Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 15:30

1. FC Köln

#14 · 3 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Bayer Leverkusen

#6 · 4 pts

L. Waldschmidt 78'

(pen.) 43' P. Schick

52' (ast. N. Tella) P. Schick

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayer Leverkusen a 42% win probability (draw 20%, 1. FC Köln 36%). The final result was 1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Köln have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bayer Leverkusen.

Match statistics

16

Total shots

6

8

Shots on target

3

2.41

Actual xG

1.33

1

Saves

7

45%

Possession

55%

0

Corners

5

11

Tackles

19

1

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

10'

E. Tapsoba

43'

(pen.) P. Schick⚽

I. Johannesson

45'

52'

ast. N. Tella · P. Schick⚽

↕ L. Maina / A. Castro-Montes

62'

↕ M. Bulter / J. Thielmann

62'

62'

M. Tillman / I. Maza ↕

↕ K. Lund / F. Chavez

72'

72'

Arthur / M. Culbreath ↕

↕ I. Johannesson / L. Waldschmidt

73'

73'

E. Fernandez / A. Garcia ↕

73'

E. Ben Seghir / N. Tella ↕

⚽L. Waldschmidt

78'

↕ E. Martel / Y. Niang

85'

86'

L. Bade / J. Quansah ↕

90'+5

J. Blaswich

Pre-match prediction

36.78%

1.

20.87%

X

42.35%

Bayer ←

we assigned to the actual result (Bayer Leverkusen) 42.35% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

1.

2.10

2.41

+0.31

Bayer

2.12

1.33

-0.79

1. FC Köln dominated by xG (2.41 vs 1.33). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	3	9
2	Borussia Dortmund	3	9
3	FC Augsburg	3	7
4	SV Elversberg	2	6
5	Bayern München	2	4
6	Bayer Leverkusen	3	4
7	FSV Mainz 05	3	4
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	4
9	FC Schalke 04	3	4
10	RB Leipzig	2	3
11	1899 Hoffenheim	3	3
12	Werder Bremen	2	3
13	VfB Stuttgart	3	3
14	1. FC Köln	2	3
15	SC Paderborn 07	3	1
16	Union Berlin	3	1
17	Hamburger SV	2	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0

Lineups

1. FC Köln 3-4-1-2

1 M. Schwäbe G 6.90

39

D 6.90

22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 6.50

28 S. Sebulonsen D 6.20

32 K. Lund 72' M 6.20

6 E. Martel 85' M 6.60

18 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 72' M 6.30

37 L. Maina 59' M 6.90

16 J. Kamiński F 6.90

13 S. El Mala F 7.90

30 M. Bülter 59' F 6.50

Bench

17 A. Castro-Montes 34' M 6.70

29 J. Thielmann 34' M 7.30

7 Luca Waldschmidt 1 ⚽ 21' F 7.70

5 T. Krauß M

Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1

28 J. Blaswich G 8.90

12 E. Tapsoba D 7.20

8 R. Andrich D 6.50

4 J. Quansah 85' D 6.00

20 Álex Grimaldo M 6.90

24 Aleix García 72' M 7.20

25 E. Palacios M 6.30

42 Montrell Culbreath 72' M 6.90

23 Nathan Tella 1 👟 72' F 7.30

30 I. Maza 61' F 6.50

14 P. Schick 2 ⚽ F 7.60

Bench

6 E. Fernández 21' M 6.90

19 E. Poku F

10 M. Tillman 32' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

J. Blaswich

G · Bayer

8.90

· 21 pass

S. El Mala

F · 1.

7.90

8 shots · 5 pass

Luca Waldschmidt

F · 1.

7.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 13 pass

P. Schick

F · Bayer

7.60

2 ⚽

3 shots · 14 pass

J. Thielmann

M · 1.

7.30

· 27 pass

Nathan Tella

F · Bayer

7.30

1 👟

· 25 pass

1. FC Köln — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Schwäbe	G	93	6.90	—	—	—	57	47%	—	—	—
	D	93	6.90	—	—	—	69	60%	1	—	—
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey	D	93	6.50	—	—	—	49	47%	1	—	—
S. Sebulonsen	D	93	6.20	—	—	1	38	30%	1	—	—
K. Lund	M	72	6.20	—	—	—	16	12%	1	—	—
E. Martel	M	85	6.60	—	—	1	40	36%	1	—	—
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson	M	72	6.30	—	—	—	29	25%	—	1	—
L. Maina	M	59	6.90	—	—	—	13	12%	1	—	—
J. Kamiński	F	93	6.90	—	—	2	43	36%	1	—	—
S. El Mala	F	93	7.90	—	—	8	5	4%	2	—	—
M. Bülter	F	59	6.50	—	—	—	13	9%	1	—	—
A. Castro-Montes	M	34	6.70	—	—	1	15	12%	1	—	—
J. Thielmann	M	34	7.30	—	—	—	27	23%	—	—	—
Luca Waldschmidt	F	21	7.70	1	—	3	13	10%	—	—	—

Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Blaswich	G	93	8.90	—	—	—	21	12%	—	—	—
E. Tapsoba	D	93	7.20	—	—	—	74	70%	2	1	—
R. Andrich	D	93	6.50	—	—	1	60	52%	5	—	—
J. Quansah	D	85	6.00	—	—	1	52	46%	1	—	—
Álex Grimaldo	M	93	6.90	—	—	1	63	56%	2	—	—
Aleix García	M	72	7.20	—	—	—	78	75%	1	—	—
E. Palacios	M	93	6.30	—	—	—	77	66%	1	—	—
Montrell Culbreath	M	72	6.90	—	—	—	26	19%	2	—	—
Nathan Tella	F	72	7.30	—	1	—	25	22%	—	—	—
I. Maza	F	61	6.50	—	—	—	18	12%	2	—	—
P. Schick	F	93	7.60	2	—	3	14	9%	—	—	—
E. Fernández	M	21	6.90	—	—	—	13	13%	2	—	—
M. Tillman	M	32	6.30	—	—	—	15	11%	1	—	—