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#3 · 9 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#6 · 8 pts
Model wrong — prediction 1. FC Magdeburg, result 1. FC Kaiserslautern wins
(pen.) 62' M. Ritter
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 55% win probability (draw 21%, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 23%). The final result was 1. FC Magdeburg 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern. In 2 previous meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
4
1.12
Actual xG
1.33
3
Saves
4
57%
Possession
43%
3
Corners
0
8
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
L. Musonda / P. Hercher
39'
D. Stalmach / C. Krempicki
49'
62'
(pen.) M. Ritter
B. Atik
71'
73'
S. Asta
73'
P. Joly / E. Wekesser
74'
M. Emreli / M. Ritter
74'
M. Emreli
82'
A. Chernev / D. Schramm
82'
M. Berisha / N. Skytta
89'
K. Redondo / D. Hanslik
H. Bockhorn / R. Tachie
90'+1
S. Gnaka / L. Hyrylainen
90'+1
M. Mathisen
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
55.86%
1.
21.14%
X
23.0%
1. ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Kaiserslautern) 23.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
1.96
1.12
-0.84
1.
1.16
1.33
+0.17
xG dominance was balanced (1.12 – 1.33). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 5 13
2 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 4 12
3 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 5 9
4 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 4 9
5 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 4 8
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 5 8
7 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 5 7
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 4 6
9 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 5
10 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4 5
11 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 5 4
12 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 4 4
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 5 4
14 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 5 4
15 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 5 4
16 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 5 4
17 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 4 3
18 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4 3
Lineups
1 D. Reimann D. Reimann G 7.30
19 Lubambo Musonda Lubambo Musonda 39' D 6.60
24 J. Hugonet J. Hugonet D 6.70
16 M. Mathisen M. Mathisen D 6.90
7 H. Bockhorn H. Bockhorn 89' D 6.30
21 F. Michel F. Michel M 6.20
25
Silas Gnaka 89' M 6.90
6 Dariusz Stalmach Dariusz Stalmach 49' M 6.30
23 B. Atik B. Atik F 6.90
22 M. Żukowski M. Żukowski F 6.30
17 A. Nollenberger A. Nollenberger F 8.20
Bench
11 A. Ahl-Holmström A. Ahl-Holmström F
13 Connor Krempicki Connor Krempicki 41' M 6.90
38 L. Hyryläinen L. Hyryläinen 1' M
28 Max Geschwill Max Geschwill D
9 M. Breunig M. Breunig F
10 Noah Pesch Noah Pesch F
27 Philipp Hercher Philipp Hercher 51' D 6.50
40 Robert Kampa Robert Kampa G
18 R. Tachie R. Tachie 1' F
1 J. Krahl J. Krahl G 7.60
14 J. Rasmussen J. Rasmussen D 6.90
4 M. Gyamfi M. Gyamfi D 7.00
37 Leon Robinson Leon Robinson D 7.30
13 Erik Wekesser Erik Wekesser 73' M 6.50
41 D. Schramm D. Schramm 82' M 7.20
6 F. Kunze F. Kunze M 7.20
2 S. Asta S. Asta M 6.20
7 M. Ritter M. Ritter 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.50
15 Naatan Skyttä Naatan Skyttä 82' F 6.90
19 D. Hanslik D. Hanslik 89' F 5.90
Bench
16 A. Chernev A. Chernev 8' D 6.70
30 Avdo Spahić Avdo Spahić G
3 F. Kleinhansl F. Kleinhansl D
11 Kenny Prince Redondo Kenny Prince Redondo 8' M 6.70
5 Kim Ji-Soo Kim Ji-Soo D
20 M. Berisha M. Berisha 8' F 6.30
10 M. Emreli M. Emreli 16' F 6.50
26 P. Joly P. Joly 17' D 6.90
25 S. Simoni S. Simoni G
Best on the pitch
A. Nollenberger
A. Nollenberger
F · 1.
8.20
· 36 pass
J. Krahl
J. Krahl
G · 1.
7.60
· 38 pass
M. Ritter
M. Ritter
F · 1.
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
Leon Robinson
Leon Robinson
D · 1.
7.30
· 36 pass
D. Reimann
D. Reimann
G · 1.
7.30
· 85 pass
F. Kunze
F. Kunze
M · 1.
7.20
· 41 pass
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Reimann G 90 7.30 85 71%
Lubambo Musonda D 39 6.60 1 11 9%
J. Hugonet D 90 6.70 69 61%
M. Mathisen D 90 6.90 1 91 74% 2 1
H. Bockhorn D 89 6.30 41 33%
F. Michel M 90 6.20 1 45 35% 1
Silas Gnaka M 89 6.90 1 38 36%
Dariusz Stalmach M 49 6.30 9 8% 1
B. Atik F 90 6.90 32 23% 1
M. Żukowski F 90 6.30 3 15 13% 1
A. Nollenberger F 90 8.20 36 31% 1
Connor Krempicki M 41 6.90 1 8 7% 2
L. Hyryläinen M 1 2 2%
Philipp Hercher D 51 6.50 1 10 7%
R. Tachie F 1 1 1%
1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Krahl G 90 7.60 38 21%
J. Rasmussen D 90 6.90 60 52%
M. Gyamfi D 90 7.00 31 23% 1
Leon Robinson D 90 7.30 36 26% 3
Erik Wekesser M 73 6.50 2 27 21% 1
D. Schramm M 82 7.20 32 27% 4
F. Kunze M 90 7.20 41 35% 1
S. Asta M 90 6.20 19 10% 1 1
M. Ritter F 74 7.50 1 1 18 13% 2
Naatan Skyttä F 82 6.90 1 28 26% 1
D. Hanslik F 89 5.90 2 27 19% 1
A. Chernev D 8 6.70 1
Kenny Prince Redondo M 8 6.70 2 1%
M. Berisha F 8 6.30 3 2%
M. Emreli F 16 6.50 3 2% 1 1
P. Joly D 17 6.90 3 3% 2
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The final score was 1. FC Magdeburg 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The model assigned 55% probability to a 1. FC Magdeburg win, 21% to a draw, and 23% to an 1. FC Kaiserslautern win.