2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 1
August 09, 2026 13:30
M. A. Zoma
(ast. F. O. Becker)
9'
M. A. Zoma
45'+3
M. A. Zoma
75'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Nürnberg a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Dynamo Dresden 33%). The final result was 1. FC Nürnberg 3–0 Dynamo Dresden. In 2 previous meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Dynamo Dresden.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
1
2.14
Actual xG
1.23
1
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
5
20
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. A. Zoma
· ast. F. O. Becker
9'
⚽M. A. Zoma
45'+3
46'
S. Straudi
/
J. Sterner
61'
K. Inanoglu
/
J. Lemmer
61'
C. Daferner
/
V. Vermeij
E. Porstner
/ T. Hess
66'
J. Justvan
/ R. Lubach
72'
T. Janisch
/ G. Masouras
72'
73'
T. Keller
74'
S. Straudi
⚽M. A. Zoma
(missed pen.)
75'
⚽M. A. Zoma
75'
78'
L. Herrmann
/
N. Rapp
78'
N. Froling
/
B. Bobzien
P. Scobel
/ A. Grimaldi
85'
M. A. Zoma
/ R. Ghrieb
85'
Pre-match prediction
33.99%
1. ←
32.93%
X
33.08%
Dynamo
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Nürnberg)
33.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
2.14
+0.57
1.34
1.23
-0.11
1. FC Nürnberg dominated by xG (2.14 vs 1.23).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Reichert
G
J. Reichert
G
41
E. Porstner
66'
D
E. Porstner
66'
D
20
F. Otto
D
F. Otto
D
4
A. Kalogeropoulos
D
A. Kalogeropoulos
D
32
T. Janisch
72'
D
T. Janisch
72'
D
8
J. Fernandez
M
J. Fernandez
M
6
A. Marhiev
M
A. Marhiev
M
23
M. Zoma
3 ⚽
85'
M
M. Zoma
3 ⚽
85'
M
22
F. Becker
1 👟
M
F. Becker
1 👟
M
10
J. Justvan
72'
M
J. Justvan
72'
M
19
P. Scobel
85'
F
P. Scobel
85'
F
Bench
39
Adriano Grimaldi
11'
F
Adriano Grimaldi
11'
F
28
Can Yahya Moustfa
F
Can Yahya Moustfa
F
21
G. Masouras
18'
D
G. Masouras
18'
D
36
K. Mandic
D
K. Mandic
D
35
Marc Kornwachs Barjuan
D
Marc Kornwachs Barjuan
D
18
Rafael Lubach
18'
M
Rafael Lubach
18'
M
7
R. Ghrieb
11'
F
R. Ghrieb
11'
F
13
Robin Lisewski
G
Robin Lisewski
G
43
T. Hess
24'
D
T. Hess
24'
D
1
T. Schreiber
G
T. Schreiber
G
19
A. Rossipal
D
A. Rossipal
D
42
F. Muller
D
F. Muller
D
39
T. Keller
D
T. Keller
D
32
J. Sterner
45'
D
J. Sterner
45'
D
6
N. Rapp
78'
M
N. Rapp
78'
M
18
R. Wagner
M
R. Wagner
M
20
B. Bobzien
78'
M
B. Bobzien
78'
M
27
N. Hauptmann
M
N. Hauptmann
M
10
J. Lemmer
61'
M
J. Lemmer
61'
M
9
V. Vermeij
61'
F
V. Vermeij
61'
F
Bench
17
A. Muhamedbegović
D
A. Muhamedbegović
D
33
C. Daferner
29'
F
C. Daferner
29'
F
40
E. Bethke
G
E. Bethke
G
25
J. Oehmichen
M
J. Oehmichen
M
11
K. Inanoglu
29'
F
K. Inanoglu
29'
F
29
L. Boeder
D
L. Boeder
D
8
L. Herrmann
12'
M
L. Herrmann
12'
M
16
N. Fröling
12'
F
N. Fröling
12'
F
44
S. Straudi
45'
D
S. Straudi
45'
D
Best on the pitch
M. Zoma
M · 1.
8.30
3 ⚽
5 shots
· 25 pass
J. Fernandez
M · 1.
8.00
2 shots
· 54 pass
A. Marhiev
M · 1.
7.90
1 shots
· 56 pass
F. Becker
M · 1.
7.50
1 👟
· 33 pass
F. Otto
D · 1.
7.50
· 85 pass
J. Reichert
G · 1.
7.30
· 56 pass
1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Reichert | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 43% | — | — | — |
| E. Porstner | D | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Otto | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 85 | 77% | — | — | — |
| A. Kalogeropoulos | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 53% | — | — | — |
| T. Janisch | D | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Fernandez | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 47% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Marhiev | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Zoma | M | 85 | 8.30 | 3 | — | 5 | 25 | 17% | 5 | — | — |
| F. Becker | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Justvan | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Scobel | F | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Adriano Grimaldi | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| G. Masouras | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Lubach | M | 18 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Ghrieb | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Hess | D | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
Dynamo Dresden — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Schreiber | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 43% | — | — | — |
| A. Rossipal | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Muller | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | — | — | — |
| T. Keller | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Sterner | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Rapp | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Wagner | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Bobzien | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| N. Hauptmann | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lemmer | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Vermeij | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| C. Daferner | F | 29 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Inanoglu | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Herrmann | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Fröling | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — |
| S. Straudi | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 4 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden?
The final score was 1. FC Nürnberg 3–0 Dynamo Dresden.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden?
The model assigned 33% probability to a 1. FC Nürnberg win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Dynamo Dresden win.