2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 34
May 17, 2026 15:30
✗Model wrong — prediction 1. FC Magdeburg, result 1. FC Kaiserslautern wins
(pen.)
62'
M. Ritter
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 55% win probability (draw 21%, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 23%). The final result was 1. FC Magdeburg 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
4
1.12
Actual xG
1.33
3
Saves
4
57%
Possession
43%
3
Corners
0
8
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
L. Musonda
/ P. Hercher
39'
D. Stalmach
/ C. Krempicki
49'
62'
(pen.)
M. Ritter⚽
B. Atik
71'
73'
S. Asta
73'
P. Joly
/
E. Wekesser
74'
M. Emreli
/
M. Ritter
74'
M. Emreli
82'
A. Chernev
/
D. Schramm
82'
M. Berisha
/
N. Skytta
89'
K. Redondo
/
D. Hanslik
H. Bockhorn
/ R. Tachie
90'+1
S. Gnaka
/ L. Hyrylainen
90'+1
M. Mathisen
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
55.86%
1.
21.14%
X
23.0%
1. ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Kaiserslautern)
23.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.96
1.12
-0.84
1.16
1.33
+0.17
xG dominance was balanced (1.12 – 1.33).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Dominik Reimann
G
Dominik Reimann
G
19
Lubambo Musonda
39'
D
Lubambo Musonda
39'
D
24
Jean Hugonet
D
Jean Hugonet
D
16
M. Mathisen
D
M. Mathisen
D
7
Herbert Bockhorn
89'
D
Herbert Bockhorn
89'
D
21
Falko Michel
M
Falko Michel
M
25
Silas Gnaka
89'
M
6
Dariusz Stalmach
49'
M
Dariusz Stalmach
49'
M
23
B. Atik
F
B. Atik
F
22
M. Żukowski
F
M. Żukowski
F
17
Alexander Nollenberger
F
Alexander Nollenberger
F
Bench
11
Alexander Ahl Holmstrom
F
Alexander Ahl Holmstrom
F
13
Connor Krempicki
41'
M
Connor Krempicki
41'
M
38
Luka Hyryläinen
1'
M
Luka Hyryläinen
1'
M
28
Max Geschwill
D
Max Geschwill
D
9
Maximilian Breunig
F
Maximilian Breunig
F
10
Noah Pesch
F
Noah Pesch
F
27
Philipp Hercher
51'
D
Philipp Hercher
51'
D
18
Richmond Tachie
1'
F
Richmond Tachie
1'
F
40
Robert Kampa
G
Robert Kampa
G
1
Julian Krahl
G
Julian Krahl
G
14
Jacob Rasmussen
D
Jacob Rasmussen
D
4
M. Gyamfi
D
M. Gyamfi
D
37
Leon Robinson
D
Leon Robinson
D
13
Erik Wekesser
73'
M
Erik Wekesser
73'
M
41
David Schramm
82'
M
David Schramm
82'
M
6
F. Kunze
M
F. Kunze
M
2
Simon Asta
M
Simon Asta
M
7
M. Ritter
1 ⚽
74'
F
M. Ritter
1 ⚽
74'
F
15
N. Skyttä
82'
F
N. Skyttä
82'
F
19
Daniel Hanslik
89'
F
Daniel Hanslik
89'
F
Bench
16
Atanas Chernev
8'
D
Atanas Chernev
8'
D
30
Avdo Spahić
G
Avdo Spahić
G
3
Florian Kleinhansl
D
Florian Kleinhansl
D
11
Kenny Prince Redondo
8'
M
Kenny Prince Redondo
8'
M
5
Kim Ji-Soo
D
Kim Ji-Soo
D
10
Mahir Emreli
16'
F
Mahir Emreli
16'
F
20
Mergim Berisha
8'
F
Mergim Berisha
8'
F
26
P. Joly
17'
D
P. Joly
17'
D
25
Simon Simoni
G
Simon Simoni
G
Best on the pitch
Alexander Nollenberger
F · 1.
8.20
· 36 pass
Julian Krahl
G · 1.
7.60
· 38 pass
M. Ritter
F · 1.
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Leon Robinson
D · 1.
7.30
· 36 pass
Dominik Reimann
G · 1.
7.30
· 85 pass
F. Kunze
M · 1.
7.20
· 41 pass
1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Reimann | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 85 | 71% | — | — | — |
| Lubambo Musonda | D | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jean Hugonet | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 69 | 61% | — | — | — |
| M. Mathisen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 91 | 74% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Herbert Bockhorn | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Falko Michel | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Silas Gnaka | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Dariusz Stalmach | M | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Atik | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Żukowski | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexander Nollenberger | F | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Connor Krempicki | M | 41 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Luka Hyryläinen | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Philipp Hercher | D | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Richmond Tachie | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
1. FC Kaiserslautern — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Krahl | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Rasmussen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 52% | — | — | — |
| M. Gyamfi | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Leon Robinson | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Erik Wekesser | M | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| David Schramm | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Kunze | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Asta | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Ritter | F | 74 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Skyttä | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Hanslik | F | 89 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Atanas Chernev | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Kenny Prince Redondo | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mahir Emreli | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mergim Berisha | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| P. Joly | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The final score was 1. FC Magdeburg 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The model assigned 55% probability to a 1. FC Magdeburg win, 21% to a draw, and 23% to an 1. FC Kaiserslautern win.