Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 17:30

1. FC Köln

#14 · 32 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Bayer Leverkusen

#6 · 58 pts

L. Waldschmidt 78'

(pen.) 43' P. Schick

52' (ast. N. Tella) P. Schick

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayer Leverkusen a 42% win probability (draw 20%, 1. FC Köln 36%). The final result was 1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Köln have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bayer Leverkusen.

Match statistics

16

Total shots

6

8

Shots on target

3

2.41

Actual xG

1.33

1

Saves

7

45%

Possession

55%

0

Corners

5

11

Tackles

19

1

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

10'

E. Tapsoba

43'

(pen.) P. Schick⚽

I. Johannesson

45'

52'

ast. N. Tella · P. Schick⚽

↕ L. Maina / A. Castro-Montes

62'

↕ M. Bulter / J. Thielmann

62'

62'

M. Tillman / I. Maza ↕

↕ K. Lund / F. Chavez

72'

72'

Arthur / M. Culbreath ↕

↕ I. Johannesson / L. Waldschmidt

73'

73'

E. Fernandez / A. Garcia ↕

73'

E. Ben Seghir / N. Tella ↕

⚽L. Waldschmidt

78'

↕ E. Martel / Y. Niang

85'

86'

L. Bade / J. Quansah ↕

90'+5

J. Blaswich

Pre-match prediction

36.78%

1.

20.87%

X

42.35%

Bayer ←

we assigned to the actual result (Bayer Leverkusen) 42.35% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

1.

2.10

2.41

+0.31

Bayer

2.12

1.33

-0.79

1. FC Köln dominated by xG (2.41 vs 1.33). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	33	86
2	Borussia Dortmund	33	70
3	RB Leipzig	33	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	33	61
5	1899 Hoffenheim	33	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	33	58
7	SC Freiburg	33	44
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	43
9	FC Augsburg	33	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	33	37
11	Hamburger SV	33	37
12	Union Berlin	33	36
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach	33	35
14	1. FC Köln	33	32
15	Werder Bremen	33	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	33	26
17	1. FC Heidenheim	33	26
18	FC St. Pauli	33	26

Lineups

1. FC Köln 3-4-1-2

1 Marvin Schwäbe G 6.90

39

D 6.90

22

Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 6.50

28 Sebastian Sebulonsen D 6.20

32 Kristoffer Lund 72' M 6.20

6

E. Martel 85' M 6.60

18 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson 72' M 6.30

37 Linton Maina 59' M 6.90

16 Jakub Kamiński F 6.90

13 Said El Mala F 7.90

30 Marius Bülter 59' F 6.50

Bench

17 Alessio Castro-Montes 34' M 6.70

29 Jan Uwe Thielmann 34' M 7.30

7 Luca Waldschmidt 1 ⚽ 21' F 7.70

5 Tom Krauß M

Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1

28

J. Blaswich G 8.90

12 E. Tapsoba D 7.20

8 R. Andrich D 6.50

4

J. Quansah 85' D 6.00

20

A. Grimaldo M 6.90

24 Aleix García 72' M 7.20

25 E. Palacios M 6.30

42

M. Culbreath 72' M 6.90

23

N. Tella 1 👟 72' F 7.30

30 I. Maza 61' F 6.50

14 P. Schick 2 ⚽ F 7.60

Bench

6

E. Fernandez 21' M 6.90

19 E. Poku F

10 M. Tillman 32' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

J. Blaswich

G · Bayer

8.90

· 21 pass

Said El Mala

F · 1.

7.90

8 shots · 5 pass

Luca Waldschmidt

F · 1.

7.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 13 pass

P. Schick

F · Bayer

7.60

2 ⚽

3 shots · 14 pass

Jan Uwe Thielmann

M · 1.

7.30

· 27 pass

N. Tella

F · Bayer

7.30

1 👟

· 25 pass

1. FC Köln — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Marvin Schwäbe	G	93	6.90	—	—	—	57	47%	—	—	—
	D	93	6.90	—	—	—	69	60%	1	—	—
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey	D	93	6.50	—	—	—	49	47%	1	—	—
Sebastian Sebulonsen	D	93	6.20	—	—	1	38	30%	1	—	—
Kristoffer Lund	M	72	6.20	—	—	—	16	12%	1	—	—
E. Martel	M	85	6.60	—	—	1	40	36%	1	—	—
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson	M	72	6.30	—	—	—	29	25%	—	1	—
Linton Maina	M	59	6.90	—	—	—	13	12%	1	—	—
Jakub Kamiński	F	93	6.90	—	—	2	43	36%	1	—	—
Said El Mala	F	93	7.90	—	—	8	5	4%	2	—	—
Marius Bülter	F	59	6.50	—	—	—	13	9%	1	—	—
Alessio Castro-Montes	M	34	6.70	—	—	1	15	12%	1	—	—
Jan Uwe Thielmann	M	34	7.30	—	—	—	27	23%	—	—	—
Luca Waldschmidt	F	21	7.70	1	—	3	13	10%	—	—	—

Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Blaswich	G	93	8.90	—	—	—	21	12%	—	—	—
E. Tapsoba	D	93	7.20	—	—	—	74	70%	2	1	—
R. Andrich	D	93	6.50	—	—	1	60	52%	5	—	—
J. Quansah	D	85	6.00	—	—	1	52	46%	1	—	—
A. Grimaldo	M	93	6.90	—	—	1	63	56%	2	—	—
Aleix García	M	72	7.20	—	—	—	78	75%	1	—	—
E. Palacios	M	93	6.30	—	—	—	77	66%	1	—	—
M. Culbreath	M	72	6.90	—	—	—	26	19%	2	—	—
N. Tella	F	72	7.30	—	1	—	25	22%	—	—	—
I. Maza	F	61	6.50	—	—	—	18	12%	2	—	—
P. Schick	F	93	7.60	2	—	3	14	9%	—	—	—
E. Fernandez	M	21	6.90	—	—	—	13	13%	2	—	—
M. Tillman	M	32	6.30	—	—	—	15	11%	1	—	—