← Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim - FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga May 16, 2026 15:30
1. FC Heidenheim
#17 · 26 pts
vs
FSV Mainz 05
#10 · 37 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.25%
Win
1. FC Heidenheim
21.55%
Draw
35.2%
Win
FSV Mainz 05
1.82
Expected xG
1.6

The ForzaPitch prediction gives 1. FC Heidenheim a 43% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 35% for FSV Mainz 05. Expected goals are 1.8 for 1. FC Heidenheim and 1.6 for FSV Mainz 05 (total 3.4), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.5% probability. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Heidenheim have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FSV Mainz 05.

Score Matrix
↕ 1. FC Heidenheim FSV Mainz 05 →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3% 5.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
1 5.9% 9.5% 7.6% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.7% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.3% 5.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% —
Recent form
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1. FC Köln 1–3
D Bayern München 3–3
W FC St. Pauli 2–0
L SC Freiburg 2–1
W Union Berlin 3–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 20%
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
L Union Berlin 1–3
W FC St. Pauli 1–2
L Bayern München 3–4
D Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1
L SC Freiburg 0–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 23%
Playing profile
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
Attack
45
Defence
58
Form
52
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Attack
46
Defence
58
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1. FC Heidenheim
0
Draw
1
FSV Mainz 05
L 13 Jan 2026 Bundesliga 1–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05?
The model gives 1. FC Heidenheim a 43% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 35% for an FSV Mainz 05 win.
How many goals are expected in 1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05?
Expected goals: 1. FC Heidenheim 1.8, FSV Mainz 05 1.6 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in 1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.5%.