2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 28
April 04, 2026 15:00
L. Musonda
(ast. H. Bockhorn)
7'
B. Atik
(ast. M. Mathisen)
44'
M. Zukowski
(ast. B. Atik)
71'
M. Zukowski
(ast. R. Tachie)
73'
56'
(ast. K. Miyoshi)
P. Hofmann
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 40% win probability (draw 26%, VfL Bochum 33%). The final result was 1. FC Magdeburg 4–1 VfL Bochum. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for VfL Bochum.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
13
6
Shots on target
6
2.10
Actual xG
1.22
5
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
3
6
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽L. Musonda
· ast. H. Bockhorn
7'
32'
O. Olsen
/
L. Morgalla
⚽B. Atik
· ast. M. Mathisen
44'
46'
C. Marshall
/
K. Watjen
53'
Oliver Olsen
56'
ast. K. Miyoshi ·
P. Hofmann⚽
65'
Maximilian Wittek
68'
Koji Miyoshi
69'
G. Holtmann
/
F. Alfa-Ruprecht
⚽M. Zukowski
· ast. B. Atik
71'
⚽M. Zukowski
· ast. R. Tachie
73'
74'
M. Kwarteng
/
K. Miyoshi
74'
K. Koscierski
/
M. Wittek
S. Gnaka
/ C. Krempicki
76'
L. Musonda
/ J. Hugonet
76'
R. Tachie
/ D. Stalmach
77'
Mateusz Żukowski
79'
B. Atik
/ N. Pesch
84'
H. Bockhorn
/ E. Dzogovic
88'
Noah Pesch
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.27%
1. ←
26.12%
X
33.61%
VfL
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Magdeburg)
40.27%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.35
2.10
+0.75
1.42
1.22
-0.2
1. FC Magdeburg dominated by xG (2.10 vs 1.22).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
19
L. Musonda
1 ⚽
76'
D
5
T. Muller
D
16
M. Mathisen
1 👟
D
7
H. Bockhorn
1 👟
88'
D
21
Falko Michel
M
25
S. Gnaka
76'
M
23
Barış Atik
1 ⚽
1 👟
84'
M
8
L. Ulrich
M
18
R. Tachie
1 👟
77'
M
22
Mateusz Żukowski
2 ⚽
F
Bench
11
A. Holmstrom
F
6
Dariusz Stalmach
13'
M
24
J. Hugonet
14'
M
28
M. Geschwill
D
10
Noah Pesch
11'
F
29
R. Ghrieb
F
R. Ghrieb
F
1
G
32
Maximilian Wittek
74'
D
3
Philipp Strompf
D
20
N. Loosli
D
39
L. Morgalla
32'
D
24
Mats Pannewig
M
34
Cajetan Lenz
M
29
F. Alfa-Ruprecht
69'
M
8
K. Watjen
45'
M
23
K. Miyoshi
1 👟
74'
M
33
Philipp Hofmann
1 ⚽
F
Bench
16
Callum Marshall
45'
F
4
E. Masovic
D
17
G. Holtmann
21'
F
11
M. Kwarteng
16'
M
13
Oliver Olsen
58'
D
Best on the pitch
Barış Atik
M · 1.
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 45 pass
Mateusz Żukowski
F · 1.
8.70
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 8 pass
L. Musonda
D · 1.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
M. Mathisen
D · 1.
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 95 pass
Philipp Hofmann
F · VfL
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 13 pass
L. Ulrich
M · 1.
7.50
2 shots
· 20 pass
1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 57% | — | — | — | |
| L. Musonda | D | 76 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Muller | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Mathisen | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 95 | 84% | — | — | — |
| H. Bockhorn | D | 88 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Falko Michel | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 43% | — | — | — |
| S. Gnaka | M | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Barış Atik | M | 84 | 9.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 45 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Ulrich | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Tachie | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Mateusz Żukowski | F | 90 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 4 | 8 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Dariusz Stalmach | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Hugonet | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Noah Pesch | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
VfL Bochum — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Maximilian Wittek | D | 74 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Philipp Strompf | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Loosli | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Morgalla | D | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Mats Pannewig | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Cajetan Lenz | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Alfa-Ruprecht | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Watjen | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| K. Miyoshi | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Philipp Hofmann | F | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 13 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Callum Marshall | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Holtmann | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Kwarteng | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Oliver Olsen | D | 58 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Bochum?
The final score was 1. FC Magdeburg 4–1 VfL Bochum.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Bochum?
The model assigned 40% probability to a 1. FC Magdeburg win, 26% to a draw, and 33% to an VfL Bochum win.