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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9 October 24, 2026 13:00 Avnet Arena, Magdeburg
1. FC Magdeburg
#5 · 16 pts
6 – 1
Final score
Karlsruher SC
#17 · 8 pts
Mateusz Zukowski 39' (pen.)
Mateusz Zukowski 51' (pen.)
Garcia MacNulty (ast. Barış Atik) 54'
Emmanuel Iyoha (ast. Torben Müsel) 59'
Roko Simic (ast. Torben Müsel) 66'
Leon Mergner 90'+3
82' (ast. Shio Fukuda) Deniz Ofli
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 42% win probability (draw 31%, Karlsruher SC 26%). The final result was 1. FC Magdeburg 6–1 Karlsruher SC. In 2 previous meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Karlsruher SC.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
13
8
Shots on target
4
2.75
Actual xG
0.80
3
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
4
13
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Mateusz Zukowski
6'
9'
37'
Sandro Tremoulet
Barış Atik
39'
⚽Mateusz Zukowski (pen.)
39'
45'
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa / Sebastian Jung ↕
45'
Lilian Egloff / Noel Eichinger ↕
48'
⚽Mateusz Zukowski (pen.)
51'
⚽Garcia MacNulty · ast. Barış Atik
54'
56'
Louey Ben Farhat / Sandro Tremoulet ↕
56'
Deniz Ofli / Viktor Bergh ↕
⚽Emmanuel Iyoha · ast. Torben Müsel
59'
↕ Mateusz Zukowski / Roko Simic
64'
↕ Alexander Nollenberger / Herbert Bockhorn
64'
⚽Roko Simic · ast. Torben Müsel
66'
↕ Barış Atik / Richmond Tachie
73'
↕ Torben Müsel / Falko Michel
73'
79'
Tim Civeja / Kevin Wiethaup ↕
↕ Luka Hyryläinen / Leon Mergner
80'
82'
ast. Shio Fukuda · Deniz Ofli⚽
⚽Leon Mergner
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
42.14%
1. ←
31.53%
X
26.33%
Karlsruher
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Magdeburg) 42.14% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
1.10
2.75
+1.65
Karlsruher
0.62
0.80
+0.18
1. FC Magdeburg dominated by xG (2.75 vs 0.80). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 9 25
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 9 18
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 9 18
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 9 16
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 9 16
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 9 15
7 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 9 12
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 9 11
9 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 9 11
10 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 9 10
11 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 9 10
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 9
13 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 8
14 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 9 8
15 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 9 8
16 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 9 8
17 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 9 8
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 9 8
Lineups
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
1 D. Reimann D. Reimann G 6.71
17 A. Nollenberger A. Nollenberger 64' D 7.01
3 A. MacNulty A. MacNulty 1 ⚽ D 8.01
5 T. Müller T. Müller D 6.98
28 P. Nadjombe P. Nadjombe D 6.12
26 T. Müsel T. Müsel 2 👟 73' M 8.22
11 F. Chávez F. Chávez M 6.68
38 L. Hyryläinen L. Hyryläinen 80' M 6.42
23 B. Atik B. Atik 1 👟 73' F 7.49
22 M. Żukowski M. Żukowski 2 ⚽ 64' F 7.19
8 E. Iyoha E. Iyoha 1 ⚽ F 8.17
Bench
15 D. Heber D. Heber D 0.00
21 F. Michel F. Michel 17' M 6.60
7 H. Bockhorn H. Bockhorn 26' D 6.61
35 Magnus Elias Baars Magnus Elias Baars F 0.00
30 N. Kruth N. Kruth G 0.00
6 P. Jaeckel P. Jaeckel D 0.00
9 R. Šimić R. Šimić 1 ⚽ 26' F 7.48
29 R. Tachie R. Tachie 17' F 6.49
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4-2-3-1
1 H. Bernat H. Bernat G 5.81
33 V. Bergh V. Bergh 56' D 5.42
24 S. Trémoulet S. Trémoulet 56' D 5.37
28 M. Franke M. Franke D 5.83
22 C. Kobald C. Kobald D 6.14
6 S. Väänänen S. Väänänen M 6.42
7 K. Wiethaup K. Wiethaup 79' M 6.40
11 N. Eichinger N. Eichinger 45' M 5.91
10 M. Wanitzek M. Wanitzek M 6.48
2 S. Jung S. Jung 45' M 5.87
13 S. Fukuda S. Fukuda 1 👟 F 6.92
Bench
26 D. H. Zor D. H. Zor M 0.00
3 D. Ofli D. Ofli 1 ⚽ 34' D 6.75
37 J. Ponente J. Ponente F 0.00
25 L. Egloff L. Egloff 45' M 6.16
19 Louey Ben Farhat Louey Ben Farhat 34' M 6.22
15 Paul Scholl Paul Scholl D 0.00
36 Rafael Pinto Pedrosa Rafael Pinto Pedrosa 45' D 5.68
30 R. Himmelmann R. Himmelmann G 0.00
23 T. Civeja T. Civeja 11' M 5.99
Best on the pitch
T. Müsel
T. Müsel
M · 1.
8.22
2 👟
· 36 pass
E. Iyoha
E. Iyoha
F · 1.
8.17
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
A. MacNulty
A. MacNulty
D · 1.
8.01
1 ⚽
1 shots · 74 pass
B. Atik
B. Atik
F · 1.
7.49
1 👟
2 shots · 42 pass
R. Šimić
R. Šimić
F · 1.
7.48
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
M. Żukowski
M. Żukowski
F · 1.
7.19
2 ⚽
4 shots · 10 pass
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Reimann G 90 6.71 — — 0 52 43% 0 — —
A. Nollenberger D 64 7.01 — — 1 21 20% 0 — —
A. MacNulty D 90 8.01 1 — 1 74 66% 2 — —
T. Müller D 90 6.98 — — 0 52 46% 1 — —
P. Nadjombe D 90 6.12 — — 0 24 14% 1 — —
T. Müsel M 73 8.22 — 2 0 36 32% 1 — —
F. Chávez M 90 6.68 — — 1 31 24% 0 — —
L. Hyryläinen M 80 6.42 — — 1 29 23% 0 — —
B. Atik F 73 7.49 — 1 2 42 31% 1 1 —
M. Żukowski F 64 7.19 2 — 4 10 6% 1 1 —
E. Iyoha F 90 8.17 1 — 2 25 20% 3 — —
F. Michel M 17 6.60 — — 1 5 5% 1 — —
H. Bockhorn D 26 6.61 — — 0 14 13% 0 — —
R. Šimić F 26 7.48 1 — 1 10 8% 2 — —
R. Tachie F 17 6.49 — — 1 7 3% 0 — —
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
H. Bernat G 90 5.81 — — 0 28 19% 0 — —
V. Bergh D 56 5.42 — — 0 11 5% 1 — —
S. Trémoulet D 56 5.37 — — 0 16 14% 5 1 —
M. Franke D 90 5.83 — — 1 43 40% 1 — —
C. Kobald D 90 6.14 — — 1 50 47% 0 — —
S. Väänänen M 90 6.42 — — 1 36 34% 4 — —
K. Wiethaup M 79 6.40 — — 1 47 42% 0 — —
N. Eichinger M 45 5.91 — — 1 19 15% 1 — —
M. Wanitzek M 90 6.48 — — 2 49 38% 1 — —
S. Jung M 45 5.87 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
S. Fukuda F 90 6.92 — 1 2 10 5% 0 — —
D. Ofli D 34 6.75 1 — 1 26 23% 3 — —
L. Egloff M 45 6.16 — — 2 26 22% 2 — —
Louey Ben Farhat M 34 6.22 — — 1 15 13% 0 — —
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa D 45 5.68 — — 0 21 19% 0 — —
T. Civeja M 11 5.99 — — 0 11 9% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC?
The final score was 1. FC Magdeburg 6–1 Karlsruher SC.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC?
The model assigned 42% probability to a 1. FC Magdeburg win, 31% to a draw, and 26% to an Karlsruher SC win.