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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 13:00
1. FC Magdeburg
#4 · 9 pts
4 – 1
Final score
VfL Bochum
#8 · 7 pts
L. Musonda (ast. H. Bockhorn) 7'
B. Atik (ast. M. Mathisen) 44'
M. Zukowski (ast. B. Atik) 71'
M. Zukowski (ast. R. Tachie) 73'
56' (ast. K. Miyoshi) P. Hofmann
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 40% win probability (draw 26%, VfL Bochum 33%). The final result was 1. FC Magdeburg 4–1 VfL Bochum. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for VfL Bochum.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
13
6
Shots on target
6
2.10
Actual xG
1.22
5
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
3
6
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽L. Musonda · ast. H. Bockhorn
7'
32'
O. Olsen / L. Morgalla ↕
⚽B. Atik · ast. M. Mathisen
44'
46'
C. Marshall / K. Watjen ↕
53'
Oliver Olsen
56'
ast. K. Miyoshi · P. Hofmann⚽
65'
Maximilian Wittek
68'
Koji Miyoshi
69'
G. Holtmann / F. Alfa-Ruprecht ↕
⚽M. Zukowski · ast. B. Atik
71'
⚽M. Zukowski · ast. R. Tachie
73'
74'
M. Kwarteng / K. Miyoshi ↕
74'
K. Koscierski / M. Wittek ↕
↕ S. Gnaka / C. Krempicki
76'
↕ L. Musonda / J. Hugonet
76'
↕ R. Tachie / D. Stalmach
77'
Mateusz Żukowski
79'
↕ B. Atik / N. Pesch
84'
↕ H. Bockhorn / E. Dzogovic
88'
Noah Pesch
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.27%
1. ←
26.12%
X
33.61%
VfL
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Magdeburg) 40.27% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
1.35
2.10
+0.75
VfL
1.42
1.22
-0.2
1. FC Magdeburg dominated by xG (2.10 vs 1.22). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 5 15
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 5 13
3 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 5 12
4 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 5 9
5 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 5 8
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 5 8
7 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 5 7
8 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 5 7
9 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 5 6
10 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 5 6
11 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 5
12 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 5 5
13 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 5 4
14 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 5 4
15 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 5 4
16 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 5 4
17 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 5 4
18 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 5 3
Lineups
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.20
19 Lubambo Musonda Lubambo Musonda 1 ⚽ 76' D 7.90
5 T. Müller T. Müller D 7.00
16 M. Mathisen M. Mathisen 1 👟 D 7.90
7 H. Bockhorn H. Bockhorn 1 👟 88' D 6.70
21 F. Michel F. Michel M 6.60
25
Silas Gnaka 76' M 6.60
23 B. Atik B. Atik 1 ⚽ 1 👟 84' M 9.50
8 L. Ulrich L. Ulrich M 7.50
18 R. Tachie R. Tachie 1 👟 77' M 6.30
22 M. Żukowski M. Żukowski 2 ⚽ F 8.70
Bench
11 A. Ahl-Holmström A. Ahl-Holmström F
6 Dariusz Stalmach Dariusz Stalmach 13' M 6.30
24 J. Hugonet J. Hugonet 14' M 6.70
28 Max Geschwill Max Geschwill D
10 Noah Pesch Noah Pesch 11' F 6.20
29 R. Ghrieb R. Ghrieb F
VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.30
32 M. Wittek M. Wittek 74' D 5.90
3 Philipp Strompf Philipp Strompf D 7.00
20 N. Loosli N. Loosli D 5.90
39 L. Morgalla L. Morgalla 32' D 6.50
24 M. Pannewig M. Pannewig M 5.90
34 Cajetan Benjamin Lenz Cajetan Benjamin Lenz M 6.90
29 Farid Alfa-Ruprecht Farid Alfa-Ruprecht 69' M 6.90
8 K. Wätjen K. Wätjen 45' M 6.50
23 K. Miyoshi K. Miyoshi 1 👟 74' M 6.30
33 P. Hofmann P. Hofmann 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
16 C. Marshall C. Marshall 45' F 6.60
4 E. Mašović E. Mašović D
17 G. Holtmann G. Holtmann 21' F 6.50
11 M. Kwarteng M. Kwarteng 16' M 6.60
13 O. Olsen O. Olsen 58' D 5.90
Best on the pitch
B. Atik
B. Atik
M · 1.
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 45 pass
M. Żukowski
M. Żukowski
F · 1.
8.70
2 ⚽
4 shots · 8 pass
Lubambo Musonda
Lubambo Musonda
D · 1.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
M. Mathisen
M. Mathisen
D · 1.
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 95 pass
P. Hofmann
P. Hofmann
F · VfL
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots · 13 pass
L. Ulrich
L. Ulrich
M · 1.
7.50
2 shots · 20 pass
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 67 57% — — —
Lubambo Musonda D 76 7.90 1 — 1 24 23% 1 — —
T. Müller D 90 7.00 — — 1 80 78% 1 — —
M. Mathisen D 90 7.90 — 1 2 95 84% — — —
H. Bockhorn D 88 6.70 — 1 — 29 23% 1 — —
F. Michel M 90 6.60 — — 1 53 43% — — —
Silas Gnaka M 76 6.60 — — — 29 28% — — —
B. Atik M 84 9.50 1 1 1 45 35% 1 — —
L. Ulrich M 90 7.50 — — 2 20 19% 2 — —
R. Tachie M 77 6.30 — 1 — 16 12% — — —
M. Żukowski F 90 8.70 2 — 4 8 7% — 1 —
Dariusz Stalmach M 13 6.30 — — — 4 2% — — —
J. Hugonet M 14 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Noah Pesch F 11 6.20 — — — 3 2% — 1 —
VfL Bochum VfL Bochum — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 22 18% — — —
M. Wittek D 74 5.90 — — — 35 27% 1 1 —
Philipp Strompf D 90 7.00 — — — 62 57% 3 — —
N. Loosli D 90 5.90 — — — 60 49% 1 — —
L. Morgalla D 32 6.50 — — — 11 9% — — —
M. Pannewig M 90 5.90 — — 1 38 30% 2 — —
Cajetan Benjamin Lenz M 90 6.90 — — 2 51 47% 2 — —
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht M 69 6.90 — — 2 10 9% 1 — —
K. Wätjen M 45 6.50 — — — 9 7% — — —
K. Miyoshi M 74 6.30 — 1 2 27 19% 2 1 —
P. Hofmann F 90 7.50 1 — 4 13 5% — — —
C. Marshall F 45 6.60 — — 1 18 15% 1 — —
G. Holtmann F 21 6.50 — — — 12 10% — — —
M. Kwarteng M 16 6.60 — — 1 10 10% 1 — —
O. Olsen D 58 5.90 — — — 25 18% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Bochum?
The final score was 1. FC Magdeburg 4–1 VfL Bochum.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Bochum?
The model assigned 40% probability to a 1. FC Magdeburg win, 26% to a draw, and 33% to an VfL Bochum win.