2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30 April 18, 2026 13:00

1. FC Magdeburg

#14 · 0 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Fortuna Düsseldorf

✓Model correct — prediction 1. FC Magdeburg

L. Ulrich 2'

M. Zukowski (ast. B. Atik) 16'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 60% win probability (draw 21%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 17%). The final result was 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

8

5

Shots on target

4

1.21

Actual xG

0.97

5

Saves

3

45%

Possession

55%

7

Corners

6

18

Tackles

13

1

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

⚽L. Ulrich

2'

⚽M. Zukowski · ast. B. Atik

16'

55'

62'

Z. Celar / M. Ljubicic ↕

62'

M. Zimmermann / T. Breithaupt ↕

62'

S. Alexandropoulos / M. Heyer ↕

M. Zukowski

72'

72'

K. Sauck / S. Appelkamp ↕

73'

A. El Azzouzi

↕ A. Nollenberger / P. Hercher

73'

↕ L. Ulrich / D. Stalmach

75'

76'

M. Zimmermann

88'

J. Hettwer / S. Suso ↕

89'

E. Egouli

↕ M. Zukowski / A. Holmstrom

89'

↕ B. Atik / R. Tachie

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

60.45%

1. ←

21.71%

X

17.84%

Fortuna

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Magdeburg) 60.45% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

1.

1.99

1.21

-0.78

Fortuna

0.94

0.97

+0.03

xG dominance was balanced (1.21 – 0.97). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	0	0
2	1. FC Heidenheim	0	0
3	FC St. Pauli	0	0
4	Hannover 96	0	0
5	SV Darmstadt 98	0	0
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	0	0
7	Hertha BSC	0	0
8	1. FC Nürnberg	0	0
9	VfL Bochum	0	0
10	Karlsruher SC	0	0
11	Dynamo Dresden	0	0
12	Holstein Kiel	0	0
13	Arminia Bielefeld	0	0
14	1. FC Magdeburg	0	0
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	0	0
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	0	0
17	VfL Osnabrück	0	0
18	Energie Cottbus	0	0

Lineups

1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3

1

G 8.20

19 Lubambo Musonda D 7.20

5

T. Muller D 7.00

16 M. Mathisen D 7.30

7 Herbert Bockhorn D 8.20

25

Silas Gnaka M 7.20

21 Falko Michel M 6.50

8

L. Ulrich 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.90

23 B. Atik 1 👟 89' F 7.20

22 M. Żukowski 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90

17 Alexander Nollenberger 73' F 6.90

Bench

11 Alexander Ahl Holmstrom 1' F

6 Dariusz Stalmach 15' M 6.70

24 Jean Hugonet M

10 Noah Pesch F

27 Philipp Hercher 17' D 7.00

29 R. Ghrieb F

18 Richmond Tachie 1' F

Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-4-1-2

33

G 7.30

44 Elias Egouli D 6.00

15

D 6.50

46 K. Suso 88' D 7.20

19 Emmanuel Iyoha M 6.90

6 Tim Breithaupt 62' M 6.30

8 A. El Azzouzi M 6.90

5 Moritz Heyer 62' M 7.00

23 S. Appelkamp 72' F 6.50

20 Marin Ljubičić 62' F 6.20

13 Cédric Itten F 6.20

Bench

2 J. Daland D

27 Jordi Paulina F

29

K. Sauck 18' M 6.30

25 Matthias Zimmermann 28' D 6.90

16 Satoshi Tanaka M

14 Sotiris Alexandropoulos 28' M 6.90

Best on the pitch

G · 1.

8.20

· 46 pass

Herbert Bockhorn

D · 1.

8.20

1 shots · 36 pass

L. Ulrich

M · 1.

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 17 pass

M. Żukowski

F · 1.

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 10 pass

M. Mathisen

D · 1.

7.30

· 59 pass

G · Fortuna

7.30

· 35 pass

1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	8.20	—	—	—	46	35%	—	—	—
Lubambo Musonda	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	38	30%	1	—	—
T. Muller	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	46	43%	1	—	—
M. Mathisen	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	59	49%	2	—	—
Herbert Bockhorn	D	90	8.20	—	—	1	36	25%	2	—	—
Silas Gnaka	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	26	21%	5	—	—
Falko Michel	M	90	6.50	—	—	1	33	24%	—	—	—
L. Ulrich	M	75	7.90	1	—	1	17	12%	2	—	—
B. Atik	F	89	7.20	—	1	3	37	33%	1	—	—
M. Żukowski	F	89	7.90	1	—	2	10	10%	—	1	—
Alexander Nollenberger	F	73	6.90	—	—	1	11	9%	2	—	—
Alexander Ahl Holmstrom	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dariusz Stalmach	M	15	6.70	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Philipp Hercher	D	17	7.00	—	—	—	10	6%	2	—	—
Richmond Tachie	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	35	28%	—	—	—
Elias Egouli	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	45	37%	—	1	—
	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	48	43%	1	—	—
K. Suso	D	88	7.20	—	—	1	45	42%	2	—	—
Emmanuel Iyoha	M	90	6.90	—	—	2	43	38%	—	—	—
Tim Breithaupt	M	62	6.30	—	—	—	44	39%	2	—	—
A. El Azzouzi	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	68	61%	2	1	—
Moritz Heyer	M	62	7.00	—	—	1	18	13%	2	—	—
S. Appelkamp	F	72	6.50	—	—	—	28	25%	—	—	—
Marin Ljubičić	F	62	6.20	—	—	1	8	6%	—	—	—
Cédric Itten	F	90	6.20	—	—	2	20	13%	1	—	—
K. Sauck	M	18	6.30	—	—	—	10	9%	2	—	—
Matthias Zimmermann	D	28	6.90	—	—	—	14	12%	—	1	—
Sotiris Alexandropoulos	M	28	6.90	—	—	1	29	27%	1	—	—