← 2. Bundesliga
2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30 April 18, 2026 15:00
1. FC Magdeburg
#12 · 39 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Fortuna Düsseldorf
#15 · 37 pts
✓Model correct — prediction 1. FC Magdeburg
L. Ulrich 2'
M. Zukowski (ast. B. Atik) 16'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 60% win probability (draw 21%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 17%). The final result was 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
4
1.21
Actual xG
0.97
5
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
6
18
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽L. Ulrich
2'
⚽M. Zukowski · ast. B. Atik
16'
55'
62'
Z. Celar / M. Ljubicic ↕
62'
M. Zimmermann / T. Breithaupt ↕
62'
S. Alexandropoulos / M. Heyer ↕
M. Zukowski
72'
72'
K. Sauck / S. Appelkamp ↕
73'
A. El Azzouzi
↕ A. Nollenberger / P. Hercher
73'
↕ L. Ulrich / D. Stalmach
75'
76'
M. Zimmermann
88'
J. Hettwer / S. Suso ↕
89'
E. Egouli
↕ M. Zukowski / A. Holmstrom
89'
↕ B. Atik / R. Tachie
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
60.45%
1. ←
21.71%
X
17.84%
Fortuna
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Magdeburg) 60.45% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
1.99
1.21
-0.78
Fortuna
0.94
0.97
+0.03
xG dominance was balanced (1.21 – 0.97). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 33 67
2 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 33 59
3 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 33 59
4 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 33 59
5 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 33 52
6 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 33 51
7 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 33 49
8 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 33 45
9 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 33 44
10 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 33 41
11 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 33 41
12 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 33 39
13 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 33 38
14 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 33 37
15 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 33 37
16 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 33 36
17 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33 34
18 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 33 30
Lineups
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
1
G 8.20
19
L. Musonda D 7.20
5
T. Muller D 7.00
16
M. Mathisen D 7.30
7
H. Bockhorn D 8.20
25
S. Gnaka M 7.20
21
Falko Michel M 6.50
8
L. Ulrich 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.90
23
Barış Atik 1 👟 89' F 7.20
22
Mateusz Żukowski 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90
17
A. Nollenberger 73' F 6.90
Bench
11
A. Holmstrom 1' F
6
Dariusz Stalmach 15' M 6.70
24
J. Hugonet M
10
Noah Pesch F
27
P. Hercher 17' D 7.00
29 R. Ghrieb R. Ghrieb F
18
R. Tachie 1' F
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-4-1-2
33
G 7.30
44 Elias Egouli Elias Egouli D 6.00
15
D 6.50
46 Sima Suso Sima Suso 88' D 7.20
19 Emmanuel Iyoha Emmanuel Iyoha M 6.90
6 Tim Breithaupt Tim Breithaupt 62' M 6.30
8
A. El Azzouzi M 6.90
5 Moritz Heyer Moritz Heyer 62' M 7.00
23 S. Appelkamp S. Appelkamp 72' F 6.50
20 Marin Ljubičić Marin Ljubičić 62' F 6.20
13 Cédric Itten Cédric Itten F 6.20
Bench
2 Jesper Daland Jesper Daland D
27 Jordi Paulina Jordi Paulina F
29
K. Sauck 18' M 6.30
25 Matthias Zimmermann Matthias Zimmermann 28' D 6.90
14 Sotiris Alexandropoulos Sotiris Alexandropoulos 28' M 6.90
16
S. Tanaka M
Best on the pitch
G · 1.
8.20
· 46 pass
H. Bockhorn
D · 1.
8.20
1 shots · 36 pass
L. Ulrich
M · 1.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Mateusz Żukowski
F · 1.
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
M. Mathisen
D · 1.
7.30
· 59 pass
G · Fortuna
7.30
· 35 pass
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 — — — 46 35% — — —
L. Musonda D 90 7.20 — — 1 38 30% 1 — —
T. Muller D 90 7.00 — — — 46 43% 1 — —
M. Mathisen D 90 7.30 — — — 59 49% 2 — —
H. Bockhorn D 90 8.20 — — 1 36 25% 2 — —
S. Gnaka M 90 7.20 — — — 26 21% 5 — —
Falko Michel M 90 6.50 — — 1 33 24% — — —
L. Ulrich M 75 7.90 1 — 1 17 12% 2 — —
Barış Atik F 89 7.20 — 1 3 37 33% 1 — —
Mateusz Żukowski F 89 7.90 1 — 2 10 10% — 1 —
A. Nollenberger F 73 6.90 — — 1 11 9% 2 — —
A. Holmstrom F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Dariusz Stalmach M 15 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
P. Hercher D 17 7.00 — — — 10 6% 2 — —
R. Tachie F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 35 28% — — —
Elias Egouli D 90 6.00 — — — 45 37% — 1 —
D 90 6.50 — — — 48 43% 1 — —
Sima Suso D 88 7.20 — — 1 45 42% 2 — —
Emmanuel Iyoha M 90 6.90 — — 2 43 38% — — —
Tim Breithaupt M 62 6.30 — — — 44 39% 2 — —
A. El Azzouzi M 90 6.90 — — — 68 61% 2 1 —
Moritz Heyer M 62 7.00 — — 1 18 13% 2 — —
S. Appelkamp F 72 6.50 — — — 28 25% — — —
Marin Ljubičić F 62 6.20 — — 1 8 6% — — —
Cédric Itten F 90 6.20 — — 2 20 13% 1 — —
K. Sauck M 18 6.30 — — — 10 9% 2 — —
Matthias Zimmermann D 28 6.90 — — — 14 12% — 1 —
Sotiris Alexandropoulos M 28 6.90 — — 1 29 27% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Magdeburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
The final score was 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Magdeburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
The model assigned 60% probability to a 1. FC Magdeburg win, 21% to a draw, and 17% to an Fortuna Düsseldorf win.