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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 17:30
1. FC Köln
#14 · 0 pts
1 – 3
Final score
1. FC Heidenheim
✗Model wrong — prediction 1. FC Köln, result 1. FC Heidenheim wins
M. Bulter (ast. T. Krauss) 10'
8' (ast. A. Ibrahimovic) J. Schoppner
28' A. Ibrahimovic
72' J. Schoppner
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Köln a 57% win probability (draw 19%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%). The final result was 1. FC Köln 1–3 1. FC Heidenheim. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Köln have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Heidenheim.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
5
1.16
Actual xG
1.37
2
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
6
Corners
4
6
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
ast. A. Ibrahimovic · J. Schoppner⚽
⚽M. Bulter · ast. T. Krauss
10'
28'
A. Ibrahimovic⚽
30'
E. Dinkci
37'
B. Zivzivadze
S. El Mala
55'
↕ T. Krauss / L. Waldschmidt
59'
↕ J. Schmied / A. Castro-Montes
72'
↕ L. Maina / F. Kainz
72'
72'
J. Schoppner⚽
76'
L. Stergiou / O. H. Traore ↕
76'
C. Conteh / A. Ibrahimovic ↕
84'
M. Honsak / E. Dinkci ↕
84'
L. Kerber / B. Zivzivadze ↕
↕ K. Lund / Y. Niang
89'
↕ C. Ozkacar / D. Heintz
89'
I. Johannesson
89'
89'
S. Schimmer / M. Pieringer ↕
Pre-match prediction
57.74%
1.
19.41%
X
22.85%
1. ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Heidenheim) 22.85% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
2.29
1.16
-1.13
1.
1.26
1.37
+0.11
xG dominance was balanced (1.16 – 1.37). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 0 0
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0 0
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0 0
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 0 0
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 0 0
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 0 0
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 0 0
11 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0 0
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
13 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 0 0
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 0 0
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0 0
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 0 0
17 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 0 0
18 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
Lineups
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 4-2-3-1
1 Marvin Schwäbe Marvin Schwäbe G 6.90
32 Kristoffer Lund Kristoffer Lund 89' D 6.20
39 Cenk Özkaçar Cenk Özkaçar 89' D 6.20
2 Joel Schmied Joel Schmied 71' D 7.00
28 Sebastian Sebulonsen Sebastian Sebulonsen D 5.90
18 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson M 6.70
5 Tom Krauß Tom Krauß 1 👟 58' M 7.20
13 S. El Mala S. El Mala M 5.00
16
Jakub Kamiński M 7.00
37 Linton Maina Linton Maina 71' M 7.20
30 Marius Bülter Marius Bülter 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
17 Alessio Castro-Montes Alessio Castro-Montes 19' M 6.50
8
Denis Huseinbašić M
3 Dominique Heintz Dominique Heintz 8' D 6.60
11 Florian Kainz Florian Kainz 19' M 6.30
29 Jan Uwe Thielmann Jan Uwe Thielmann M
7 Luca Waldschmidt Luca Waldschmidt 32' F 6.60
33 Rav van den Berg Rav van den Berg D
20 Ron-Robert Zieler Ron-Robert Zieler G
38 Youssoupha Niang Youssoupha Niang 8' F 6.70
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 4-2-2-2
40 Frank Feller Frank Feller G 7.60
26 Hennes Behrens Hennes Behrens D 7.00
19 Jonas Föhrenbach Jonas Föhrenbach D 7.20
6 Patrick Mainka Patrick Mainka D 7.00
23 Omar Haktab Traore Omar Haktab Traore 76' D 6.70
30 Niklas Dorsch Niklas Dorsch M 7.30
3 Jan Schöppner Jan Schöppner 2 ⚽ M 8.70
22 A. Ibrahimović A. Ibrahimović 1 ⚽ 1 👟 76' M 8.30
8 Eren Dinkçi Eren Dinkçi 83' M 7.30
11 B. Zivzivadze B. Zivzivadze 83' F 6.70
18 Marvin Pieringer Marvin Pieringer 89' F 6.20
Bench
21 Adrian Beck Adrian Beck M
10 Christian Conteh Christian Conteh 14' F 6.70
41 Diant Ramaj Diant Ramaj G
16 Julian Niehues Julian Niehues M
25 Leonidas Stergiou Leonidas Stergiou 14' D 6.60
20 Luca Kerber Luca Kerber 14' M 6.60
17 Mathias Honsak Mathias Honsak 14' F 6.30
9 Stefan Schimmer Stefan Schimmer 8' F 6.90
4 T. Siersleben T. Siersleben D
Best on the pitch
Jan Schöppner
Jan Schöppner
M · 1.
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots · 26 pass
A. Ibrahimović
A. Ibrahimović
M · 1.
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 25 pass
Frank Feller
Frank Feller
G · 1.
7.60
· 41 pass
Eren Dinkçi
Eren Dinkçi
M · 1.
7.30
1 shots · 30 pass
Niklas Dorsch
Niklas Dorsch
M · 1.
7.30
· 35 pass
Tom Krauß
Tom Krauß
M · 1.
7.20
1 👟
· 41 pass
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marvin Schwäbe G 90 6.90 — — — 64 60% — — —
Kristoffer Lund D 89 6.20 — — — 41 35% 1 — —
Cenk Özkaçar D 89 6.20 — — — 78 67% 1 — —
Joel Schmied D 71 7.00 — — — 56 50% — — —
Sebastian Sebulonsen D 90 5.90 — — 2 38 28% 1 — —
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson M 90 6.70 — — — 83 73% — 1 —
Tom Krauß M 58 7.20 — 1 — 41 39% 2 — —
S. El Mala M 90 5.00 — — 1 15 14% 1 1 —
Jakub Kamiński M 90 7.00 — — — 40 38% — — —
Linton Maina M 71 7.20 — — — 26 23% — — —
Marius Bülter F 90 7.20 1 — 3 27 22% — — —
Alessio Castro-Montes M 19 6.50 — — 1 11 8% — — —
Dominique Heintz D 8 6.60 — — — 8 6% — — —
Florian Kainz M 19 6.30 — — 1 17 15% — — —
Luca Waldschmidt F 32 6.60 — — 3 13 7% — — —
Youssoupha Niang F 8 6.70 — — — 4 4% — — —
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Frank Feller G 90 7.60 — — — 41 24% — — —
Hennes Behrens D 90 7.00 — — — 22 18% — — —
Jonas Föhrenbach D 90 7.20 — — — 20 17% 3 — —
Patrick Mainka D 90 7.00 — — — 21 17% 2 — —
Omar Haktab Traore D 76 6.70 — — — 17 11% 4 — —
Niklas Dorsch M 90 7.30 — — — 35 32% 1 — —
Jan Schöppner M 90 8.70 2 — 3 26 17% 3 — —
A. Ibrahimović M 76 8.30 1 1 2 25 16% 4 — —
Eren Dinkçi M 83 7.30 — — 1 30 21% — 1 —
B. Zivzivadze F 83 6.70 — — — 13 9% 1 1 —
Marvin Pieringer F 89 6.20 — — 3 19 15% 1 — —
Christian Conteh F 14 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Leonidas Stergiou D 14 6.60 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Luca Kerber M 14 6.60 — — — 1 1% — — —
Mathias Honsak F 14 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Stefan Schimmer F 8 6.90 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Köln vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The final score was 1. FC Köln 1–3 1. FC Heidenheim.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Köln vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The model assigned 57% probability to a 1. FC Köln win, 19% to a draw, and 22% to an 1. FC Heidenheim win.