpe
F. Romero
/ M. Lemos
39'
⚽C. Jaime
45'
N. Fernandez
/ E. Remedi
46'
46'
A. Garcia
/
L. Zazpe
46'
R. Rivero
/
S. Benitez
61'
J. Luna
/
L. Cosentino
61'
R. Sanchez
/
J. Zeballos
A. Hernandez
/ J. Rodriguez
64'
J. Cabrera
/ B. Alvarez
64'
L. Ferreira
68'
74'
M. Acosta
/
F. Formiliano
M. Arezo
/ F. Batista
76'
⚽E. Remedi
89'
Pre-match prediction
63.42%
Penarol ←
20.28%
X
16.3%
Wanderers
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Penarol)
63.42%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.95
—
—
0.79
—
—
Lineups
29
W. Aguerre
G
26
Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat
1 ⚽
M
34
N. Herrera
D
6
L. Ferreira
D
4
F. Romero
D
11
C. Jaime
1 ⚽
F
8
N. Fernández
M
13
E. Darias
M
7
J. Cabrera
M
99
A. Hernández
1 ⚽
F
19
M. Arezo
1 ⚽
F
Bench
36
B. Barboza
D
40
Brandon Alvarez
F
5
E. Remedi
1 ⚽
M
9
F. Batista
F
28
I. Alegre
D
33
J. Rodríguez
M
77
L. Angulo
M
27
L. Hernández
D
3
M. Lemos
D
1
S. Britos
G
33
A. Buffa
G
6
L. Zazpe
D
2
N. Cabral
D
13
F. Formiliano
D
31
N. Furtado
D
5
N. Queiroz
M
21
Santiago Benítez
D
16
J. Alberti
M
30
F. Labandeira
F
24
J. Zeballos
F
10
L. Cosentino
1 ⚽
M
Bench
17
Alan Garcia
D
29
Esteban Crucci
F
3
G. Borthagaray
D
25
G. Freitas
M
11
Jonás Luna
F
12
José Rio
G
14
Mateo Acosta
D
7
R. Rivero
M
26
R. Sánchez
M
20
S. Guzmán
M
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Aguerre | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Herrera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ferreira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Romero | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Jaime | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Darias | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cabrera | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hernández | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Arezo | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wanderers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Buffa | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Zazpe | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Cabral | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Formiliano | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Furtado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Queiroz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Benítez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Alberti | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Labandeira | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Zeballos | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Cosentino | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Penarol vs Wanderers?
The final score was Penarol 5–1 Wanderers.
What did the model predict before Penarol vs Wanderers?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Penarol win, 20% to a draw, and 16% to an Wanderers win.