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DFB Pokal · Round of 32 October 27, 2026 20:45 RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
1. FC Köln
5 – 0
Final score
Union Berlin
✓Model correct — prediction 1. FC Köln
Said El Mala (ast. Linton Maina) 32'
Linton Maina (ast. Said El Mala) 51'
Said El Mala (ast. Marius Bülter) 60'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (ast. Marius Bülter) 78'
Sebastian Soraas Sebulonsen (ast. Reigan Heskey) 88'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Köln a 55% win probability (draw 21%, Union Berlin 23%). The final result was 1. FC Köln 5–0 Union Berlin. In 2 previous meetings, 1. FC Köln have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Union Berlin.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
17
8
Shots on target
4
3.04
Actual xG
1.10
4
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
3
Corners
4
8
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Said El Mala · ast. Linton Maina
32'
45'
Derrick Köhn / Tom Rothe ↕
48'
Leopold Querfeld
⚽Linton Maina · ast. Said El Mala
51'
57'
Livan Burcu / Tim Skarke ↕
58'
Emmanuel Latte Lath / Mekhi Gray ↕
⚽Said El Mala · ast. Marius Bülter
60'
↕ Alessio Castro-Montes / Sebastian Soraas Sebulonsen
63'
68'
Aljoscha Kemlein / András Schäfer ↕
↕ Linton Maina / Jan Thielmann
71'
↕ Mikey Moore / Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
72'
75'
Marin Ljubičić / Woo-Yeong Jeong ↕
77'
Marin Ljubičić
⚽Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson · ast. Marius Bülter
78'
↕ Borna Sosa / Gideon Mensah
81'
↕ Said El Mala / Reigan Heskey
81'
Sebastian Soraas Sebulonsen
84'
⚽Sebastian Soraas Sebulonsen · ast. Reigan Heskey
88'
90'
Livan Burcu
Pre-match prediction
55.31%
1. ←
21.57%
X
23.11%
Union
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Köln) 55.31% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
2.80
3.04
+0.24
Union
1.47
1.10
-0.37
1. FC Köln dominated by xG (3.04 vs 1.10). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 3-4-2-1
1 M. Schwäbe M. Schwäbe G 7.81
5 T. Krauß T. Krauß D 7.00
22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 6.95
2 J. Schmied J. Schmied D 7.43
3 B. Sosa B. Sosa 81' M 6.84
47 M. Moore M. Moore 72' M 6.38
23 Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler M 6.56
17 A. Castro-Montes A. Castro-Montes 63' M 6.76
10 S. El Mala S. El Mala 2 ⚽ 1 👟 81' M 9.68
37 L. Maina L. Maina 1 ⚽ 1 👟 71' M 8.24
30 M. Bülter M. Bülter 2 👟 F 8.03
Bench
14 G. Mensah G. Mensah 9' D 6.65
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 1 ⚽ 18' M 7.33
29 J. Thielmann J. Thielmann 19' M 6.65
24 L. Lochoshvili L. Lochoshvili D 0.00
7 L. Waldschmidt L. Waldschmidt F 0.00
19 M. El Mala M. El Mala F 0.00
11 Reigan Heskey Reigan Heskey 1 👟 9' F 6.28
20 R. Zieler R. Zieler G 0.00
28 S. Sebulonsen S. Sebulonsen 1 ⚽ 27' D 6.94
Union Berlin Union Berlin 4-2-2-2
31 M. Raab M. Raab G 6.61
15 T. Rothe T. Rothe 45' D 5.69
14 L. Querfeld L. Querfeld D 5.81
4 Z. Van Den Bosch Z. Van Den Bosch D 5.86
19 J. Haberer J. Haberer D 5.63
8 R. Khedira R. Khedira M 6.37
13 A. Schäfer A. Schäfer 68' M 6.22
20 M. Aebischer M. Aebischer M 7.20
11 Jeong Woo-Yeong Jeong Woo-Yeong 75' M 6.24
21 T. Skarke T. Skarke 57' F 6.70
32 M. Gray M. Gray 58' F 6.49
Bench
6 A. Kemlein A. Kemlein 22' M 5.77
28 C. Trimmel C. Trimmel D 0.00
17 D. Köhn D. Köhn 45' D 6.01
29 E. Latte Lath E. Latte Lath 32' F 6.35
1 F. Rønnow F. Rønnow G 0.00
30 K. Imeri K. Imeri M 0.00
9 Livan Burcu Livan Burcu 33' F 6.34
5 M. Friedrich M. Friedrich D 0.00
27 M. Ljubičić M. Ljubičić 15' F 6.07
Best on the pitch
S. El Mala
S. El Mala
M · 1.
9.68
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 20 pass
L. Maina
L. Maina
M · 1.
8.24
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 31 pass
M. Bülter
M. Bülter
F · 1.
8.03
2 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
M. Schwäbe
M. Schwäbe
G · 1.
7.81
· 50 pass
J. Schmied
J. Schmied
D · 1.
7.43
1 shots · 37 pass
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
M · 1.
7.33
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Schwäbe G 90 7.81 — — 0 50 35% 0 — —
T. Krauß D 90 7.00 — — 0 71 65% 1 — —
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 90 6.95 — — 0 62 54% 0 — —
J. Schmied D 90 7.43 — — 1 37 36% 3 — —
B. Sosa M 81 6.84 — — 0 44 40% 1 — —
M. Moore M 72 6.38 — — 0 23 16% 0 — —
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler M 90 6.56 — — 0 69 62% 0 — —
A. Castro-Montes M 63 6.76 — — 1 25 21% 2 — —
S. El Mala M 81 9.68 2 1 4 20 17% 0 — —
L. Maina M 71 8.24 1 1 2 31 26% 0 — —
M. Bülter F 90 8.03 — 2 2 19 16% 0 — —
G. Mensah D 9 6.65 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M 18 7.33 1 — 1 11 8% 0 — —
J. Thielmann M 19 6.65 — — 1 8 7% 1 — —
Reigan Heskey F 9 6.28 — 1 1 1 1% 0 — —
S. Sebulonsen D 27 6.94 1 — 1 10 7% 0 1 —
Union Berlin Union Berlin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Raab G 90 6.61 — — 0 27 20% 1 — —
T. Rothe D 45 5.69 — — 0 19 9% 0 — —
L. Querfeld D 90 5.81 — — 2 50 42% 1 1 —
Z. Van Den Bosch D 90 5.86 — — 1 45 37% 5 — —
J. Haberer D 90 5.63 — — 0 43 33% 3 — —
R. Khedira M 90 6.37 — — 1 22 21% 0 — —
A. Schäfer M 68 6.22 — — 1 28 24% 4 — —
M. Aebischer M 90 7.20 — — 1 36 32% 0 — —
Jeong Woo-Yeong M 75 6.24 — — 0 28 24% 1 — —
T. Skarke F 57 6.70 — — 3 17 12% 0 — —
M. Gray F 58 6.49 — — 1 5 3% 0 — —
A. Kemlein M 22 5.77 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
D. Köhn D 45 6.01 — — 2 37 31% 0 — —
E. Latte Lath F 32 6.35 — — 2 5 3% 0 — —
Livan Burcu F 33 6.34 — — 3 17 17% 0 1 —
M. Ljubičić F 15 6.07 — — 0 2 2% 0 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
The final score was 1. FC Köln 5–0 Union Berlin.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
The model assigned 55% probability to a 1. FC Köln win, 21% to a draw, and 23% to an Union Berlin win.