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1. FC Nürnberg - FC Ingolstadt 04

Friendlies Clubs October 02, 2026 12:00
1. FC Nürnberg
vs
FC Ingolstadt 04
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.72%
Win
1. FC Nürnberg
26.51%
Draw
25.77%
Win
FC Ingolstadt 04
2.9
Expected xG
0.92

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.41%)
1X2 Result
1 48%
X 27%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 52%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives 1. FC Nürnberg a 47% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 25% for FC Ingolstadt 04. Expected goals are 2.9 for 1. FC Nürnberg and 0.9 for FC Ingolstadt 04 (total 3.8), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.41% probability.

Season Stats

1. FC Nürnberg
4W 1D 0L
FC Ingolstadt 04
4W 0D 3L
Averages per game
4.4
Goals
1.6
1.2
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
71%
100%
O 2.5
43%
80%
BTTS
43%
20%
Clean Sht
43%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
1. FC Nürnberg
2W 0D 0L · at home
FC Ingolstadt 04
0W 0D 2L · away
2.5
gls/g
0.5
1.5
Conceded
2.5
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ 1. FC Nürnberg FC Ingolstadt 04 →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 6.4% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% —
2 9.2% 8.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.9% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% —
4 6.5% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% —
5 3.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% —

Recent form

1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg
W Oviedo 2–1
D Palermo 2–2
W Waldhof Mannheim 3–2
W Ansbach 1–5
W Kornburg 0–10
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
L 1. FC Heidenheim 4–1
L RB Leipzig 1–0
W Palermo 1–0
W Lask Linz 2–0
W Eichstätt 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg
Attack
74
Defence
69
Form
77
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
Attack
32
Defence
70
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
The model gives 1. FC Nürnberg a 47% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 25% for an FC Ingolstadt 04 win.
How many goals are expected in 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
Expected goals: 1. FC Nürnberg 2.9, FC Ingolstadt 04 0.9 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.41%.