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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7 October 10, 2026 20:30 Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
1. FC Nürnberg
#2 · 18 pts
4 – 4
Final score
VfL Wolfsburg
#4 · 16 pts
Piet Scobel (ast. Javier Fernández) 52'
Piet Scobel (ast. Rayan Ghrieb) 59'
Mohamed Alì Zoma (ast. Eric Porstner) 63'
Giannis Masouras (ast. Adam Markhiev) 90'+6
12' Hauke Wahl
29' (ast. Vinicius de Souza Costa) Muhammed Damar
90'+1 Alessio Besio
90'+8 Alessio Besio
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Nürnberg a 35% win probability (draw 29%, VfL Wolfsburg 34%). The final result was 1. FC Nürnberg 4–4 VfL Wolfsburg.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
22
8
Shots on target
9
2.25
Actual xG
3.71
5
Saves
4
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
6
15
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
12'
Hauke Wahl⚽
Mohamed Alì Zoma
20'
29'
ast. Vinicius de Souza Costa · Muhammed Damar⚽
⚽Piet Scobel · ast. Javier Fernández
52'
⚽Piet Scobel · ast. Rayan Ghrieb
59'
62'
Elvis Rexhbecaj / Yannick Gerhardt ↕
62'
Hauke Wahl
↕ Tim janisch / Giannis Masouras
63'
↕ Rayan Ghrieb / Rafael Lubach
63'
⚽Mohamed Alì Zoma · ast. Eric Porstner
63'
75'
Alessio Besio / Alexander Bernhardsson ↕
75'
Kento Shiogai / Fabian Reese ↕
76'
Mathys Angély
79'
Maximilian Arnold / Vinicius de Souza Costa ↕
↕ Julian Justvan / William Bøving
81'
↕ Eric Porstner / andrea ceresoli
81'
86'
Kento Shiogai
Alexios Kalogeropoulos
87'
87'
90'+1
Alessio Besio⚽
⚽Giannis Masouras · ast. Adam Markhiev
90'+6
90'+8
Alessio Besio⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.6%
1.
29.9%
X ←
34.5%
VfL
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.9% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
1.20
2.25
+1.05
VfL
1.26
3.71
+2.45
VfL Wolfsburg dominated by xG (3.71 vs 2.25). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 9 25
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 9 18
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 9 18
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 9 16
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 9 16
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 9 15
7 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 9 12
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 9 11
9 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 9 11
10 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 9 10
11 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 9 10
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 9
13 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 8
14 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 9 8
15 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 9 8
16 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 9 8
17 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 9 8
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 9 8
Lineups
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1
1 J. Reichert J. Reichert G 6.70
41 E. Porstner E. Porstner 1 👟 81' D 6.61
20 F. Otto F. Otto D 6.48
4 A. Kalogeropoulos A. Kalogeropoulos D 6.11
32 T. Janisch T. Janisch 63' D 6.24
8 J. Fernandez J. Fernandez 1 👟 M 6.92
6 A. Marhiev A. Marhiev 1 👟 M 6.89
23 M. Zoma M. Zoma 1 ⚽ M 7.92
7 R. Ghrieb R. Ghrieb 1 👟 63' M 6.54
10 J. Justvan J. Justvan 81' M 6.40
19 P. Scobel P. Scobel 2 ⚽ F 8.66
Bench
28 Can Yaha Moustfa Can Yaha Moustfa F 0.00
21 G. Masouras G. Masouras 1 ⚽ 27' D 6.99
44 K. El Haija K. El Haija D 0.00
35 M. Kornwachs Barjuan M. Kornwachs Barjuan M 0.00
18 Rafael Lubach Rafael Lubach 27' M 5.91
13 Robin Lisewski Robin Lisewski G 0.00
9 S. Haugen S. Haugen F 0.00
11 W. Bøving W. Bøving 9' F 6.64
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 4-3-3
30 J. Zieliński J. Zieliński G 6.53
21 J. Mæhle J. Mæhle D 6.29
22 M. Angely M. Angely D 6.16
6 H. Wahl H. Wahl 1 ⚽ D 6.99
2 K. Fischer K. Fischer D 6.25
20 M. Damar M. Damar 1 ⚽ M 8.20
5 Vinicius Souza Vinicius Souza 1 👟 79' M 6.70
31 Y. Gerhardt Y. Gerhardt 62' M 5.45
11 F. Reese F. Reese 75' F 5.44
19 R. Glatzel R. Glatzel F 6.39
17 A. Bernhardsson A. Bernhardsson 75' F 6.36
Bench
23 A. Besio A. Besio 2 ⚽ 15' F 8.06
25 A. Zehnter A. Zehnter D 0.00
8 Bence Dárdai Bence Dárdai M 0.00
37 E. Rexhbeçaj E. Rexhbeçaj 28' M 5.92
18 J. Adjetey J. Adjetey D 0.00
7 K. Shiogai K. Shiogai 15' F 6.09
27 M. Arnold M. Arnold 11' M 6.00
12 P. Pervan P. Pervan G 0.00
Best on the pitch
P. Scobel
P. Scobel
F · 1.
8.66
2 ⚽
4 shots · 20 pass
M. Damar
M. Damar
M · VfL
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots · 34 pass
A. Besio
A. Besio
F · VfL
8.06
2 ⚽
4 shots · 5 pass
M. Zoma
M. Zoma
M · 1.
7.92
1 ⚽
4 shots · 22 pass
G. Masouras
G. Masouras
D · 1.
6.99
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
H. Wahl
H. Wahl
D · VfL
6.99
1 ⚽
1 shots · 60 pass
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Reichert G 90 6.70 — — 0 43 32% 1 — —
E. Porstner D 81 6.61 — 1 0 33 25% 1 — —
F. Otto D 90 6.48 — — 1 68 62% 1 — —
A. Kalogeropoulos D 90 6.11 — — 0 57 51% 1 1 —
T. Janisch D 63 6.24 — — 0 17 14% 1 — —
J. Fernandez M 90 6.92 — 1 0 44 40% 2 — —
A. Marhiev M 90 6.89 — 1 3 47 42% 1 — —
M. Zoma M 90 7.92 1 — 4 22 20% 0 1 —
R. Ghrieb M 63 6.54 — 1 3 29 21% 1 — —
J. Justvan M 81 6.40 — — 5 21 16% 3 — —
P. Scobel F 90 8.66 2 — 4 20 12% 1 — —
G. Masouras D 27 6.99 1 — 1 6 5% 1 — —
Rafael Lubach M 27 5.91 — — 0 10 9% 1 — —
W. Bøving F 9 6.64 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Zieliński G 90 6.53 — — 1 41 34% 0 — —
J. Mæhle D 90 6.29 — — 2 46 36% 1 — —
M. Angely D 90 6.16 — — 0 45 43% 4 1 —
H. Wahl D 90 6.99 1 — 1 60 53% 2 1 —
K. Fischer D 90 6.25 — — 0 29 25% 2 — —
M. Damar M 90 8.20 1 — 5 34 26% 2 — —
Vinicius Souza M 79 6.70 — 1 0 37 33% 2 — —
Y. Gerhardt M 62 5.45 — — 5 15 10% 2 — —
F. Reese F 75 5.44 — — 2 26 17% 2 — —
R. Glatzel F 90 6.39 — — 1 29 27% 1 — —
A. Bernhardsson F 75 6.36 — — 1 29 21% 2 — —
A. Besio F 15 8.06 2 — 4 5 4% 0 — —
E. Rexhbeçaj M 28 5.92 — — 0 10 7% 0 — —
K. Shiogai F 15 6.09 — — 0 5 3% 0 1 —
M. Arnold M 11 6.00 — — 0 5 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The final score was 1. FC Nürnberg 4–4 VfL Wolfsburg.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The model assigned 35% probability to a 1. FC Nürnberg win, 29% to a draw, and 34% to an VfL Wolfsburg win.