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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9 October 24, 2026 13:00 Voith-Arena, Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
#6 · 15 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Energie Cottbus
#11 · 10 pts
Oualid Mhamdi (ast. Paul Hennrich) 49'
40' (ast. Tolcay Cigerci) Lucas Copado
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Heidenheim a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Energie Cottbus 27%). The final result was 1. FC Heidenheim 1–1 Energie Cottbus.

Match statistics
32
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
3
3.27
Actual xG
0.56
2
Saves
4
57%
Possession
43%
15
Corners
2
14
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Jan Schoppner
11'
16'
Marcel Lotka
37'
King Samuel Manu
40'
ast. Tolcay Cigerci · Lucas Copado⚽
↕ Julian Niehues / Marcel Costly
45'
⚽Oualid Mhamdi · ast. Paul Hennrich
49'
51'
Ryan Malone / Tim Campulka ↕
↕ Mikkel Kaufmann / Alessandro Vogt
65'
65'
Jannis Boziaris / Leon Guwara ↕
65'
Jannis Zaydan / Fousseny Doumbia ↕
Michael Heule
69'
↕ Paul Hennrich / Mathias Honsak
79'
83'
Christian Kinsombi / Dmytro Bogdanov ↕
↕ Michael Heule / Leart Paqarda
86'
Pre-match prediction
44.01%
1.
28.0%
X ←
27.99%
Energie
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
1.46
3.27
+1.81
Energie
0.91
0.56
-0.35
1. FC Heidenheim dominated by xG (3.27 vs 0.56). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 9 25
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 9 18
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 9 18
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 9 16
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 9 16
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 9 15
7 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 9 12
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 9 11
9 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 9 11
10 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 9 10
11 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 9 10
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 9
13 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 8
14 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 9 8
15 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 9 8
16 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 9 8
17 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 9 8
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 9 8
Lineups
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 4-4-2
33 T. Dähne T. Dähne G 6.99
27 M. Heule M. Heule 86' D 6.28
19 J. Föhrenbach J. Föhrenbach D 6.94
6 P. Mainka P. Mainka D 6.95
22 O. Mhamdi O. Mhamdi 1 ⚽ D 7.18
10 C. Conteh C. Conteh M 6.64
16 J. Niehues J. Niehues 45' M 6.47
3 J. Schöppner J. Schöppner M 6.54
8 P. Hennrich P. Hennrich 1 👟 79' M 7.70
29 M. Kaufmann M. Kaufmann 65' F 6.27
11 B. Zivzivadze B. Zivzivadze F 6.37
Bench
28 Adam Kölle Adam Kölle D 0.00
18 A. Vogt A. Vogt 25' F 6.75
1 Frank Feller Frank Feller G 0.00
20 L. Kerber L. Kerber M 0.00
23 L. Paqarada L. Paqarada 4' D 6.36
2 M. Busch M. Busch D 0.00
24 M. Costly M. Costly 45' F 7.20
17 M. Honsak M. Honsak 11' F 6.14
4 T. Siersleben T. Siersleben D 0.00
Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 4-4-2
1 M. Lotka M. Lotka G 6.99
25 L. Guwara L. Guwara 65' D 6.62
4 T. Campulka T. Campulka 51' D 6.67
2 K. Manu K. Manu D 6.56
3 H. Rorig H. Rorig D 6.71
23 Fousseny Doumbia Fousseny Doumbia 65' M 6.39
8 Lukas Michelbrink Lukas Michelbrink M 6.41
21 Luca Erlein Luca Erlein M 6.25
10 T. Ciğerci T. Ciğerci 1 👟 M 7.39
9 L. Copado L. Copado 1 ⚽ F 7.93
13 Dmytro Bohdanov Dmytro Bohdanov 83' F 6.25
Bench
7 C. Kinsombi C. Kinsombi 7' F 6.47
19 J. Boziaris J. Boziaris 25' M 6.35
42 J. Zaydan J. Zaydan 25' D 6.78
29 K. Kratzsch K. Kratzsch G 0.00
30 Max Böhnke Max Böhnke G 0.00
16 R. Malone R. Malone 39' D 6.93
Best on the pitch
L. Copado
L. Copado
F · Energie
7.93
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
P. Hennrich
P. Hennrich
M · 1.
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 29 pass
T. Ciğerci
T. Ciğerci
M · Energie
7.39
1 👟
3 shots · 30 pass
M. Costly
M. Costly
F · 1.
7.20
3 shots · 15 pass
O. Mhamdi
O. Mhamdi
D · 1.
7.18
1 ⚽
5 shots · 45 pass
T. Dähne
T. Dähne
G · 1.
6.99
· 39 pass
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Dähne G 90 6.99 — — 0 39 38% 0 — —
M. Heule D 86 6.28 — — 1 35 23% 1 1 —
J. Föhrenbach D 90 6.94 — — 0 69 58% 4 — —
P. Mainka D 90 6.95 — — 4 51 46% 1 — —
O. Mhamdi D 90 7.18 1 — 5 45 32% 2 — —
C. Conteh M 90 6.64 — — 2 27 21% 0 — —
J. Niehues M 45 6.47 — — 2 15 11% 0 — —
J. Schöppner M 90 6.54 — — 1 34 25% 4 1 —
P. Hennrich M 79 7.70 — 1 1 29 25% 0 — —
M. Kaufmann F 65 6.27 — — 1 9 3% 2 — —
B. Zivzivadze F 90 6.37 — — 7 6 4% 0 — —
A. Vogt F 25 6.75 — — 3 2 1% 0 — —
L. Paqarada D 4 6.36 — — 1 6 4% 0 — —
M. Costly F 45 7.20 — — 3 15 11% 0 — —
M. Honsak F 11 6.14 — — 1 5 4% 0 — —
Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Lotka G 90 6.99 — — 0 56 37% 0 1 —
L. Guwara D 65 6.62 — — 0 13 12% 2 — —
T. Campulka D 51 6.67 — — 0 25 23% 1 — —
K. Manu D 90 6.56 — — 0 38 32% 2 1 —
H. Rorig D 90 6.71 — — 0 19 16% 1 — —
Fousseny Doumbia M 65 6.39 — — 1 18 13% 1 — —
Lukas Michelbrink M 90 6.41 — — 0 33 23% 0 — —
Luca Erlein M 90 6.25 — — 0 22 17% 2 — —
T. Ciğerci M 90 7.39 — 1 3 30 24% 2 — —
L. Copado F 90 7.93 1 — 2 23 18% 1 — —
Dmytro Bohdanov F 83 6.25 — — 0 15 7% 0 — —
C. Kinsombi F 7 6.47 — — 0 2 1% 1 — —
J. Boziaris M 25 6.35 — — 1 2 1% 0 — —
J. Zaydan D 25 6.78 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
R. Malone D 39 6.93 — — 0 13 10% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus?
The final score was 1. FC Heidenheim 1–1 Energie Cottbus.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus?
The model assigned 44% probability to a 1. FC Heidenheim win, 28% to a draw, and 27% to an Energie Cottbus win.