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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5 October 10, 2026 15:30 Prezero Arena, Sinsheim
1899 Hoffenheim
#10 · 9 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Hamburger SV
#11 · 9 pts
Sebastiaan Bornauw 45'+6 (og)
Bambasé Conté (ast. Fisnik Asllani) 53'
12' Yussuf Poulsen
83' (ast. Miro Muheim) Terem Moffi
90'+4 Miro Muheim
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1899 Hoffenheim a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Hamburger SV 24%). The final result was 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Hamburger SV. In 2 previous meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Hamburger SV.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
15
4
Shots on target
4
1.09
Actual xG
1.27
1
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
7
Corners
3
13
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
12'
Yussuf Poulsen⚽
41'
Miro Muheim / Nicolai Remberg ↕
45'+3
⚽Sebastiaan Bornauw (og)
45'+6
⚽Bambasé Conté · ast. Fisnik Asllani
53'
Bernardo Fernandes da Silva Junior
55'
59'
Otto Emerson Stange / Yussuf Poulsen ↕
↕ Fisnik Asllani / Andrej Kramarić
63'
↕ Tim Lemperle / Adam Hložek
63'
Bernardo Fernandes da Silva Junior
65'
↕ Koki Machida / Robin Hranáč
74'
↕ Adam Daghim / Alexander Prass
74'
76'
Alexander Rossing Lelesiit / Louis Pepe Lemke ↕
76'
Terem Moffi / Martin Adeline ↕
76'
Kofi Jeremy Amoako / Albert Sambi Lokonga ↕
Leon Avdullahu
80'
81'
83'
ast. Miro Muheim · Terem Moffi⚽
↕ Bambasé Conté / Valentin Gendrey
87'
90'+4
Miro Muheim⚽
Pre-match prediction
48.9%
1899
26.43%
X
24.67%
Hamburger ←
we assigned to the actual result (Hamburger SV) 24.67% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1899
3.07
1.09
-1.98
Hamburger
1.01
1.27
+0.26
xG dominance was balanced (1.09 – 1.27). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 10
8 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 7 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 4-2-3-1
1 O. Baumann O. Baumann G 5.78
13 Bernardo Bernardo 65' D 4.84
28 K. Machida K. Machida 74' D 6.48
5 O. Kabak O. Kabak D 6.35
34 V. Coufal V. Coufal D 6.98
18 W. Burger W. Burger M 6.12
7 L. Avdullahu L. Avdullahu M 6.47
14 A. Daghim A. Daghim 74' M 6.22
11 F. Asllani F. Asllani 1 👟 63' M 6.42
20 B. Conté B. Conté 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.66
19 T. Lemperle T. Lemperle 63' F 6.29
Bench
10 A. Hložek A. Hložek 27' F 6.36
27 A. Kramarić A. Kramarić 27' F 6.72
22 A. Prass A. Prass 16' D 6.00
37 L. Philipp L. Philipp G 0.00
9 Max Moerstedt Max Moerstedt F 0.00
39 M. Rots M. Rots D 0.00
17 Nathan De Cat Nathan De Cat M 0.00
2 R. Hranáč R. Hranáč 16' D 5.91
15 V. Gendrey V. Gendrey 3' D 5.93
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes Daniel Heuer Fernandes G 6.48
17 W. Omari W. Omari D 6.20
33 S. Bornauw S. Bornauw 1 ⚽ D 4.85
24 N. Capaldo N. Capaldo D 6.58
37 L. Lemke L. Lemke 76' M 6.01
21 N. Remberg N. Remberg 41' M 5.82
6 A. Sambi Lokonga A. Sambi Lokonga 76' M 6.21
3 D. Møller Wolfe D. Møller Wolfe M 6.33
5 M. Adeline M. Adeline 76' M 6.13
20 Fábio Vieira Fábio Vieira M 6.30
15 Y. Poulsen Y. Poulsen 1 ⚽ 59' F 8.03
Bench
38 Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit 14' F 6.57
10 I. Pherai I. Pherai M 0.00
23 J. Torunarigha J. Torunarigha D 0.00
22 Kofi Jeremy Amoako Kofi Jeremy Amoako 14' M 6.00
28 M. Muheim M. Muheim 1 ⚽ 1 👟 49' D 7.70
19 Otto Emerson Stange Otto Emerson Stange 31' F 6.44
43 S. Nandja S. Nandja D 0.00
12 S. Tangvik S. Tangvik G 0.00
9 T. Moffi T. Moffi 1 ⚽ 14' F 8.16
Best on the pitch
T. Moffi
T. Moffi
F · Hamburger
8.16
1 ⚽
2 shots · 2 pass
Y. Poulsen
Y. Poulsen
F · Hamburger
8.03
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
M. Muheim
M. Muheim
D · Hamburger
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 24 pass
B. Conté
B. Conté
M · 1899
7.66
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
V. Coufal
V. Coufal
D · 1899
6.98
1 shots · 37 pass
A. Kramarić
A. Kramarić
F · 1899
6.72
1 shots · 16 pass
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Baumann G 90 5.78 — — 0 29 20% 0 — —
Bernardo D 65 4.84 — — 0 64 53% 1 — 1
K. Machida D 74 6.48 — — 1 69 66% 0 — —
O. Kabak D 90 6.35 — — 2 56 49% 1 — —
V. Coufal D 90 6.98 — — 1 37 30% 2 — —
W. Burger M 90 6.12 — — 2 63 49% 2 — —
L. Avdullahu M 90 6.47 — — 0 69 66% 2 1 —
A. Daghim M 74 6.22 — — 0 36 28% 1 — —
F. Asllani M 63 6.42 — 1 3 25 19% 0 — —
B. Conté M 87 7.66 1 — 2 26 22% 2 — —
T. Lemperle F 63 6.29 — — 5 24 12% 1 — —
A. Hložek F 27 6.36 — — 0 8 3% 0 — —
A. Kramarić F 27 6.72 — — 1 16 14% 0 — —
A. Prass D 16 6.00 — — 0 4 3% 1 — —
R. Hranáč D 16 5.91 — — 0 16 11% 0 — —
V. Gendrey D 3 5.93 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Heuer Fernandes G 90 6.48 — — 0 34 16% 0 — —
W. Omari D 90 6.20 — — 0 38 29% 1 — —
S. Bornauw D 90 4.85 1 — 0 27 15% 0 — —
N. Capaldo D 90 6.58 — — 2 26 19% 5 — —
L. Lemke M 76 6.01 — — 0 14 10% 2 — —
N. Remberg M 41 5.82 — — 1 16 12% 0 — —
A. Sambi Lokonga M 76 6.21 — — 0 38 30% 0 — —
D. Møller Wolfe M 90 6.33 — — 1 17 10% 1 — —
M. Adeline M 76 6.13 — — 0 22 17% 2 — —
Fábio Vieira M 90 6.30 — — 5 18 16% 1 — —
Y. Poulsen F 59 8.03 1 — 2 14 9% 2 — —
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit F 14 6.57 — — 1 2 1% 0 — —
Kofi Jeremy Amoako M 14 6.00 — — 0 9 7% 0 — —
M. Muheim D 49 7.70 1 1 1 24 19% 2 — —
Otto Emerson Stange F 31 6.44 — — 0 4 2% 1 — —
T. Moffi F 14 8.16 1 — 2 2 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?
The final score was 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Hamburger SV.
What did the model predict before 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?
The model assigned 48% probability to a 1899 Hoffenheim win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Hamburger SV win.