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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9 October 24, 2026 20:30 Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
1. FC Nürnberg
#2 · 18 pts
0 – 1
Final score
1. FC Kaiserslautern
#3 · 18 pts
58' (ast. Mario Sauer) Erencan Yardimci
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Nürnberg a 41% win probability (draw 30%, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 27%). The final result was 1. FC Nürnberg 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern. In 2 previous meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

Match statistics
31
Total shots
12
8
Shots on target
7
2.18
Actual xG
0.88
6
Saves
8
67%
Possession
33%
11
Corners
3
13
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
27'
Ibrahim Kanate
↕ Fynn Otto / Styopa Mkrtchyan
37'
45'
Thierry Fidjeu Tazemeta / Ibrahim Kanate ↕
45'
Erencan Yardimci / Miloš Luković ↕
56'
Paul Joly
58'
ast. Mario Sauer · Erencan Yardimci⚽
↕ Rayan Ghrieb / William Bøving
67'
67'
Fabian Kunze / Erencan Yardimci ↕
78'
Mergim Berisha / Naatan Skyttä ↕
78'
Marlon Ritter / Mario Sauer ↕
↕ Julian Justvan / Sigurd Haugen
78'
↕ Rafael Lubach / Can Yahya Moustfa
78'
88'
Maxwell Gyamfi
90'+5
Thierry Fidjeu Tazemeta
90'+6
Marlon Ritter
Pre-match prediction
41.81%
1.
30.81%
X
27.38%
1. ←
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Kaiserslautern) 27.38% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
1.18
2.18
+1.0
1.
0.69
0.88
+0.19
1. FC Nürnberg dominated by xG (2.18 vs 0.88). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 9 25
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 9 18
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 9 18
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 9 16
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 9 16
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 9 15
7 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 9 12
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 9 11
9 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 9 11
10 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 9 10
11 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 9 10
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 9
13 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 8
14 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 9 8
15 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 9 8
16 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 9 8
17 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 9 8
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 9 8
Lineups
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1
1 J. Reichert J. Reichert G 7.73
41 E. Porstner E. Porstner D 6.93
20 F. Otto F. Otto 37' D 6.59
4 A. Kalogeropoulos A. Kalogeropoulos D 7.07
32 T. Janisch T. Janisch D 7.36
8 J. Fernandez J. Fernandez M 7.01
6 A. Marhiev A. Marhiev M 7.20
18 Rafael Lubach Rafael Lubach 78' M 7.19
10 J. Justvan J. Justvan 78' M 7.00
7 R. Ghrieb R. Ghrieb 67' M 6.67
19 P. Scobel P. Scobel F 6.02
Bench
28 Can Yaha Moustfa Can Yaha Moustfa 12' F 6.48
21 G. Masouras G. Masouras D 0.00
16 Marko Soldic Marko Soldic M 0.00
35 M. Kornwachs Barjuan M. Kornwachs Barjuan M 0.00
13 Robin Lisewski Robin Lisewski G 0.00
9 S. Haugen S. Haugen 12' F 6.63
5 S. Mkrtchyan S. Mkrtchyan 53' D 6.75
11 W. Bøving W. Bøving 23' F 6.29
1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-4-2-1
1 J. Krahl J. Krahl G 8.98
3 A. Murphy A. Murphy D 7.22
4 M. Gyamfi M. Gyamfi D 6.22
33 J. Elvedi J. Elvedi D 7.04
22 Mika Haas Mika Haas M 6.57
21 M. Sauer M. Sauer 1 👟 78' M 7.70
8 S. Şahin S. Şahin M 6.85
26 P. Joly P. Joly M 6.86
11 I. Kanate I. Kanate 45' M 6.38
15 N. Skyttä N. Skyttä 78' M 7.11
45 M. Luković M. Luković 45' F 6.13
Bench
17 E. Yardımcı E. Yardımcı 1 ⚽ 22' F 7.68
6 F. Kunze F. Kunze 23' M 6.55
9 I. Prtajin I. Prtajin F 0.00
37 Leon Robinson Leon Robinson M 0.00
20 M. Berisha M. Berisha 12' F 6.50
7 M. Ritter M. Ritter 12' M 6.39
2 S. Asta S. Asta D 0.00
39 T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta 45' M 6.26
34 Y. Onohiol Y. Onohiol G 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Krahl
J. Krahl
G · 1.
8.98
· 42 pass
J. Reichert
J. Reichert
G · 1.
7.73
· 44 pass
M. Sauer
M. Sauer
M · 1.
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 23 pass
E. Yardımcı
E. Yardımcı
F · 1.
7.68
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
T. Janisch
T. Janisch
D · 1.
7.36
1 shots · 62 pass
A. Murphy
A. Murphy
D · 1.
7.22
· 37 pass
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Reichert G 90 7.73 — — 0 44 31% 0 — —
E. Porstner D 90 6.93 — — 1 56 50% 1 — —
F. Otto D 37 6.59 — — 0 27 26% 0 — —
A. Kalogeropoulos D 90 7.07 — — 1 74 65% 2 — —
T. Janisch D 90 7.36 — — 1 62 57% 3 — —
J. Fernandez M 90 7.01 — — 2 82 75% 3 — —
A. Marhiev M 90 7.20 — — 5 72 65% 2 — —
Rafael Lubach M 78 7.19 — — 3 37 34% 1 — —
J. Justvan M 78 7.00 — — 0 37 32% 0 — —
R. Ghrieb M 67 6.67 — — 7 33 25% 0 — —
P. Scobel F 90 6.02 — — 7 15 11% 0 — —
Can Yaha Moustfa F 12 6.48 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
S. Haugen F 12 6.63 — — 3 7 6% 0 — —
S. Mkrtchyan D 53 6.75 — — 1 30 27% 1 — —
W. Bøving F 23 6.29 — — 0 21 20% 0 — —
1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Krahl G 90 8.98 — — 0 42 22% 0 — —
A. Murphy D 90 7.22 — — 0 37 32% 3 — —
M. Gyamfi D 90 6.22 — — 0 18 15% 0 1 —
J. Elvedi D 90 7.04 — — 0 31 27% 5 — —
Mika Haas M 90 6.57 — — 1 22 16% 2 — —
M. Sauer M 78 7.70 — 1 1 23 21% 2 — —
S. Şahin M 90 6.85 — — 1 30 18% 1 — —
P. Joly M 90 6.86 — — 1 36 29% 1 1 —
I. Kanate M 45 6.38 — — 2 5 2% 0 1 —
N. Skyttä M 78 7.11 — — 2 21 19% 1 — —
M. Luković F 45 6.13 — — 1 5 4% 1 — —
E. Yardımcı F 22 7.68 1 — 1 5 4% 0 — —
F. Kunze M 23 6.55 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
M. Berisha F 12 6.50 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
M. Ritter M 12 6.39 — — 1 3 3% 0 1 —
T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta M 45 6.26 — — 1 8 3% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The final score was 1. FC Nürnberg 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The model assigned 41% probability to a 1. FC Nürnberg win, 30% to a draw, and 27% to an 1. FC Kaiserslautern win.