Skip to main content
← Bundesliga
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5 October 11, 2026 15:30 RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
1. FC Köln
#12 · 8 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Borussia Mönchengladbach
#18 · 3 pts
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson 26'
Said El Mala (ast. Linton Maina) 67'
39' Joe Scally
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Köln a 45% win probability (draw 26%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 27%). The final result was 1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach. In 2 previous meetings, 1. FC Köln have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
16
7
Shots on target
7
1.35
Actual xG
1.18
6
Saves
5
48%
Possession
52%
6
Corners
6
22
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Marius Bülter
13'
24'
Jan Leszczynski
⚽Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
26'
39'
Joe Scally⚽
↕ Ellyes Skhiri / Tom Krauß
45'
64'
Shuto Machino / Isac Lidberg ↕
64'
Wael Mohya / Robin Hack ↕
⚽Said El Mala · ast. Linton Maina
67'
68'
Zento Uno / Florian Neuhaus ↕
↕ Said El Mala / Jan Thielmann
78'
↕ Luka Lochoshvili / Joel Schmied
78'
80'
Fritz Fleck / Daiki Hashioka ↕
80'
Fabio Cristian Chiarodia / Jan Leszczynski ↕
81'
Zento Uno
↕ Mikey Moore / Imad Rondić
85'
↕ Linton Maina / Luca Waldschmidt
90'+2
90'+6
Shuto Machino
Pre-match prediction
45.53%
1. ←
26.97%
X
27.5%
Borussia
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Köln) 45.53% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
3.88
1.35
-2.53
Borussia
1.25
1.18
-0.07
xG dominance was balanced (1.35 – 1.18). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 10
8 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 7 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 4-1-2-1-2
1 M. Schwäbe M. Schwäbe G 7.57
3 B. Sosa B. Sosa D 7.23
24 L. Lochoshvili L. Lochoshvili 78' D 6.80
22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 7.27
28 S. Sebulonsen S. Sebulonsen D 6.55
6 E. Skhiri E. Skhiri 45' M 7.04
37 L. Maina L. Maina 1 👟 89' M 7.13
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 1 ⚽ M 7.80
47 M. Moore M. Moore 85' M 6.60
10 S. El Mala S. El Mala 1 ⚽ 78' F 8.15
30 M. Bülter M. Bülter F 6.22
Bench
14 G. Mensah G. Mensah D 0.00
15 I. Rondić I. Rondić 5' F 6.11
2 J. Schmied J. Schmied 12' D 6.67
29 J. Thielmann J. Thielmann 12' M 6.25
7 L. Waldschmidt L. Waldschmidt 1' F 6.55
23 Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler M 0.00
11 Reigan Heskey Reigan Heskey F 0.00
20 R. Zieler R. Zieler G 0.00
5 T. Krauß T. Krauß 45' M 6.64
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4-2-1
1 M. Nicolas M. Nicolas G 6.78
5 J. Leszczyński J. Leszczyński 80' D 6.14
4 K. Diks K. Diks D 6.70
14 D. Hashioka D. Hashioka 80' D 5.55
26 L. Ullrich L. Ullrich M 6.03
10 F. Neuhaus F. Neuhaus 68' M 5.90
16 P. Sander P. Sander M 6.46
29 J. Scally J. Scally 1 ⚽ M 7.53
25 R. Hack R. Hack 64' M 6.37
38 H. Bolin H. Bolin M 5.62
3 I. Lidberg I. Lidberg 64' F 5.81
Bench
33 D. Batz D. Batz G 0.00
20 D. Herold D. Herold D 0.00
2 F. Chiarodia F. Chiarodia 10' D 6.33
27 F. Fleck F. Fleck 10' M 6.01
34 M. Nguefack M. Nguefack M 0.00
18 S. Machino S. Machino 26' F 6.18
36 W. Mohya W. Mohya 26' M 6.32
22 Y. Konoplya Y. Konoplya D 0.00
47 Z. Uno Z. Uno 22' M 6.19
Best on the pitch
S. El Mala
S. El Mala
F · 1.
8.15
1 ⚽
8 shots · 6 pass
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
M · 1.
7.80
1 ⚽
1 shots · 43 pass
M. Schwäbe
M. Schwäbe
G · 1.
7.57
· 41 pass
J. Scally
J. Scally
M · Borussia
7.53
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
D · 1.
7.27
2 shots · 50 pass
B. Sosa
B. Sosa
D · 1.
7.23
1 shots · 46 pass
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Schwäbe G 90 7.57 — — 0 41 31% 0 — —
B. Sosa D 90 7.23 — — 1 46 40% 3 — —
L. Lochoshvili D 78 6.80 — — 1 74 66% 4 — —
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 90 7.27 — — 2 50 45% 0 — —
S. Sebulonsen D 90 6.55 — — 3 18 10% 1 — —
E. Skhiri M 45 7.04 — — 0 27 25% 1 — —
L. Maina M 89 7.13 — 1 2 24 16% 4 — —
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M 90 7.80 1 — 1 43 36% 3 — —
M. Moore M 85 6.60 — — 1 24 21% 0 — —
S. El Mala F 78 8.15 1 — 8 6 3% 2 — —
M. Bülter F 90 6.22 — — 0 13 5% 0 1 —
I. Rondić F 5 6.11 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
J. Schmied D 12 6.67 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
J. Thielmann M 12 6.25 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
L. Waldschmidt F 1 6.55 — — 1 1 0% 0 — —
T. Krauß M 45 6.64 — — 0 17 14% 3 — —
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Nicolas G 90 6.78 — — 0 35 24% 0 — —
J. Leszczyński D 80 6.14 — — 0 48 41% 2 1 —
K. Diks D 90 6.70 — — 0 47 45% 1 — —
D. Hashioka D 80 5.55 — — 0 25 15% 2 — —
L. Ullrich M 90 6.03 — — 2 45 35% 0 — —
F. Neuhaus M 68 5.90 — — 1 20 15% 0 — —
P. Sander M 90 6.46 — — 3 53 45% 0 — —
J. Scally M 90 7.53 1 — 2 16 11% 1 — —
R. Hack M 64 6.37 — — 0 24 18% 1 — —
H. Bolin M 90 5.62 — — 3 30 24% 1 — —
I. Lidberg F 64 5.81 — — 1 13 9% 1 — —
F. Chiarodia D 10 6.33 — — 0 20 17% 0 — —
F. Fleck M 10 6.01 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
S. Machino F 26 6.18 — — 1 7 5% 0 1 —
W. Mohya M 26 6.32 — — 2 11 9% 0 — —
Z. Uno M 22 6.19 — — 1 21 18% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The final score was 1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The model assigned 45% probability to a 1. FC Köln win, 26% to a draw, and 27% to an Borussia Mönchengladbach win.