The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Köln a 40% win probability (draw 30%, FC Schalke 04 28%). The final result was 1. FC Köln 0–0 FC Schalke 04.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
1
1.29
Actual xG
0.66
1
Saves
4
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
5
18
Tackles
25
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
43'
Janik Bachmann
/
Soufiane El-Faouzi
43'
Vitalie Becker
/
Robin Gosens
Tom Krauß
45'+2
Mikey Moore
/ Luca Waldschmidt
68'
71'
Junior Dina Ebimbe
Tom Krauß
/ Paul Okon-Engstler
80'
Said El Mala
/ Reigan Heskey
80'
Luka Lochoshvili
81'
83'
Vitalie Becker
89'
Hasan Kuruçay
Linton Maina
/ Jan Thielmann
90'
Luka Lochoshvili
/ Joel Schmied
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.79%
1.
30.63%
X ←
28.58%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
1.29
-0.25
0.89
0.66
-0.23
1. FC Köln dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.66).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
M. Schwäbe
G
M. Schwäbe
G
3
B. Sosa
D
B. Sosa
D
24
L. Lochoshvili
89'
D
L. Lochoshvili
89'
D
22
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
D
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
D
28
S. Sebulonsen
D
S. Sebulonsen
D
5
T. Krauß
80'
M
T. Krauß
80'
M
8
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
M
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
M
10
S. El Mala
80'
M
S. El Mala
80'
M
47
M. Moore
68'
M
M. Moore
68'
M
37
L. Maina
89'
M
L. Maina
89'
M
30
M. Bülter
F
M. Bülter
F
Bench
17
A. Castro-Montes
M
A. Castro-Montes
M
14
G. Mensah
D
G. Mensah
D
2
J. Schmied
1'
D
J. Schmied
1'
D
29
J. Thielmann
1'
M
J. Thielmann
1'
M
7
L. Waldschmidt
22'
F
L. Waldschmidt
22'
F
19
M. El Mala
F
M. El Mala
F
23
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
10'
M
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
10'
M
11
Reigan Heskey
10'
F
Reigan Heskey
10'
F
20
R. Zieler
G
R. Zieler
G
1
L. Karius
G
L. Karius
G
4
H. Kuruçay
D
H. Kuruçay
D
25
N. Katić
D
N. Katić
D
5
T. Becker
D
T. Becker
D
8
R. Gosens
43'
M
R. Gosens
43'
M
13
S. Tanaka
M
S. Tanaka
M
23
S. El-Faouzi
43'
M
S. El-Faouzi
43'
M
29
J. Dina Ebimbe
M
J. Dina Ebimbe
M
24
A. Aouchiche
M
A. Aouchiche
M
20
J. Adamu
M
J. Adamu
M
7
Hwang Hee-Chan
F
Hwang Hee-Chan
F
Bench
11
B. Lasme
F
B. Lasme
F
10
E. Džeko
F
E. Džeko
F
27
F. Porath
M
F. Porath
M
14
J. Bachmann
47'
M
J. Bachmann
47'
M
22
K. Müller
G
K. Müller
G
38
L. Vozar
M
L. Vozar
M
43
M. Ayhan
D
M. Ayhan
D
33
Vitalie Becker
47'
D
Vitalie Becker
47'
D
Best on the pitch
L. Karius
G · FC
7.96
· 20 pass
M. Schwäbe
G · 1.
7.42
· 49 pass
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
M · 1.
7.20
1 shots
· 56 pass
L. Lochoshvili
D · 1.
7.12
· 95 pass
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
D · 1.
7.11
· 89 pass
T. Becker
D · FC
7.01
· 23 pass
1. FC Köln — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Schwäbe | G | 90 | 7.42 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 43% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Sosa | D | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Lochoshvili | D | 89 | 7.12 | — | — | 0 | 95 | 89% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Jahmai Simpson-Pusey | D | 90 | 7.11 | — | — | 0 | 89 | 81% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Sebulonsen | D | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Krauß | M | 80 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 29% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| S. El Mala | M | 80 | 6.07 | — | — | 5 | 23 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Moore | M | 68 | 6.43 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Maina | M | 89 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Bülter | F | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Schmied | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Thielmann | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Waldschmidt | F | 22 | 6.79 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler | M | 10 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Reigan Heskey | F | 10 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
FC Schalke 04 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Karius | G | 90 | 7.96 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Kuruçay | D | 90 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Katić | D | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Becker | D | 90 | 7.01 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 18% | 6 | — | — |
| R. Gosens | M | 43 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Tanaka | M | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| S. El-Faouzi | M | 43 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Dina Ebimbe | M | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 16% | 5 | 1 | — |
| A. Aouchiche | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Adamu | M | 90 | 6.19 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Hwang Hee-Chan | F | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Bachmann | M | 47 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Vitalie Becker | D | 47 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 11% | 4 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?
The final score was 1. FC Köln 0–0 FC Schalke 04.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?
The model assigned 40% probability to a 1. FC Köln win, 30% to a draw, and 28% to an FC Schalke 04 win.