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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34 May 16, 2026 15:30 Voith-Arena, Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
0 – 2
Final score
FSV Mainz 05
#8 · 10 pts
7' P. Tietz
43' (ast. P. Tietz) N. Amiri
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Heidenheim a 43% win probability (draw 21%, FSV Mainz 05 34%). The final result was 1. FC Heidenheim 0–2 FSV Mainz 05. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Heidenheim have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FSV Mainz 05.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
9
2.32
Actual xG
3.14
5
Saves
4
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
3
20
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
7'
P. Tietz⚽
43'
ast. P. Tietz · N. Amiri⚽
↕ M. Busch / O. H. Traore
46'
↕ M. Pieringer / C. Conteh
46'
46'
D. da Costa / S. Posch ↕
↕ A. Ibrahimovic / S. Schimmer
65'
68'
Lee Jae-Sung / N. Amiri ↕
68'
A. Caci / S. Widmer ↕
E. Dinkci
70'
70'
S. Becker
↕ E. Dinkci / M. Honsak
73'
↕ N. Dorsch / A. Beck
73'
77'
L. Maloney / S. Becker ↕
84'
N. Weiper / P. Tietz ↕
Pre-match prediction
43.71%
1.
21.67%
X
34.62%
FSV ←
we assigned to the actual result (FSV Mainz 05) 34.62% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
1.82
2.32
+0.5
FSV
1.60
3.14
+1.54
FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (3.14 vs 2.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 8 13
6 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
7 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
8 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 8 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 4-4-1-1
40 Frank Feller Frank Feller G 8.70
26 Hennes Behrens Hennes Behrens D 6.70
19 J. Föhrenbach J. Föhrenbach D 6.90
6 P. Mainka P. Mainka D 7.30
2 M. Busch M. Busch 45' D 6.60
22 A. Ibrahimović A. Ibrahimović 65' M 6.50
30 N. Dorsch N. Dorsch 73' M 6.90
3 J. Schöppner J. Schöppner M 6.60
8 E. Dinkçi E. Dinkçi 73' M 7.00
18 M. Pieringer M. Pieringer 45' F 6.30
11 B. Zivzivadze B. Zivzivadze F 7.20
Bench
21 A. Beck A. Beck 18' M 6.60
10 C. Conteh C. Conteh 46' F 6.30
41 D. Ramaj D. Ramaj G
16 J. Niehues J. Niehues M
20 L. Kerber L. Kerber M
17 M. Honsak M. Honsak 18' F 6.90
23 O. Traoré O. Traoré 46' D 6.60
9 S. Schimmer S. Schimmer 26' F 6.60
4 T. Siersleben T. Siersleben D
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2
33 D. Batz D. Batz G 8.90
48 K. Potulski K. Potulski D 8.30
4 S. Posch S. Posch 45' D 6.60
31 D. Kohr D. Kohr D 7.00
2 P. Mwene P. Mwene M 7.30
10 N. Amiri N. Amiri 1 ⚽ 68' M 8.30
6 K. Sano K. Sano M 6.90
8 P. Nebel P. Nebel M 6.30
30 S. Widmer S. Widmer 68' M 7.20
23 S. Becker S. Becker 77' F 6.90
20 P. Tietz P. Tietz 1 ⚽ 1 👟 84' F 6.90
Bench
19 A. Caci A. Caci 23' D 6.30
11 A. Sieb A. Sieb F
21 D. da Costa D. da Costa 46' D 7.20
7 Lee Jae-Sung Lee Jae-Sung 23' M 6.30
15 L. Maloney L. Maloney 14' M 6.70
22 N. Veratschnig N. Veratschnig D
44 N. Weiper N. Weiper 7' F
27 R. Zentner R. Zentner G
24 S. Kawasaki S. Kawasaki M
Best on the pitch
D. Batz
D. Batz
G · FSV
8.90
· 35 pass
Frank Feller
Frank Feller
G · 1.
8.70
· 30 pass
N. Amiri
N. Amiri
M · FSV
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 45 pass
K. Potulski
K. Potulski
D · FSV
8.30
2 shots · 39 pass
P. Mwene
P. Mwene
M · FSV
7.30
· 40 pass
P. Mainka
P. Mainka
D · 1.
7.30
2 shots · 48 pass
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Frank Feller G 91 8.70 — — — 30 25% 1 — —
Hennes Behrens D 91 6.70 — — — 47 40% 2 — —
J. Föhrenbach D 91 6.90 — — — 67 62% 4 — —
P. Mainka D 91 7.30 — — 2 48 40% — — —
M. Busch D 45 6.60 — — — 20 13% 1 — —
A. Ibrahimović M 65 6.50 — — 1 23 16% — — —
N. Dorsch M 73 6.90 — — — 40 37% 1 — —
J. Schöppner M 91 6.60 — — 1 44 29% 4 — —
E. Dinkçi M 73 7.00 — — 1 24 16% — 1 —
M. Pieringer F 45 6.30 — — 1 10 7% — — —
B. Zivzivadze F 91 7.20 — — 4 12 10% 2 — —
A. Beck M 18 6.60 — — — 17 16% 1 — —
C. Conteh F 46 6.30 — — — 10 8% — — —
M. Honsak F 18 6.90 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
O. Traoré D 46 6.60 — — — 21 14% 2 — —
S. Schimmer F 26 6.60 — — — — — 1 — —
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Batz G 91 8.90 — — — 35 22% — — —
K. Potulski D 91 8.30 — — 2 39 33% 2 — —
S. Posch D 45 6.60 — — — 26 18% — — —
D. Kohr D 91 7.00 — — 1 32 28% 3 — —
P. Mwene M 91 7.30 — — — 40 35% 2 — —
N. Amiri M 68 8.30 1 — 3 45 37% 2 — —
K. Sano M 91 6.90 — — 1 37 30% 1 — —
P. Nebel M 91 6.30 — — 2 33 25% 1 — —
S. Widmer M 68 7.20 — — — 22 19% 3 — —
S. Becker F 77 6.90 — — 2 17 14% — 1 —
P. Tietz F 84 6.90 1 1 2 27 19% 1 — —
A. Caci D 23 6.30 — — — 9 6% — — —
D. da Costa D 46 7.20 — — — 12 8% 1 — —
Lee Jae-Sung M 23 6.30 — — — 6 4% 2 — —
L. Maloney M 14 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
N. Weiper F 7 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05?
The final score was 1. FC Heidenheim 0–2 FSV Mainz 05.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05?
The model assigned 43% probability to a 1. FC Heidenheim win, 21% to a draw, and 34% to an FSV Mainz 05 win.