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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 17:30
1. FC Köln
#14 · 3 pts
1 – 3
Final score
1. FC Heidenheim
✗Model wrong — prediction 1. FC Köln, result 1. FC Heidenheim wins
M. Bulter (ast. T. Krauss) 10'
8' (ast. A. Ibrahimovic) J. Schoppner
28' A. Ibrahimovic
72' J. Schoppner
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Köln a 57% win probability (draw 19%, 1. FC Heidenheim 22%). The final result was 1. FC Köln 1–3 1. FC Heidenheim. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Köln have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Heidenheim.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
5
1.16
Actual xG
1.37
2
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
6
Corners
4
6
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
ast. A. Ibrahimovic · J. Schoppner⚽
⚽M. Bulter · ast. T. Krauss
10'
28'
A. Ibrahimovic⚽
30'
E. Dinkci
37'
B. Zivzivadze
S. El Mala
55'
↕ T. Krauss / L. Waldschmidt
59'
↕ J. Schmied / A. Castro-Montes
72'
↕ L. Maina / F. Kainz
72'
72'
J. Schoppner⚽
76'
L. Stergiou / O. H. Traore ↕
76'
C. Conteh / A. Ibrahimovic ↕
84'
M. Honsak / E. Dinkci ↕
84'
L. Kerber / B. Zivzivadze ↕
↕ K. Lund / Y. Niang
89'
↕ C. Ozkacar / D. Heintz
89'
I. Johannesson
89'
89'
S. Schimmer / M. Pieringer ↕
Pre-match prediction
57.74%
1.
19.41%
X
22.85%
1. ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Heidenheim) 22.85% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
2.29
1.16
-1.13
1.
1.26
1.37
+0.11
xG dominance was balanced (1.16 – 1.37). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3 9
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 9
3 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3 7
4 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 2 6
5 Bayern München Bayern München 2 4
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 4
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3 4
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3 4
9 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 3 4
10 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2 3
11 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
12 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2 3
13 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 3
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 2 3
15 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3 1
16 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3 1
17 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 0
Lineups
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 4-2-3-1
1 M. Schwäbe M. Schwäbe G 6.90
32 K. Lund K. Lund 89' D 6.20
39 Cenk Özkaçar Cenk Özkaçar 89' D 6.20
2 J. Schmied J. Schmied 71' D 7.00
28 S. Sebulonsen S. Sebulonsen D 5.90
18 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M 6.70
5 T. Krauß T. Krauß 1 👟 58' M 7.20
13 S. El Mala S. El Mala M 5.00
16 J. Kamiński J. Kamiński M 7.00
37 L. Maina L. Maina 71' M 7.20
30 M. Bülter M. Bülter 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
17 A. Castro-Montes A. Castro-Montes 19' M 6.50
8 Denis Huseinbašić Denis Huseinbašić M
3 Dominique Heintz Dominique Heintz 8' D 6.60
11 Florian Kainz Florian Kainz 19' M 6.30
29 J. Thielmann J. Thielmann M
7 Luca Waldschmidt Luca Waldschmidt 32' F 6.60
33 R. van den Berg R. van den Berg D
20 R. Zieler R. Zieler G
38 Y. Niang Y. Niang 8' F 6.70
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 4-2-2-2
40 Frank Feller Frank Feller G 7.60
26 Hennes Behrens Hennes Behrens D 7.00
19 J. Föhrenbach J. Föhrenbach D 7.20
6 P. Mainka P. Mainka D 7.00
23 O. Traoré O. Traoré 76' D 6.70
30 N. Dorsch N. Dorsch M 7.30
3 J. Schöppner J. Schöppner 2 ⚽ M 8.70
22 A. Ibrahimović A. Ibrahimović 1 ⚽ 1 👟 76' M 8.30
8 E. Dinkçi E. Dinkçi 83' M 7.30
11 B. Zivzivadze B. Zivzivadze 83' F 6.70
18 M. Pieringer M. Pieringer 89' F 6.20
Bench
21 A. Beck A. Beck M
10 C. Conteh C. Conteh 14' F 6.70
41 D. Ramaj D. Ramaj G
16 J. Niehues J. Niehues M
20 L. Kerber L. Kerber 14' M 6.60
25 L. Stergiou L. Stergiou 14' D 6.60
17 M. Honsak M. Honsak 14' F 6.30
9 Stefan Schimmer Stefan Schimmer 8' F 6.90
4 T. Siersleben T. Siersleben D
Best on the pitch
J. Schöppner
J. Schöppner
M · 1.
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots · 26 pass
A. Ibrahimović
A. Ibrahimović
M · 1.
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 25 pass
Frank Feller
Frank Feller
G · 1.
7.60
· 41 pass
E. Dinkçi
E. Dinkçi
M · 1.
7.30
1 shots · 30 pass
N. Dorsch
N. Dorsch
M · 1.
7.30
· 35 pass
T. Krauß
T. Krauß
M · 1.
7.20
1 👟
· 41 pass
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Schwäbe G 90 6.90 — — — 64 60% — — —
K. Lund D 89 6.20 — — — 41 35% 1 — —
Cenk Özkaçar D 89 6.20 — — — 78 67% 1 — —
J. Schmied D 71 7.00 — — — 56 50% — — —
S. Sebulonsen D 90 5.90 — — 2 38 28% 1 — —
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M 90 6.70 — — — 83 73% — 1 —
T. Krauß M 58 7.20 — 1 — 41 39% 2 — —
S. El Mala M 90 5.00 — — 1 15 14% 1 1 —
J. Kamiński M 90 7.00 — — — 40 38% — — —
L. Maina M 71 7.20 — — — 26 23% — — —
M. Bülter F 90 7.20 1 — 3 27 22% — — —
A. Castro-Montes M 19 6.50 — — 1 11 8% — — —
Dominique Heintz D 8 6.60 — — — 8 6% — — —
Florian Kainz M 19 6.30 — — 1 17 15% — — —
Luca Waldschmidt F 32 6.60 — — 3 13 7% — — —
Y. Niang F 8 6.70 — — — 4 4% — — —
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Frank Feller G 90 7.60 — — — 41 24% — — —
Hennes Behrens D 90 7.00 — — — 22 18% — — —
J. Föhrenbach D 90 7.20 — — — 20 17% 3 — —
P. Mainka D 90 7.00 — — — 21 17% 2 — —
O. Traoré D 76 6.70 — — — 17 11% 4 — —
N. Dorsch M 90 7.30 — — — 35 32% 1 — —
J. Schöppner M 90 8.70 2 — 3 26 17% 3 — —
A. Ibrahimović M 76 8.30 1 1 2 25 16% 4 — —
E. Dinkçi M 83 7.30 — — 1 30 21% — 1 —
B. Zivzivadze F 83 6.70 — — — 13 9% 1 1 —
M. Pieringer F 89 6.20 — — 3 19 15% 1 — —
C. Conteh F 14 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
L. Kerber M 14 6.60 — — — 1 1% — — —
L. Stergiou D 14 6.60 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
M. Honsak F 14 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Stefan Schimmer F 8 6.90 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Köln vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The final score was 1. FC Köln 1–3 1. FC Heidenheim.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Köln vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The model assigned 57% probability to a 1. FC Köln win, 19% to a draw, and 22% to an 1. FC Heidenheim win.