1899 Hoffenheim - Lyon
Europa League
October 22, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.31%
Win
1899 Hoffenheim
21.58%
Draw
44.11%
Win
Lyon
2.43
2.9
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–2
(6.91%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
22%
2
44%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
56%
X2
66%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
77%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lyon a 44% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 34% for 1899 Hoffenheim. Expected goals are 2.4 for 1899 Hoffenheim and 2.9 for Lyon (total 5.3), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 6.91% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
8W
1D
2L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
1.9
2.0
Conceded
0.8
5.0
Shots OT
5.6
8.0
Corners
4.1
67%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
82%
0%
O 2.5
36%
0%
BTTS
36%
0%
Clean Sht
45%
ℹ
Based on the last 11 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ 1899 Hoffenheim
Lyon →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| 2 | 1.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| 3 | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
Recent form
Playing profile
1899 Hoffenheim
Attack
44
Defence
52
Form
31
Lyon
Attack
48
Defence
66
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
The model gives 1899 Hoffenheim a 34% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 44% for an Lyon win.
How many goals are expected in 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
Expected goals: 1899 Hoffenheim 2.4, Lyon 2.9 (total 5.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.91%.