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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3 August 30, 2026 13:30
1. FC Magdeburg
#3 · 9 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Holstein Kiel
#18 · 3 pts
M. Zukowski (ast. B. Atik) 72'
L. Hyrylainen (ast. A. Nollenberger) 81'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Holstein Kiel 33%). The final result was 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Holstein Kiel. In 2 previous meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Holstein Kiel.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
2
Shots on target
2
0.83
Actual xG
2.11
2
Saves
0
36%
Possession
64%
3
Corners
3
21
Tackles
19
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
A. Nollenberger
6'
20'
J. Therkelsen
B. Atik
28'
P. Nadjombe
31'
44'
K. Davidsen
↕ P. Nadjombe / T. Musel
46'
A. Garcia MacNulty
47'
54'
J. Meffert
T. Muller
64'
64'
G. de Regt / K. Davidsen ↕
⚽M. Zukowski · ast. B. Atik
72'
↕ M. Kwarteng / M. Baars
75'
79'
N. Takahashi / J. Tolkin ↕
⚽L. Hyrylainen · ast. A. Nollenberger
81'
84'
I. Nekic
85'
F. Alidou / J. Meffert ↕
↕ A. Nollenberger / E. Dzogovic
86'
↕ M. Zukowski / R. Tachie
90'+2
↕ B. Atik / R. Simic
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
35.48%
1. ←
31.32%
X
33.2%
Holstein
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Magdeburg) 35.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
1.78
0.83
-0.95
Holstein
1.60
2.11
+0.51
Holstein Kiel dominated by xG (2.11 vs 0.83). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 5 13
2 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 4 12
3 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 5 9
4 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 4 9
5 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 4 8
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 5 8
7 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 5 7
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 4 6
9 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 5
10 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4 5
11 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 5 4
12 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 4 4
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 5 4
14 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 5 4
15 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 5 4
16 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 5 4
17 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 4 3
18 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4 3
Lineups
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
1 D. Reimann D. Reimann G 7.90
17 A. Nollenberger A. Nollenberger 1 👟 86' D 7.20
3 A. MacNulty A. MacNulty D 7.30
5 T. Müller T. Müller D 7.00
28 P. Nadjombe P. Nadjombe 45' D 6.30
21 F. Michel F. Michel M 7.20
10 M. Kwarteng M. Kwarteng 75' M 6.90
38 L. Hyryläinen L. Hyryläinen 1 ⚽ M 7.90
23 B. Atik B. Atik 1 👟 89' F 7.50
22 M. Żukowski M. Żukowski 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.20
8 E. Iyoha E. Iyoha F 7.20
Bench
4 Eldin Džogović Eldin Džogović 8' D 6.60
11 F. Chávez F. Chávez M
33 Leon Mergner Leon Mergner M
35 Magnus Elias Baars Magnus Elias Baars 15' F 6.70
30 N. Kruth N. Kruth G
6 P. Jaeckel P. Jaeckel D
9 R. Šimić R. Šimić 1' F
29 R. Tachie R. Tachie 1' F
26 T. Müsel T. Müsel 45' M 6.90
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4-3-2-1
1 T. Weiner T. Weiner G 6.00
47 J. Tolkin J. Tolkin 79' D 6.30
26 D. Zec D. Zec D 6.60
13 I. Nekić I. Nekić D 7.00
32 H. Sekine H. Sekine D 6.30
15 K. Davidsen K. Davidsen 64' M 6.30
28 J. Meffert J. Meffert 85' M 6.20
8 G. Balzi G. Balzi M 6.30
10 J. Therkelsen J. Therkelsen M 7.30
20 A. Kaprálik A. Kaprálik M 6.50
19 P. Harres P. Harres F 5.90
Bench
17 Faride Alidou Faride Alidou 9' F 6.30
11 G. de Regt G. de Regt 26' F 6.30
48 Hamza Muqaj Hamza Muqaj M
27 Ikem Ugoh Ikem Ugoh M
40 Leon Parduzi Leon Parduzi D
41 Lio Rothenhagen Lio Rothenhagen G
3 Niko Takahashi Cendagorta Niko Takahashi Cendagorta 11' D 6.20
5 N. Madsen N. Madsen D
30 T. Tasdelen T. Tasdelen M
Best on the pitch
D. Reimann
D. Reimann
G · 1.
7.90
· 49 pass
L. Hyryläinen
L. Hyryläinen
M · 1.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 25 pass
B. Atik
B. Atik
F · 1.
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 22 pass
A. MacNulty
A. MacNulty
D · 1.
7.30
· 47 pass
J. Therkelsen
J. Therkelsen
M · Holstein
7.30
1 shots · 34 pass
A. Nollenberger
A. Nollenberger
D · 1.
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 17 pass
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Reimann G 90 7.90 — — — 49 40% — — —
A. Nollenberger D 86 7.20 — 1 1 17 15% 1 1 —
A. MacNulty D 90 7.30 — — — 47 40% 1 1 —
T. Müller D 90 7.00 — — — 36 33% — 1 —
P. Nadjombe D 45 6.30 — — — 16 13% 1 1 —
F. Michel M 90 7.20 — — — 25 18% 5 — —
M. Kwarteng M 75 6.90 — — 1 23 15% 3 — —
L. Hyryläinen M 90 7.90 1 — 1 25 21% 2 — —
B. Atik F 89 7.50 — 1 1 22 16% 2 1 —
M. Żukowski F 89 7.20 1 — 3 7 5% — — —
E. Iyoha F 90 7.20 — — 1 21 16% 3 — —
Eldin Džogović D 8 6.60 — — — 1 — 1 — —
Magnus Elias Baars F 15 6.70 — — — 3 — — — —
R. Šimić F 1 — — — — — — — — —
R. Tachie F 1 — — — — — — 1 — —
T. Müsel M 45 6.90 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Weiner G 90 6.00 — — — 41 34% — — —
J. Tolkin D 79 6.30 — — — 63 55% — — —
D. Zec D 90 6.60 — — 1 75 67% 1 — —
I. Nekić D 90 7.00 — — — 75 66% 2 1 —
H. Sekine D 90 6.30 — — 2 59 56% 3 — —
K. Davidsen M 64 6.30 — — — 33 27% 4 1 —
J. Meffert M 85 6.20 — — 1 47 41% 2 1 —
G. Balzi M 90 6.30 — — — 40 36% 3 — —
J. Therkelsen M 90 7.30 — — 1 34 29% 3 1 —
A. Kaprálik M 90 6.50 — — 1 31 25% — — —
P. Harres F 90 5.90 — — 5 9 5% — — —
Faride Alidou F 9 6.30 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
G. de Regt F 26 6.30 — — — 17 14% — — —
Niko Takahashi Cendagorta D 11 6.20 — — — 23 21% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?
The final score was 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Holstein Kiel.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?
The model assigned 35% probability to a 1. FC Magdeburg win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Holstein Kiel win.