2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 34
May 17, 2026 15:30
✗Model wrong — prediction 1. FC Magdeburg, result 1. FC Kaiserslautern wins
(pen.)
62'
M. Ritter
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 55% win probability (draw 21%, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 23%). The final result was 1. FC Magdeburg 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern. In 2 previous meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
4
1.12
Actual xG
1.33
3
Saves
4
57%
Possession
43%
3
Corners
0
8
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
L. Musonda
/ P. Hercher
39'
D. Stalmach
/ C. Krempicki
49'
62'
(pen.)
M. Ritter⚽
B. Atik
71'
73'
S. Asta
73'
P. Joly
/
E. Wekesser
74'
M. Emreli
/
M. Ritter
74'
M. Emreli
82'
A. Chernev
/
D. Schramm
82'
M. Berisha
/
N. Skytta
89'
K. Redondo
/
D. Hanslik
H. Bockhorn
/ R. Tachie
90'+1
S. Gnaka
/ L. Hyrylainen
90'+1
M. Mathisen
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
55.86%
1.
21.14%
X
23.0%
1. ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Kaiserslautern)
23.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.96
1.12
-0.84
1.16
1.33
+0.17
xG dominance was balanced (1.12 – 1.33).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
D. Reimann
G
D. Reimann
G
19
L. Musonda
39'
D
24
J. Hugonet
D
J. Hugonet
D
16
M. Mathisen
D
M. Mathisen
D
7
H. Bockhorn
89'
D
H. Bockhorn
89'
D
21
F. Michel
M
F. Michel
M
25
Silas Gnaka
89'
M
6
Dariusz Stalmach
49'
M
Dariusz Stalmach
49'
M
23
B. Atik
F
B. Atik
F
22
M. Żukowski
F
M. Żukowski
F
17
A. Nollenberger
F
A. Nollenberger
F
Bench
11
A. Ahl-Holmström
F
A. Ahl-Holmström
F
13
Connor Krempicki
41'
M
Connor Krempicki
41'
M
38
L. Hyryläinen
1'
M
L. Hyryläinen
1'
M
28
Max Geschwill
D
Max Geschwill
D
9
M. Breunig
F
M. Breunig
F
10
Noah Pesch
F
Noah Pesch
F
27
Philipp Hercher
51'
D
Philipp Hercher
51'
D
40
Robert Kampa
G
Robert Kampa
G
18
R. Tachie
1'
F
R. Tachie
1'
F
1
J. Krahl
G
J. Krahl
G
14
J. Rasmussen
D
J. Rasmussen
D
4
M. Gyamfi
D
M. Gyamfi
D
37
Leon Robinson
D
Leon Robinson
D
13
E. Wekesser
73'
M
E. Wekesser
73'
M
41
D. Schramm
82'
M
D. Schramm
82'
M
6
F. Kunze
M
F. Kunze
M
2
S. Asta
M
S. Asta
M
7
M. Ritter
1 ⚽
74'
F
M. Ritter
1 ⚽
74'
F
15
N. Skyttä
82'
F
N. Skyttä
82'
F
19
D. Hanslik
89'
F
D. Hanslik
89'
F
Bench
16
A. Chernev
8'
D
A. Chernev
8'
D
30
Avdo Spahić
G
Avdo Spahić
G
3
F. Kleinhansl
D
F. Kleinhansl
D
11
Kenny Prince Redondo
8'
M
Kenny Prince Redondo
8'
M
5
Kim Ji-Soo
D
Kim Ji-Soo
D
20
M. Berisha
8'
F
M. Berisha
8'
F
10
M. Emreli
16'
F
M. Emreli
16'
F
26
P. Joly
17'
D
P. Joly
17'
D
25
S. Simoni
G
S. Simoni
G
Best on the pitch
A. Nollenberger
F · 1.
8.20
· 36 pass
J. Krahl
G · 1.
7.60
· 38 pass
M. Ritter
F · 1.
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Leon Robinson
D · 1.
7.30
· 36 pass
D. Reimann
G · 1.
7.30
· 85 pass
F. Kunze
M · 1.
7.20
· 41 pass
1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Reimann | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 85 | 71% | — | — | — |
| L. Musonda | D | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Hugonet | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 69 | 61% | — | — | — |
| M. Mathisen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 91 | 74% | 2 | 1 | — |
| H. Bockhorn | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | — | — | — |
| F. Michel | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Silas Gnaka | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Dariusz Stalmach | M | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Atik | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Żukowski | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Nollenberger | F | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Connor Krempicki | M | 41 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Hyryläinen | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Philipp Hercher | D | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Tachie | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
1. FC Kaiserslautern — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Krahl | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. Rasmussen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 52% | — | — | — |
| M. Gyamfi | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Leon Robinson | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Wekesser | M | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Schramm | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Kunze | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Asta | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Ritter | F | 74 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Skyttä | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Hanslik | F | 89 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Chernev | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Kenny Prince Redondo | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Berisha | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Emreli | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Joly | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The final score was 1. FC Magdeburg 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The model assigned 55% probability to a 1. FC Magdeburg win, 21% to a draw, and 23% to an 1. FC Kaiserslautern win.