2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 29
April 11, 2026 13:00
(og)
55'
H. Koudossou
83'
(ast. J. Lemmer)
B. Bobzien
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Nürnberg a 41% win probability (draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden 31%). The final result was 1. FC Nürnberg 0–2 Dynamo Dresden. In 2 previous meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Dynamo Dresden.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
2
1.09
Actual xG
0.64
1
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
5
Corners
4
18
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
55'
(og)
H. Koudossou⚽
R. Nzingoula
/ F. O. Becker
62'
T. Baack
/ R. Lubach
62'
63'
J. Ceka
72'
J. Lemmer
/
J. Ceka
72'
C. Daferner
/
V. Vermeij
H. Koudossou
/ J. von der Hitz
76'
P. Scobel
/ A. Grimaldi
76'
B. Yilmaz
76'
78'
C. Kammerknecht
/
T. Menzel
78'
L. Bunning
/
L. Herrmann
83'
ast. J. Lemmer ·
B. Bobzien⚽
89'
N. Froling
/
B. Bobzien
A. Markhiev
/ M. Soldic
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
41.72%
1.
26.62%
X
31.66%
Dynamo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Dynamo Dresden)
31.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.39
1.09
-0.3
1.30
0.64
-0.66
1. FC Nürnberg dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.64).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
21
Berkay Yilmaz
D
Berkay Yilmaz
D
24
D
4
F. Gruber
D
F. Gruber
D
8
H. Koudossou
1 ⚽
76'
D
H. Koudossou
1 ⚽
76'
D
5
T. Baack
62'
M
T. Baack
62'
M
6
A. Marhiev
89'
M
A. Marhiev
89'
M
10
J. Justvan
M
J. Justvan
M
22
R. Nzingoula
62'
M
R. Nzingoula
62'
M
23
M. Zoma
F
M. Zoma
F
39
P. Scobel
76'
F
P. Scobel
76'
F
Bench
33
Adriano Grimaldi
14'
F
Adriano Grimaldi
14'
F
25
F. Becker
28'
M
F. Becker
28'
M
20
J. Fernandez
M
J. Fernandez
M
27
J. von der Hitz
14'
M
18
Rafael Lubach
28'
M
Rafael Lubach
28'
M
28
Tarek Buchmann
D
1
T. Schreiber
G
T. Schreiber
G
19
A. Rossipal
D
A. Rossipal
D
42
D
13
D
32
J. Sterner
D
J. Sterner
D
29
M
20
B. Bobzien
1 ⚽
89'
M
B. Bobzien
1 ⚽
89'
M
8
L. Herrmann
78'
M
L. Herrmann
78'
M
24
Tony Menzel
78'
M
Tony Menzel
78'
M
7
J. Çeka
72'
M
J. Çeka
72'
M
9
V. Vermeij
72'
F
V. Vermeij
72'
F
Bench
10
J. Lemmer
1 👟
18'
M
J. Lemmer
1 👟
18'
M
30
S. Kutschke
F
S. Kutschke
F
Best on the pitch
B. Bobzien
M · Dynamo
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
T. Schreiber
G · Dynamo
7.90
· 61 pass
M. Zoma
F · 1.
7.30
2 shots
· 24 pass
L. Herrmann
M · Dynamo
7.20
1 shots
· 27 pass
D · Dynamo
7.20
1 shots
· 58 pass
A. Rossipal
D · Dynamo
7.20
· 43 pass
1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| Berkay Yilmaz | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 45% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | 2 | — | — | |
| F. Gruber | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 72 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Koudossou | D | 76 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Baack | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Marhiev | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Justvan | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Nzingoula | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Zoma | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| P. Scobel | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Adriano Grimaldi | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| F. Becker | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. von der Hitz | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Lubach | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
Dynamo Dresden — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Schreiber | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 46% | — | — | — |
| A. Rossipal | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 54% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | — | — | |
| J. Sterner | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| B. Bobzien | M | 89 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Herrmann | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Tony Menzel | M | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Çeka | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 3 | 1 | — |
| V. Vermeij | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lemmer | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden?
The final score was 1. FC Nürnberg 0–2 Dynamo Dresden.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden?
The model assigned 41% probability to a 1. FC Nürnberg win, 26% to a draw, and 31% to an Dynamo Dresden win.