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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30 April 18, 2026 13:00
1. FC Magdeburg
#5 · 17 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Fortuna Düsseldorf
✓Model correct — prediction 1. FC Magdeburg
L. Ulrich 2'
M. Zukowski (ast. B. Atik) 16'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 60% win probability (draw 21%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 17%). The final result was 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
4
1.21
Actual xG
0.97
5
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
6
18
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽L. Ulrich
2'
⚽M. Zukowski · ast. B. Atik
16'
55'
62'
Z. Celar / M. Ljubicic ↕
62'
M. Zimmermann / T. Breithaupt ↕
62'
S. Alexandropoulos / M. Heyer ↕
M. Zukowski
72'
72'
K. Sauck / S. Appelkamp ↕
73'
A. El Azzouzi
↕ A. Nollenberger / P. Hercher
73'
↕ L. Ulrich / D. Stalmach
75'
76'
M. Zimmermann
88'
J. Hettwer / S. Suso ↕
89'
E. Egouli
↕ M. Zukowski / A. Holmstrom
89'
↕ B. Atik / R. Tachie
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
60.45%
1. ←
21.71%
X
17.84%
Fortuna
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Magdeburg) 60.45% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
1.99
1.21
-0.78
Fortuna
0.94
0.97
+0.03
xG dominance was balanced (1.21 – 0.97). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 10 28
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 10 21
3 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 10 19
4 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 10 18
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 10 17
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 10 15
7 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 10 14
8 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 10 12
9 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 11 12
10 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 11 11
11 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 11 11
12 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 10 11
13 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 10 11
14 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 11 11
15 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 10 11
16 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 10 11
17 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 10 9
18 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 10 8
Lineups
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
1
G 8.20
19
L. Musonda D 7.20
5 T. Müller T. Müller D 7.00
16 M. Mathisen M. Mathisen D 7.30
7 H. Bockhorn H. Bockhorn D 8.20
25
Silas Gnaka M 7.20
21 F. Michel F. Michel M 6.50
8 L. Ulrich L. Ulrich 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.90
23 B. Atik B. Atik 1 👟 89' F 7.20
22 M. Żukowski M. Żukowski 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90
17 A. Nollenberger A. Nollenberger 73' F 6.90
Bench
11 A. Ahl-Holmström A. Ahl-Holmström 1' F
6 Dariusz Stalmach Dariusz Stalmach 15' M 6.70
24 J. Hugonet J. Hugonet M
10 Noah Pesch Noah Pesch F
27 Philipp Hercher Philipp Hercher 17' D 7.00
29 R. Ghrieb R. Ghrieb F
18 R. Tachie R. Tachie 1' F
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-4-1-2
33
G 7.30
44 Elias Egouli Elias Egouli D 6.00
15
D 6.50
46 K. Suso K. Suso 88' D 7.20
19 E. Iyoha E. Iyoha M 6.90
6 Tim Breithaupt Tim Breithaupt 62' M 6.30
8 A. El Azzouzi A. El Azzouzi M 6.90
5 Moritz Heyer Moritz Heyer 62' M 7.00
23 S. Appelkamp S. Appelkamp 72' F 6.50
20 M. Ljubičić M. Ljubičić 62' F 6.20
13 C. Itten C. Itten F 6.20
Bench
2 J. Daland J. Daland D
27 J. Paulina J. Paulina F
29
K. Sauck 18' M 6.30
25 Matthias Zimmermann Matthias Zimmermann 28' D 6.90
14 Sotiris Alexandropoulos Sotiris Alexandropoulos 28' M 6.90
16 S. Tanaka S. Tanaka M
Best on the pitch
G · 1.
8.20
· 46 pass
H. Bockhorn
H. Bockhorn
D · 1.
8.20
1 shots · 36 pass
L. Ulrich
L. Ulrich
M · 1.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
M. Żukowski
M. Żukowski
F · 1.
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
M. Mathisen
M. Mathisen
D · 1.
7.30
· 59 pass
G · Fortuna
7.30
· 35 pass
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 — — — 46 35% — — —
L. Musonda D 90 7.20 — — 1 38 30% 1 — —
T. Müller D 90 7.00 — — — 46 43% 1 — —
M. Mathisen D 90 7.30 — — — 59 49% 2 — —
H. Bockhorn D 90 8.20 — — 1 36 25% 2 — —
Silas Gnaka M 90 7.20 — — — 26 21% 5 — —
F. Michel M 90 6.50 — — 1 33 24% — — —
L. Ulrich M 75 7.90 1 — 1 17 12% 2 — —
B. Atik F 89 7.20 — 1 3 37 33% 1 — —
M. Żukowski F 89 7.90 1 — 2 10 10% — 1 —
A. Nollenberger F 73 6.90 — — 1 11 9% 2 — —
A. Ahl-Holmström F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Dariusz Stalmach M 15 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Philipp Hercher D 17 7.00 — — — 10 6% 2 — —
R. Tachie F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 35 28% — — —
Elias Egouli D 90 6.00 — — — 45 37% — 1 —
D 90 6.50 — — — 48 43% 1 — —
K. Suso D 88 7.20 — — 1 45 42% 2 — —
E. Iyoha M 90 6.90 — — 2 43 38% — — —
Tim Breithaupt M 62 6.30 — — — 44 39% 2 — —
A. El Azzouzi M 90 6.90 — — — 68 61% 2 1 —
Moritz Heyer M 62 7.00 — — 1 18 13% 2 — —
S. Appelkamp F 72 6.50 — — — 28 25% — — —
M. Ljubičić F 62 6.20 — — 1 8 6% — — —
C. Itten F 90 6.20 — — 2 20 13% 1 — —
K. Sauck M 18 6.30 — — — 10 9% 2 — —
Matthias Zimmermann D 28 6.90 — — — 14 12% — 1 —
Sotiris Alexandropoulos M 28 6.90 — — 1 29 27% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Magdeburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
The final score was 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Magdeburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
The model assigned 60% probability to a 1. FC Magdeburg win, 21% to a draw, and 17% to an Fortuna Düsseldorf win.